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Morehead State vs Tennessee State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 74-68
32-30 42-38
Position#232
Record5-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game73.2
Morehead State 🏆
USA
vs
Tennessee State
USA
Position#188
Record4-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game76.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Morehead State v Tennessee State
14 Feb 2026
MORE94
TENN86
21 Dec 2024
MORE74
TENN68
06 Jan 2024
MORE78
TENN68
16 Feb 2023
MORE74
TENN64
24 Jan 2022
MORE67
TENN54
25 Feb 2021
MORE74
TENN60
22 Feb 2020
MORE66
TENN63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boyce
#554
W
89-48
89
48
+41
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A09/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H21/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H27/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A29/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A05/12
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A07/12
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#548
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H15/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
70-69 OT
70
69
+1
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-26
44-22
19-37
37-46
37-37
25-39
30-26
33-32
32-31
37-47
47-32
24-37
35-45
42-35
33-39
43-49
34-26
52-37
31-31
29-29
143.1Avg total
71.9Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)69.573.2142.6-3.745%
Season at home (5)75.463.2138.6+12.280%
Season away (6)64.581.5146.0-17.017%
Last 10 (10)71.971.2143.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)76.073.8149.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)65.379.7145.0-14.429%
vs Similar (2)66.071.5137.5-5.550%
vs Weaker (20)73.263.1136.3+10.175%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Howard
#302
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H14/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H17/11
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#670
W
110-33
110
33
+77
H20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A26/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
85-97
85
97
-12
A26/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
L
74-92
74
92
-18
H01/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A11/12
NCAA
Johnson Royals
#435
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H14/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-43
38-38
41-42
34-33
38-36
43-35
59-15
51-18
37-31
41-54
40-46
45-51
37-41
37-51
31-44
29-40
47-30
42-28
40-39
35-38
156.8Avg total
80.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.476.6158.0+4.833%
Season at home (6)89.068.0157.0+21.067%
Season away (6)73.885.2159.0-11.30%
Last 10 (10)80.276.6156.8+3.630%
Last 5 (5)76.681.6158.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.573.0131.5-14.50%
vs Similar (12)71.677.7149.2-6.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)77.367.3144.6+10.062%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +0.9+0.9
Morehead StateTennessee State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boyce
#554
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
19-37
19
37
-18
A09/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H21/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A29/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A05/12
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/12
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#548
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H15/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H20/12
NCAA
67.3Avg total
34.3Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.830.163.9+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.226.261.4+8.992%-
Last 30 away (17)32.833.165.9-0.441%-
Last 10 (10)34.333.067.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.670.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.937.468.3-6.614%-
vs Similar (2)34.032.566.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (20)34.227.661.8+6.780%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Howard
#302
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H14/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/11
NCAA
EWU Phantoms
#670
W
59-15
59
15
+44
H20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A26/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H01/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A11/12
NCAA
Johnson Royals
#435
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/12
NCAA
76.5Avg total
39.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.268.6+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.632.569.1+4.143%-
Last 30 away (16)32.435.768.1-3.244%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.776.5+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.079.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)26.538.565.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (12)32.234.666.8-2.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)37.033.470.4+3.656%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Morehead State wins
1
Tennessee State wins
DateGameScore
02/02/24Tennessee State v Morehead State49-68
06/01/24Morehead State v Tennessee State78-68
17/02/23Morehead State v Tennessee State74-64
30/12/22Tennessee State v Morehead State75-83
25/01/22Morehead State v Tennessee State67-54
15/01/22Tennessee State v Morehead State64-71
26/02/21Morehead State v Tennessee State74-60
12/02/21Tennessee State v Morehead State66-79
05/03/20Tennessee State v Morehead State74-67 OT
22/02/20Morehead State v Tennessee State66-63
Morehead Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24HUT Martin70-69 OT
15/12/24HKentucky Christian86-63
07/12/24AOhio76-88
05/12/24AMarshall77-80
29/11/24ACleveland State71-69
27/11/24HNJIT69-78
21/11/24HAustin Peay63-58
15/11/24AChattanooga Mocs62-76
09/11/24ACincinnati56-83
07/11/24HBoyce89-48
Tennessee Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24ASouthern Indiana75-77
14/12/24HJohnson Royals89-58
11/12/24AWestern Kentucky60-84
01/12/24HUNC Asheville74-92
26/11/24ABryant University85-97
26/11/24AChattanooga Mocs78-85
20/11/24HEWU Phantoms110-33
17/11/24HAlabama A&M Bulldogs81-71
14/11/24HHoward84-88 OT
10/11/24AWyoming66-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game69.575.464.5
Allowed / game73.263.281.5
Point differential-3.7+12.2-17.0
Avg total142.6138.6146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
Tennessee State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game81.489.073.8
Allowed / game76.668.085.2
Point differential+4.8+21.0-11.3
Avg total158.0157.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%17%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville127558%74.866.0+8.8
2 Western Illinois127558%71.468.9+2.5
3 UALR127558%68.168.7-0.6
4 Southern Indiana116555%79.673.1+6.5
5 Southeast Missouri State115645%74.371.0+3.3
6 Morehead State115645%69.573.2-3.7
7 Lindenwood125742%74.469.2+5.2
8 Tennessee Tech125742%72.277.5-5.2
9 UT Martin124833%78.572.8+5.8
10 Tennessee State124833%81.476.6+4.8
11 Eastern Illinois113827%68.576.2-7.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State324274
Tennessee State303868
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