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Mornar Bar vs Mega Bemax Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 80-84
17-29 23-19 21-19 19-17
Position#10
Record2-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#7
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game75.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 5
Domestic2018
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Mega Bemax
28 Oct 2018
MBA80
MBE84
30 Dec 2017
MBA87
MBE83
22 Feb 2017
MBA81
MBE89
02 Nov 2016
MBA87
MBE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Bemax winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H31/05
Prva A Liga
Partizan
#3
L
77-91
77
91
-14
H20/09
ABA Supercup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A28/09
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
74-97
74
97
-23
H03/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A07/10
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A10/10
Eurocup
Partizan
#4
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H14/10
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
85-96
85
96
-11
H17/10
Eurocup
Zadar
#11
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A21/10
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
75-98
75
98
-23
A24/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
15-14
18-20
18-14
18-22
26-25
19-20
14-24
14-25
18-15
17-24
17-23
18-28
20-23
21-26
15-20
22-17
10-22
21-19
23-22
23-23
32-17
9-22
20-18
25-14
25-22
22-23
25-35
23-27
14-20
24-20
24-29
18-27
29-16
20-18
26-22
19-36
20-27
17-17
19-18
167.1Avg total
80.2Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.086.0169.0-3.050%
Season at home (1)97.094.0191.0+3.0100%
Season away (3)78.383.3161.7-5.033%
Last 10 (10)80.286.9167.1-6.740%
Last 5 (5)86.890.2177.0-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.289.6167.8-11.440%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.379.9161.2+1.456%
vs Weaker (10)89.973.4163.3+16.590%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A12/05
Super League
Zlatibor Cajetina
#7
W
96-90
96
90
+6
H15/05
Super League
Partizan
#2
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A22/05
Super League
Partizan
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H24/05
Super League
Vrsac
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H28/05
Super League
Vrsac
#9
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A30/05
Super League
Igokea
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A30/09
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
89-61
89
61
+28
H06/10
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
W
95-86
95
86
+9
A13/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H19/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
20-30
18-21
23-21
25-15
26-32
21-29
24-14
20-22
14-22
17-30
17-23
26-20
20-26
20-24
13-23
18-17
30-12
14-23
32-24
22-15
20-15
18-16
23-15
18-15
22-18
21-20
19-26
17-15
23-20
26-16
23-10
27-23
20-24
26-21
22-18
20-18
19-30
17-15
18-11
165.1Avg total
84.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.275.8162.0+10.5100%
Season at home (2)85.069.0154.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)87.582.5170.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.280.9165.1+3.370%
Last 5 (5)85.672.8158.4+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.287.8166.0-9.618%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.979.6162.4+3.367%
vs Weaker (9)92.875.7168.4+17.189%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
Mornar BarMega Bemax
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H31/05
Prva A Liga
Partizan
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H20/09
ABA Supercup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A28/09
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H03/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A07/10
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A10/10
Eurocup
Partizan
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H14/10
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H17/10
Eurocup
Zadar
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A21/10
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A24/10
Eurocup
84.8Avg total
41.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.683.3-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.741.584.2+1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)39.143.582.6-4.438%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.584.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.645.891.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.746.786.4-7.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.441.479.9-3.033%-
vs Weaker (10)43.639.082.6+4.660%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A12/05
Super League
Zlatibor Cajetina
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H15/05
Super League
Partizan
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A22/05
Super League
Partizan
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H24/05
Super League
Vrsac
#9
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H28/05
Super League
Vrsac
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A30/05
Super League
Igokea
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A30/09
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H06/10
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A13/10
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H19/10
ABA League
82.9Avg total
42.3Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.484.0+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.341.987.2+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.040.880.8-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.682.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.680.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.445.084.4-5.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.342.081.3-2.744%-
vs Weaker (9)48.836.885.6+12.089%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.6
48.4%
51.6%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.4
37.6%
33.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.918.5
74.3%
72.5%18.5
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.5
53.4%
51.6%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.5
36.2%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.815.0
65.8%
72.5%15.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LWLWWLLLLW
Mega Bemax
WWWWWWLLWL
#10
League position
#7
-10.9
Net rating
+6.3
106.6
Offensive rating
107.3
117.6
Defensive rating
101.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.2%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.6%
3-point %
36.2%
49.6%
Assist %
63.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 107.3Defence117.6 · 101.1Shooting51.8% · 53.7%3-point %37.6% · 36.2%Ball care19.1% · 19.2%Off. rebounds28.3% · 34.3%Free throws0.42 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Mega Bemax
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mornar Bar wins
4
Mega Bemax wins
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/18AFrankfurt75-98
21/10/18AZadar93-83
17/10/18HUnicaja85-96
14/10/18HPartizan97-94
10/10/18ATorino84-80
07/10/18AKK Krka Novo mesto76-80
03/10/18HUnics Kazan74-97
28/09/18APetrol Olimpija66-87
20/09/18HPartizan77-91
31/05/18HBuducnost75-63
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/18HPetrol Olimpija81-77 OT
13/10/18ACedevita95-86
06/10/18HFMP Beograd89-61
30/09/18AIgokea80-79
30/05/18AVrsac83-61
28/05/18HVrsac94-76
24/05/18HPartizan79-93
22/05/18APartizan68-97
15/05/18HZlatibor Cajetina96-90
12/05/18ABorac Mozzart77-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game83.097.078.3
Allowed / game86.094.083.3
Point differential-3.0+3.0-5.0
Avg total169.0191.0161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Bemax
ABA League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.285.087.5
Allowed / game75.869.082.5
Point differential+10.5+16.0+5.0
Avg total162.0154.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda550100%84.470.4+14.0
2 Mega Bemax440100%86.275.8+10.5
3 Buducnost53260%75.870.2+5.6
4 Mornar Bar42250%83.086.0-3.0
5 Petrol Olimpija52340%82.478.0+4.4
6 Cedevita52340%80.680.6+0.0
7 Igokea52340%81.883.6-1.8
8 Partizan52340%84.887.0-2.2
9 Cibona52340%79.682.0-2.4
10 FMP Beograd52340%76.884.6-7.8
11 KK Krka Novo mesto52340%72.681.8-9.2
12 Zadar51420%86.092.6-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1723211980
Mega Bemax2919191784
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