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Morehead State vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 70-62
34-25 36-37
Position#76
Record3-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#120
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game64.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H04/03
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Belmont
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A07/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#81
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A20/03
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
54-77
54
77
-23
A10/11
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A13/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#401
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H16/11
NCAA
Transylvania
#438
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A21/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
75-51
75
51
+24
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-20
32-34
31-28
36-36
43-32
43-39
31-38
36-46
24-44
30-33
23-46
48-39
37-29
45-28
35-28
49-31
28-29
18-37
36-23
39-28
136.1Avg total
69.3Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.765.8134.5+2.850%
Season at home (2)83.058.0141.0+25.0100%
Season away (4)61.569.8131.2-8.225%
Last 10 (10)69.366.8136.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)71.663.6135.2+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.371.4140.7-2.157%
vs Similar ◀ (9)66.365.3131.7+1.067%
vs Weaker (13)71.557.8129.4+13.792%
This opponent (UMKC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#351
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H20/02
NCAA
Denver
#351
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H21/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#60
L
49-67
49
67
-18
A27/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#60
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A28/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#147
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A08/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
57-89
57
89
-32
A13/11
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
80-66
80
66
+14
A16/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#658
W
99-36
99
36
+63
H18/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
W
74-58
74
58
+16
A23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
39-28
32-31
48-38
26-31
23-36
39-43
38-46
22-38
43-31
25-33
31-38
23-37
34-52
32-23
48-43
45-11
54-25
33-26
41-32
137.6Avg total
70.5Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.264.0137.2+9.260%
Season at home (1)99.036.0135.0+63.0100%
Season away (4)66.871.0137.8-4.250%
Last 10 (10)70.567.1137.6+3.450%
Last 5 (5)73.264.0137.2+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.575.5127.0-24.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)62.967.7130.6-4.820%
vs Weaker (15)70.763.6134.3+7.167%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +3.0+3.0
Morehead StateUMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Belmont
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A07/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#81
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A20/03
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A10/11
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A13/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#401
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Transylvania
#438
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A27/11
NCAA
63.4Avg total
31.7Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.130.862.9+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.428.559.9+2.971%-
Last 30 away (16)32.832.865.6-0.156%-
Last 10 (10)31.731.763.4+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)31.831.062.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.436.968.3-5.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)29.830.159.9-0.356%-
vs Weaker (13)33.928.262.2+5.777%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#351
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H20/02
NCAA
Denver
#351
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H21/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#60
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A27/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#60
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A28/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#147
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A08/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#245
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A10/11
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A13/11
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A16/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#658
W
45-11
45
11
+34
H18/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#339
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A23/11
NCAA
60.8Avg total
30.6Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.929.962.8+3.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.528.465.9+9.157%-
Last 30 away (16)28.831.260.0-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)30.630.260.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)31.626.057.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)24.532.557.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)30.133.663.7-3.530%-
vs Weaker (15)32.030.162.1+1.953%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morehead State wins
0
UMKC wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/21AArkansas State75-51
21/11/21AMississippi St.46-66
19/11/21HTransylvania84-59
16/11/21HKentucky Christian82-57
13/11/21AUAB71-85
10/11/21AAuburn54-77
20/03/21AWest Virginia67-84
07/03/21ABelmont86-71
06/03/21HEastern Kentucky67-64
04/03/21HSoutheast Missouri State61-54
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/21AIdaho State74-58
18/11/21HKansas Christian99-36
16/11/21AMissouri80-66
13/11/21AIowa57-89
10/11/21AMinnesota56-71
08/03/21ANorth Dakota St65-69
28/02/21ASouth Dakota St.77-89
27/02/21ASouth Dakota St.49-67
21/02/21HDenver80-69
20/02/21HDenver68-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game68.783.061.5
Allowed / game65.858.069.8
Point differential+2.8+25.0-8.2
Avg total134.5141.0131.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMKC
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%100%50%
Points / game73.299.066.8
Allowed / game64.036.071.0
Point differential+9.2+63.0-4.2
Avg total137.2135.0137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Illinois75271%79.972.0+7.9
2 UALR74357%75.367.6+7.7
3 Morehead State63350%68.765.8+2.8
4 Southeast Missouri State63350%76.079.3-3.3
5 UT Martin73443%76.672.4+4.1
6 Tennessee Tech62433%74.774.0+0.7
7 Siu Edwardsville72529%67.969.1-1.3
8 Tennessee State51420%76.473.2+3.2
9 Eastern Illinois61517%60.373.0-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.86275%87.576.8+10.8
2 South Dakota Coyotes64267%72.071.2+0.8
3 UMKC53260%73.264.0+9.2
4 North Dakota St53260%61.863.0-1.2
5 Oral Roberts63350%87.564.0+23.5
6 St. Thomas (Minn.)63350%79.775.5+4.2
7 Denver83538%67.566.9+0.6
8 North Dakota62433%70.077.3-7.3
9 Nebraska O.61517%54.578.3-23.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State343670
UMKC253762
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