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Mornar Bar vs Karpos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-59
24-10 18-22 14-19 27-8
Position#8
Record0-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game74.5
Mornar Bar 🏆
vs
Karpos
Position#11
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 3
Domestic2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karpos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bashkimi
#6
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A08/03
BIBL
Tivat
#4
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H15/03
BIBL
Kozuv
#7
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A22/03
BIBL
Kozuv
#7
W
81-56
81
56
+25
H29/03
BIBL
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#1
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A12/04
BIBL
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#1
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H20/04
BIBL
Igokea
#29
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A27/09
Champions League
Igokea
#29
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H29/09
Champions League
Partizan
#2
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A04/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
23-24
14-14
22-14
17-18
19-12
40-19
17-18
18-23
22-23
23-16
8-24
24-18
23-13
19-19
15-6
25-23
11-22
12-23
20-14
23-15
12-24
22-8
18-21
20-20
17-20
21-13
11-18
20-17
16-6
21-18
26-19
18-10
10-17
15-15
14-16
16-28
21-20
28-23
24-20
147.9Avg total
76.6Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.074.5147.5-1.50%
Season at home (1)57.058.0115.0-1.00%
Season away (1)89.091.0180.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)76.671.3147.9+5.350%
Last 5 (5)74.669.6144.2+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.074.6148.6-0.643%
vs Similar (9)78.279.7157.9-1.422%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)75.964.2140.1+11.779%
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarposLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
A16/04
Superleague
Feni Industries
#4
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H20/04
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#1
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A24/04
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H06/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A08/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H10/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A13/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H15/05
Superleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A01/10
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H05/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
22-15
30-18
28-31
20-22
21-15
22-18
29-15
28-21
14-23
24-12
17-12
17-23
28-21
28-18
24-29
15-16
17-23
16-18
15-9
23-16
24-12
12-16
15-21
15-24
19-16
11-15
12-18
20-31
21-16
12-12
20-25
16-28
14-26
20-13
14-14
18-26
14-21
22-20
25-17
154.2Avg total
78.0Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.582.5154.0-11.00%
Season at home (1)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
Season away (1)64.081.0145.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)78.076.2154.2+1.850%
Last 5 (5)69.477.4146.8-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (6)70.775.3146.0-4.717%
vs Weaker (24)86.274.2160.5+12.071%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
Mornar BarKarpos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bashkimi
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A08/03
BIBL
Tivat
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H15/03
BIBL
Kozuv
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A22/03
BIBL
Kozuv
#7
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H29/03
BIBL
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A12/04
BIBL
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H20/04
BIBL
Igokea
#29
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/09
Champions League
Igokea
#29
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H29/09
Champions League
Partizan
#2
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H01/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A04/10
ABA League
75.1Avg total
37.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.338.677.9+0.848%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.735.073.7+3.767%-
Last 30 away (14)40.142.482.4-2.329%-
Last 10 (10)37.637.575.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.470.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.039.777.7-1.743%-
vs Similar (9)36.239.976.1-3.722%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.237.079.2+5.269%-
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarposLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rabotnicki
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A16/04
Superleague
Feni Industries
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H20/04
Superleague
MZT Skopje
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A24/04
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A08/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H10/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H15/05
Superleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A01/10
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H05/10
ABA League
79.5Avg total
38.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.879.2+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.637.578.1+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.180.4+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.441.179.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.280.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (6)33.843.277.0-9.30%-
vs Weaker (24)42.137.779.8+4.471%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.021.0
50.0%
51.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.06.5
36.1%
34.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.510.5
60.0%
73.3%10.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karpostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karpos: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.016.0
50.0%
51.9%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
34.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.5
72.5%
73.3%14.5
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLWLWLWLWW
Karpos
LLLLWLWWWW
#8
League position
#11
-2.0
Net rating
-14.8
95.1
Offensive rating
95.1
97.1
Defensive rating
110.0
51.2%
Effective FG%
47.5%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
19.3%
Turnover %
14.9%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
14.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.1%
3-point %
29.6%
47.3%
Assist %
72.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.1 · 95.1Defence97.1 · 110.0Shooting51.2% · 47.5%3-point %36.1% · 29.6%Ball care19.3% · 14.9%Off. rebounds21.9% · 14.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Karpos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
0
Karpos wins
No previous meetings.
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/16ACibona89-91
01/10/16HPartizan57-58
29/09/16HIgokea83-60
27/09/16AIgokea69-71
20/04/16HZ-Mobile Prishtina75-68
12/04/16AZ-Mobile Prishtina68-82
29/03/16HKozuv81-56
22/03/16AKozuv71-86
15/03/16HTivat93-67
08/03/16ABashkimi80-74
Karposlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/16HIgokea79-84
01/10/16AKK Krka Novo mesto64-81
15/05/16HKumanovo73-84
13/05/16AKumanovo57-73
10/05/16HKumanovo74-65
08/05/16AKumanovo63-66
06/05/16HKumanovo97-91
24/04/16AMZT Skopje83-68
20/04/16HFeni Industries92-70
16/04/16ARabotnicki98-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.057.089.0
Allowed / game74.558.091.0
Point differential-1.5-1.0-2.0
Avg total147.5115.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karpos
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.579.064.0
Allowed / game82.584.081.0
Point differential-11.0-5.0-17.0
Avg total154.0163.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda330100%94.066.3+27.7
2 Partizan330100%79.366.7+12.7
3 Buducnost330100%90.080.0+10.0
4 FMP Beograd32167%81.374.3+7.0
5 Cibona32167%81.079.0+2.0
6 Igokea32167%72.774.0-1.3
7 KK Krka Novo mesto21150%71.067.0+4.0
8 Cedevita31233%72.076.3-4.3
9 Mega Bemax31233%83.789.3-5.7
10 Zadar31233%77.794.7-17.0
11 Petrol Olimpija2020%78.579.5-1.0
12 Mornar Bar2020%73.074.5-1.5
13 Karpos2020%71.582.5-11.0
14 MZT Skopje3030%64.088.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2418142783
Karpos102219859
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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