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Mississippi St. vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 66-46
29-28 37-18
Position#171
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game54.0
vs
Position#76
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mississippi St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#194
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A06/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A11/03
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
48-85
48
85
-37
A12/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#12
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A20/03
NIT
Richmond Spiders
#5
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H25/03
NIT
Louisiana Tech
#3
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H27/03
NIT
Memphis
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A28/03
NIT
North Alabama
#317
W
75-49
75
49
+26
H11/11
NCAA
Montana
#153
W
86-49
86
49
+37
H14/11
NCAA
Detroit
#215
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H18/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-32
0-0
37-46
0-0
44-30
0-0
30-43
0-0
19-47
0-0
29-38
0-0
33-26
0-0
41-42
0-0
34-34
0-0
34-33
0-0
41-29
0-0
43-33
0-0
33-33
0-0
31-44
0-0
37-26
0-0
38-23
0-0
42-16
0-0
44-33
0-0
39-31
0-0
38-33
139.3Avg total
72.1Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.354.0133.3+25.3100%
Season at home (3)79.354.0133.3+25.3100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.167.2139.3+4.970%
Last 5 (5)77.260.2137.4+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)60.374.0134.3-13.70%
vs Similar ◀ (14)71.766.9138.6+4.971%
vs Weaker (8)76.156.4132.5+19.888%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#342
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#9
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
H27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H04/03
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Belmont
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A07/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#81
L
67-84
67
84
-17
A20/03
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
54-77
54
77
-23
A10/11
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A13/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#401
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H16/11
NCAA
Transylvania
#438
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-27
39-33
32-31
42-43
29-20
32-34
31-28
36-36
43-32
43-39
31-38
36-46
24-44
30-33
23-46
48-39
37-29
45-28
35-28
49-31
142.8Avg total
73.5Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.869.5142.2+3.250%
Season at home (2)83.058.0141.0+25.0100%
Season away (2)62.581.0143.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)73.569.3142.8+4.270%
Last 5 (5)71.672.4144.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.371.4140.7-2.157%
vs Similar ◀ (7)68.067.3135.3+0.771%
vs Weaker (15)72.557.5130.0+15.193%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +3.8+3.8
Mississippi St.Morehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#194
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A06/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A11/03
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A12/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#12
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A20/03
NIT
Richmond Spiders
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H25/03
NIT
Louisiana Tech
#3
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H27/03
NIT
Memphis
#1
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A28/03
NIT
North Alabama
#317
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H11/11
NCAA
Montana
#153
W
42-16
42
16
+26
H14/11
NCAA
Detroit
#215
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H18/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
35.6Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.731.064.6+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.930.465.4+4.565%-
Last 30 away (13)32.031.763.7+0.354%-
Last 10 (10)35.630.466.0+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.427.065.4+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)27.435.663.0-8.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.530.665.1+3.971%-
vs Weaker (8)37.828.266.0+9.588%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#342
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#9
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#26
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Belmont
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A07/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#81
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A20/03
NCAA
Auburn
#11
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A10/11
NCAA
UAB
#27
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A13/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#401
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Transylvania
#438
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H19/11
NCAA
64.3Avg total
32.0Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.530.863.2+1.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.128.160.2+4.075%-
Last 30 away (14)32.933.866.6-0.957%-
Last 10 (10)32.032.364.3-0.370%-
Last 5 (5)30.037.067.0-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.436.968.3-5.443%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)29.131.360.4-2.157%-
vs Weaker (15)34.327.962.2+6.580%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mississippi St. wins
0
Morehead State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/21HDetroit77-64
14/11/21HMontana86-49
11/11/21HNorth Alabama75-49
28/03/21AMemphis64-77
27/03/21HLouisiana Tech84-62
25/03/21HRichmond Spiders68-67
20/03/21ASt. Louis Billikens74-68
12/03/21AAlabama48-85
11/03/21AKentucky74-73
06/03/21AAuburn71-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/21HTransylvania84-59
16/11/21HKentucky Christian82-57
13/11/21AUAB71-85
10/11/21AAuburn54-77
20/03/21AWest Virginia67-84
07/03/21ABelmont86-71
06/03/21HEastern Kentucky67-64
04/03/21HSoutheast Missouri State61-54
27/02/21HBelmont89-82 OT
26/02/21HTennessee State74-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mississippi St.
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game79.379.3-
Allowed / game54.054.0-
Point differential+25.3+25.3-
Avg total133.3133.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Morehead State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game72.883.062.5
Allowed / game69.558.081.0
Point differential+3.2+25.0-18.5
Avg total142.2141.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LSU440100%86.050.5+35.5
2 Mississippi St.330100%79.354.0+25.3
3 Oklahoma440100%84.860.0+24.8
4 Florida330100%75.353.7+21.7
5 Alabama440100%89.069.8+19.2
6 Auburn330100%76.057.0+19.0
7 Texas A&M440100%76.057.5+18.5
8 Arkansas330100%84.370.0+14.3
9 Texas43175%76.857.0+19.8
10 Kentucky43175%82.063.2+18.8
11 Vanderbilt43175%71.060.8+10.2
12 South Carolina43175%70.263.2+7.0
13 Tennessee32167%79.065.0+14.0
14 Missouri32167%66.061.7+4.3
15 Ole Miss53260%74.264.6+9.6
16 Georgia42250%70.068.0+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Illinois43175%85.874.5+11.2
2 UALR53260%79.467.2+12.2
3 Morehead State42250%72.869.5+3.2
4 UT Martin52340%73.476.6-3.2
5 Tennessee State31233%81.068.0+13.0
6 Siu Edwardsville62433%68.369.0-0.7
7 Southeast Missouri State31233%79.387.7-8.3
8 Tennessee Tech41325%72.871.8+1.0
9 Eastern Illinois41325%64.273.0-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mississippi St.293766
Morehead State281846
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