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Mornar Bar vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-92
23-26 26-23 8-22 12-21
Position#22
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game92.8
vs
Rytas 🏆
Position#11
Record2-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeEurocupRound 5
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
L
77-91
77
91
-14
H20/09
ABA Supercup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A28/09
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
74-97
74
97
-23
H03/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A07/10
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A10/10
Eurocup
Partizan
#4
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H14/10
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
85-96
85
96
-11
H17/10
Eurocup
Zadar
#11
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A21/10
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
75-98
75
98
-23
A24/10
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H28/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
26-25
19-20
14-24
14-25
18-15
17-24
17-23
18-28
20-23
21-26
15-20
22-17
10-22
21-19
23-22
23-23
32-17
9-22
20-18
25-14
25-22
22-23
25-35
23-27
14-20
24-20
24-29
18-27
29-16
20-18
26-22
19-36
20-27
17-17
19-18
17-29
23-19
21-19
19-17
169.7Avg total
80.7Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.592.8172.2-13.225%
Season at home (2)79.596.5176.0-17.00%
Season away (2)79.589.0168.5-9.550%
Last 10 (10)80.789.0169.7-8.330%
Last 5 (5)86.091.0177.0-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.989.4169.3-9.644%
vs Similar (10)81.280.3161.5+0.950%
vs Weaker (10)89.973.4163.3+16.590%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A26/09
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H30/09
LKL
Unicaja
#6
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H02/10
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H07/10
LKL
Unics Kazan
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A10/10
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A13/10
LKL
Frankfurt
#16
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H17/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H20/10
LKL
Torino
#24
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H24/10
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A27/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
17-17
21-18
21-13
24-13
25-14
25-16
21-23
20-13
14-23
20-19
26-17
16-23
26-18
21-11
6-24
20-19
12-22
20-17
21-28
18-24
20-16
17-24
24-9
15-15
19-20
16-23
11-12
22-16
21-18
22-16
25-13
22-12
22-22
16-19
26-26
17-24
27-18
25-23
20-13
153.5Avg total
80.2Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.076.8151.8-1.850%
Season at home (3)75.773.7149.3+2.067%
Season away (1)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)80.273.3153.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)81.072.6153.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.781.3157.0-5.722%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.271.5157.8+14.786%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
Mornar BarRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H20/09
ABA Supercup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A28/09
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H03/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A07/10
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A10/10
Eurocup
Partizan
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H14/10
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H17/10
Eurocup
Zadar
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A21/10
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A24/10
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/10
ABA League
86.8Avg total
41.4Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.884.2-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.984.5+0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)40.243.783.9-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)41.445.486.8-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.647.490.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.747.389.0-5.733%-
vs Similar (10)38.642.180.7-3.530%-
vs Weaker (10)43.639.082.6+4.660%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/09
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H30/09
LKL
Unicaja
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H02/10
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H07/10
LKL
Unics Kazan
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A10/10
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A13/10
LKL
Frankfurt
#16
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H17/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H20/10
LKL
Torino
#24
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H24/10
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A27/10
LKL
76.7Avg total
39.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.237.478.6+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.336.279.5+7.171%-
Last 30 away (13)38.439.077.4-0.646%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.976.7+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.077.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.438.876.2-1.344%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.836.879.6+6.067%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.616.4
47.4%
51.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.5
36.8%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws24.317.8
73.3%
74.9%17.8
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.6
51.7%
51.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.26.4
35.2%
36.6%19.2
🏀 Free throws19.814.4
72.7%
74.9%14.4
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLWLWWLLLL
Rytas
WWWLWLLWWW
#22
League position
#11
-11.9
Net rating
-0.6
104.2
Offensive rating
107.4
116.1
Defensive rating
108.0
50.7%
Effective FG%
52.0%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.4%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.8%
3-point %
35.2%
52.1%
Assist %
61.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 107.4Defence116.1 · 108.0Shooting50.7% · 52.0%3-point %36.8% · 35.2%Ball care19.7% · 18.4%Off. rebounds30.0% · 35.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
0
Rytas wins
No previous meetings.
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/18HMega Bemax80-84
24/10/18AFrankfurt75-98
21/10/18AZadar93-83
17/10/18HUnicaja85-96
14/10/18HPartizan97-94
10/10/18ATorino84-80
07/10/18AKK Krka Novo mesto76-80
03/10/18HUnics Kazan74-97
28/09/18APetrol Olimpija66-87
20/09/18HPartizan77-91
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/18APieno Zvaigzdes89-78
24/10/18HTorino86-79
20/10/18HSiauliai90-63
17/10/18HFrankfurt61-70
13/10/18AAlytaus Dzukija79-73
10/10/18AUnics Kazan73-86
07/10/18HZalgiris Kaunas69-76
02/10/18HUnicaja80-72
30/09/18HSkycop95-66
26/09/18ANevezis80-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game79.579.579.5
Allowed / game92.896.589.0
Point differential-13.2-17.0-9.5
Avg total172.2176.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game75.075.773.0
Allowed / game76.873.786.0
Point differential-1.8+2.0-13.0
Avg total151.8149.3159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan54180%87.677.4+10.2
2 Crvena zvezda54180%77.468.2+9.2
3 Alba Berlin54180%89.480.4+9.0
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne54180%79.870.8+9.0
5 Valencia54180%83.074.0+9.0
6 Lokomotiv Kuban54180%83.474.6+8.8
7 Unicaja43175%85.277.2+8.0
8 Monaco43175%76.071.0+5.0
9 Zenit Petersburg53260%87.682.2+5.4
10 Frankfurt53260%80.079.0+1.0
11 MoraBanc Andorra42250%91.288.8+2.5
12 Limoges42250%82.083.2-1.2
13 Rytas42250%75.076.8-1.8
14 Cedevita52340%78.279.0-0.8
15 Ulm52340%83.888.0-4.2
16 Galatasaray52340%80.485.0-4.6
17 Tofas52340%86.891.8-5.0
18 Turk Telekom52340%73.679.2-5.6
19 Mornar Bar41325%79.592.8-13.2
20 Partizan51420%76.681.8-5.2
21 Brescia51420%77.283.6-6.4
22 Trento51420%69.281.8-12.6
23 Torino4040%80.587.5-7.0
24 Gdynia4040%70.284.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar232681269
Rytas2623222192
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