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Morehead State vs Lindenwood Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 82-65
40-38 42-27
Position#232
Record11-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game68.6
vs
Position#217
Record8-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game69.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Morehead State v Lindenwood
09 Jan 2027
MORE v LIND
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
MORE78
LIND79
18 Jan 2025
MORE82
LIND65
02 Mar 2024
MORE67
LIND49
18 Feb 2023
MORE71
LIND58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lindenwood winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A07/12
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#548
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H15/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
70-69 OT
70
69
+1
H20/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H21/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#468
W
94-63
94
63
+31
H28/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A01/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
55-74
55
74
-19
A04/01
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A09/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A11/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-39
43-49
34-26
52-37
31-31
29-29
32-30
42-38
31-27
63-36
33-29
37-39
29-40
26-34
26-20
33-33
27-26
40-30
21-26
30-21
135.1Avg total
70.2Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)68.668.6137.1+0.061%
Season at home (8)74.561.8136.2+12.888%
Season away (10)63.874.0137.8-10.240%
Last 10 (10)70.264.9135.1+5.380%
Last 5 (5)60.459.6120.0+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.773.5139.2-7.850%
vs Similar ◀ (5)61.666.4128.0-4.860%
vs Weaker (14)76.365.6141.9+10.771%
This opponent (Lindenwood) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LindenwoodUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#73
L
53-86
53
86
-33
A08/12
NCAA
Harris-Stowe
#592
W
99-53
99
53
+46
H11/12
NCAA
IU Indy
#332
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H14/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H20/12
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H21/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A04/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H10/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-39
20-47
48-30
51-23
39-29
42-34
39-42
34-37
36-25
35-40
27-35
37-29
29-34
18-24
29-34
43-28
42-40
40-41
38-38
35-42
143.0Avg total
72.5Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.969.7142.6+3.244%
Season at home (9)83.761.3145.0+22.389%
Season away (9)62.178.0140.1-15.90%
Last 10 (10)72.570.5143.0+2.050%
Last 5 (5)69.671.8141.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)62.176.6138.6-14.57%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.272.4141.7-3.250%
vs Weaker (3)91.352.3143.7+39.067%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +1.0+1.0
Morehead StateLindenwood
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/12
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#548
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H15/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H20/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H21/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#468
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H28/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A01/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A04/01
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
26-20
26
20
+6
A09/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A11/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
21-26
21
26
-5
H17/01
NCAA
59.1Avg total
29.7Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.431.063.4+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.127.060.1+6.186%-
Last 30 away (16)31.834.566.2-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)29.729.459.1+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)27.228.255.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.133.863.9-3.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)30.232.062.2-1.840%-
vs Weaker (14)33.929.062.9+4.979%-
This opponent (Lindenwood) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LindenwoodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#73
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A08/12
NCAA
Harris-Stowe
#592
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H11/12
NCAA
IU Indy
#332
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H14/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H21/12
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A03/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A04/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H10/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H11/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A17/01
NCAA
70.6Avg total
36.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.034.567.5-1.523%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.331.467.7+4.947%-
Last 30 away (15)29.637.667.2-8.00%-
Last 10 (10)36.034.670.6+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.269.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.137.968.0-7.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.633.666.2-1.033%-
vs Weaker (3)42.724.066.7+18.767%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Morehead State wins
0
Lindenwood wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25HWestern Illinois51-47
11/01/25ASoutheast Missouri State67-56
09/01/25AUALR59-53
04/01/25ATennessee Tech55-74
01/01/25ASouthern Indiana70-68
28/12/24HAlice Loyd94-63
21/12/24HTennessee State74-68
20/12/24HUT Martin70-69 OT
15/12/24HKentucky Christian86-63
07/12/24AOhio76-88
Lindenwoodlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25ASouthern Indiana73-80
11/01/25HUT Martin82-81
10/01/25HTennessee State72-62
04/01/25ASiu Edwardsville47-58
03/01/25AEastern Illinois74-78 OT
21/12/24HWestern Illinois71-65
20/12/24HTennessee Tech73-79
14/12/24HIU Indy81-63
11/12/24HHarris-Stowe99-53
08/12/24AOle Miss53-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW61%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %61%88%40%
Points / game68.674.563.8
Allowed / game68.661.874.0
Point differential+0.0+12.8-10.2
Avg total137.1136.2137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Lindenwood
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%89%0%
Points / game72.983.762.1
Allowed / game69.761.378.0
Point differential+3.2+22.3-15.9
Avg total142.6145.0140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville1812667%72.865.6+7.2
2 Morehead State1811761%68.668.6+0.0
3 UALR1710759%68.568.4+0.1
4 Southeast Missouri State1910953%73.567.9+5.5
5 Tennessee Tech189950%72.374.0-1.7
6 UT Martin1881044%76.470.4+6.0
7 Lindenwood1881044%72.969.7+3.2
8 Western Illinois1881044%69.269.4-0.3
9 Southern Indiana1771041%74.073.4+0.6
10 Tennessee State1861233%78.875.4+3.4
11 Eastern Illinois1751229%69.572.9-3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State404282
Lindenwood382765
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