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Belmont vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 71-86
32-43 39-43
Position#9
Record27-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game68.7
Belmont
USA
vs
Morehead State 🏆
USA
Position#33
Record22-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game63.1
USANCAARound 10
Other2020-21
Meetings · Belmont v Morehead State
04 Mar 2022
BELM51
MORE53
10 Feb 2022
BELM48
MORE47
06 Mar 2021
BELM71
MORE86
13 Feb 2021
BELM73
MORE58
18 Jan 2020
BELM77
MORE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
89-61
89
61
+28
A05/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
94-62
94
62
+32
A06/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H12/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#33
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H13/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H19/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H20/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A26/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#33
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
A27/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H04/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-25
51-36
45-22
49-40
50-32
42-42
43-30
30-28
22-27
41-32
42-26
48-40
32-50
35-31
31-32
43-42
43-30
35-31
36-28
36-41
148.0Avg total
80.0Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.468.7150.1+12.890%
Season at home (15)79.965.7145.5+14.293%
Season away (15)83.071.7154.7+11.387%
Last 10 (10)80.068.0148.0+12.080%
Last 5 (5)77.873.2151.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)74.870.2145.0+4.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)82.568.4150.9+14.092%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#180
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H05/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
W
75-74 OT
75
74
+1
H06/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#342
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A12/02
NCAA
Belmont
#9
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A13/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#291
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A20/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A22/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#342
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#9
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
H27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H04/03
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
34-23
24-30
43-37
34-32
45-34
30-43
28-30
45-35
34-34
29-24
27-24
35-27
39-33
32-31
42-43
29-20
32-34
31-28
36-36
135.0Avg total
70.4Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)68.263.1131.4+5.176%
Season at home (16)70.562.0132.5+8.588%
Season away (13)65.564.5130.0+0.962%
Last 10 (10)70.464.6135.0+5.890%
Last 5 (5)69.461.6131.0+7.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.566.8135.2+1.875%
vs Similar (11)65.568.4133.9-2.855%
vs Weaker (15)70.159.1129.1+11.087%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +3.2+3.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +3.2+3.2
BelmontMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#290
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A05/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
45-22
45
22
+23
A06/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H12/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#33
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H13/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H20/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A26/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#33
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A27/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H04/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H06/03
NCAA
68.4Avg total
38.2Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.131.369.4+6.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.730.367.9+7.480%-
Last 30 away (15)38.532.470.9+6.160%-
Last 10 (10)38.230.268.4+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.270.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)35.036.071.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)38.630.669.2+8.073%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#180
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H05/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#175
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H06/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#342
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A12/02
NCAA
Belmont
#9
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A13/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#291
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A20/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A22/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#342
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#9
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H06/03
NCAA
62.4Avg total
32.1Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.130.462.5+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.628.860.4+2.869%-
Last 30 away (14)32.832.265.0+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)32.130.362.4+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)31.226.057.2+5.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)32.534.066.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (11)30.031.161.1-1.155%-
vs Weaker (15)33.628.962.5+4.773%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Belmont wins
1
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
27/02/21Morehead State v Belmont89-82 OT
13/02/21Belmont v Morehead State73-58
21/02/20Morehead State v Belmont67-80
18/01/20Belmont v Morehead State77-59
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21HJacksonville State72-69
04/03/21HSiu Edwardsville78-61
27/02/21AMorehead State82-89 OT
26/02/21AEastern Kentucky67-81
20/02/21HTennessee Tech90-66
19/02/21HJacksonville State63-59
13/02/21HMorehead State73-58
12/02/21HEastern Kentucky92-74
06/02/21ASiu Edwardsville94-62
05/02/21AEastern Illinois89-61
Morehead Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21HEastern Kentucky67-64
04/03/21HSoutheast Missouri State61-54
27/02/21HBelmont89-82 OT
26/02/21HTennessee State74-60
22/02/21ASiu Edwardsville56-48
20/02/21AUT Martin79-69
13/02/21ABelmont58-73
12/02/21ATennessee State79-66
06/02/21HAustin Peay75-74 OT
05/02/21HMurray State66-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW90%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLL87%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %90%93%87%
Points / game81.479.983.0
Allowed / game68.765.771.7
Point differential+12.8+14.2+11.3
Avg total150.1145.5154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Morehead State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %76%88%62%
Points / game68.270.565.5
Allowed / game63.162.064.5
Point differential+5.1+8.5+0.9
Avg total131.4132.5130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%44%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont3027390%81.468.7+12.8
2 Drake2825389%77.964.3+13.6
3 Indiana State25151060%66.565.8+0.7
4 Murray State26131350%76.466.9+9.5
5 Southern Illinois26121446%65.568.1-2.5
6 Illinois (Chi.)22101245%68.072.0-4.0
7 Bradley28121643%69.666.6+3.0
8 Northern Iowa25101540%69.571.2-1.6
9 Evansville2591636%64.869.6-4.8
10 Valparaiso28101836%65.067.9-2.9
11 Illinois State2571828%72.074.8-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State2922776%68.263.1+5.1
2 Southeast Missouri State27111641%69.071.7-2.7
3 UALR2591636%68.069.2-1.2
4 Siu Edwardsville2691735%65.773.0-7.2
5 Eastern Illinois2791833%69.474.9-5.5
6 Western Illinois2171433%73.279.0-5.9
7 UT Martin2481633%65.577.0-11.5
8 Tennessee Tech2752219%66.676.9-10.3
9 Tennessee State2341917%68.474.0-5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont323971
Morehead State434386
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