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Petrol Olimpija vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Sep 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 87-66
25-14 15-18 24-17 23-17
Position#13
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Petrol Olimpija 🏆
vs
Mornar Bar
Position#10
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeABA LeagueRound 1
Domestic2018
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Mornar Bar
28 Sep 2018
POL87
MBA66
21 Oct 2017
POL64
MBA67
09 Oct 2016
POL81
MBA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#8
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H03/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A12/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H19/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A22/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H25/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A27/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
H29/05
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A21/09
ABA Supercup
KK Primorska
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H24/09
Supercup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
31-10
15-19
25-27
24-16
20-23
26-16
22-24
17-25
19-15
14-15
23-12
15-18
24-15
27-19
24-17
23-22
24-17
16-18
15-23
13-33
18-17
23-10
13-23
21-23
28-17
17-23
23-16
30-28
17-17
21-21
18-20
28-20
14-20
9-20
9-26
14-21
14-24
24-18
19-20
159.9Avg total
80.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.679.3159.9+1.360%
Last 5 (5)76.484.2160.6-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.087.0176.0+2.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.873.7151.5+4.267%
vs Weaker (21)82.274.0156.3+8.276%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A09/05
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#4
W
102-79
102
79
+23
H12/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#3
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A15/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#3
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H19/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#3
W
100-78
100
78
+22
A21/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A24/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H26/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
L
87-88
87
88
-1
A28/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H31/05
Prva A Liga
Partizan
#3
L
77-91
77
91
-14
H20/09
ABA Supercup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
16-23
22-16
20-17
22-22
22-28
38-14
20-15
17-27
23-11
24-19
10-13
19-14
22-14
29-22
27-23
33-19
21-21
24-20
22-18
27-18
16-20
18-18
23-21
18-23
26-24
27-18
22-20
23-30
16-24
18-20
30-14
24-15
15-14
18-20
18-14
18-22
26-25
19-20
14-24
163.9Avg total
86.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.477.5163.9+8.980%
Last 5 (5)83.280.8164.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.687.0158.6-15.429%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.279.4162.6+3.962%
vs Weaker (14)89.173.9163.1+15.286%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +2.7+2.7
Petrol OlimpijaMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#8
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H03/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A12/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H19/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A22/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H25/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A27/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H29/05
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/09
ABA Supercup
KK Primorska
#1
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H24/09
Supercup
81.6Avg total
41.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.878.1+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.336.979.3+5.460%-
Last 30 away (15)38.238.776.9-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.281.6+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.083.4-4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.037.073.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.336.777.0+3.750%-
vs Weaker (21)41.037.778.7+3.257%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A09/05
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H12/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A15/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#3
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H19/05
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#3
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A21/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A24/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H26/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A28/05
Prva A Liga
Buducnost
#2
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H31/05
Prva A Liga
Partizan
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H20/09
ABA Supercup
83.0Avg total
42.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.281.5-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.640.883.4+1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)38.141.579.7-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.983.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.084.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.146.380.4-12.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.540.880.2-1.238%-
vs Weaker (14)43.738.482.1+5.364%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.8
51.4%
51.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.2
37.4%
33.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.513.3
71.9%
72.5%13.3
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.2
56.3%
51.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.4
36.2%
33.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.117.7
73.4%
72.5%17.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
LLWWLLWWWW
Mornar Bar
LWLWWWWWWW
#13
League position
#10
-1.8
Net rating
+6.0
104.4
Offensive rating
117.5
106.1
Defensive rating
111.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
55.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
15.7%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
37.4%
3-point %
36.2%
65.0%
Assist %
50.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 117.5Defence106.1 · 111.5Shooting53.1% · 55.4%3-point %37.4% · 36.2%Ball care17.6% · 15.7%Off. rebounds24.8% · 32.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Petrol Olimpija wins
3
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
13/01/18Mornar Bar v Petrol Olimpija101-81
21/10/17Petrol Olimpija v Mornar Bar64-67
08/01/17Mornar Bar v Petrol Olimpija93-70
09/10/16Petrol Olimpija v Mornar Bar81-72
Petrol Olimpijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/18HKK Primorska71-83
21/09/18ACrvena zvezda60-86
29/05/18HKK Krka Novo mesto95-90 OT
27/05/18AKK Krka Novo mesto89-79
25/05/18HKK Krka Novo mesto67-83
22/05/18AKK Krka Novo mesto78-80
19/05/18HKK Krka Novo mesto90-69
12/05/18ARogaska73-67
09/05/18HRogaska92-79
03/05/18HSencur91-77
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/09/18HPartizan77-91
31/05/18HBuducnost75-63
28/05/18ABuducnost87-88
26/05/18HBuducnost93-85
24/05/18ABuducnost84-77
21/05/18ASutjeska100-78
19/05/18HSutjeska97-73
15/05/18ASutjeska74-70
12/05/18HLovcen Cetinje102-79
09/05/18ABuducnost75-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija2515242387
Mornar Bar1418171766
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