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Moron vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-90 (OT)
13-17 23-26 27-10 10-20 20-17
Position#11
Record4-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game79.5
Moron 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#12
Record4-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game75.2
SpainSegunda FEBRound 9· Pabellón Alameda
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Moron winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MoronSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoron
Date
Competition
Alicante
#12
W
72-65
72
65
+7
59avg 59
H03/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
65-82
65
82
-17
54avg 59
A09/05
Primera FEB
Jaen
#23
W
84-64
84
64
+20
no box
A05/10
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
65-86
65
86
-21
no box
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#24
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A19/10
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
L
88-89
88
89
-1
no box
H25/10
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
H01/11
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
L
72-92
72
92
-20
no box
A09/11
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
L
75-95
75
95
-20
no box
H15/11
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#13
W
67-62
67
62
+5
no box
A22/11
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
15-20
22-14
24-12
10-16
27-14
11-30
17-22
24-16
18-19
21-13
21-16
22-20
9-11
20-27
14-28
30-19
15-22
19-18
25-19
20-22
21-16
22-15
25-36
22-25
12-18
19-8
26-19
14-27
22-22
12-25
24-18
24-27
22-30
16-19
13-19
17-11
21-17
10-18
19-16
153.9Avg total
75.6Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.479.5156.9-2.150%
Season at home (4)76.885.0161.8-8.225%
Season away (4)78.074.0152.0+4.075%
Last 10 (10)75.678.3153.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)76.281.6157.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)69.081.1150.1-12.111%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.283.7158.9-8.433%
vs Weaker (3)84.070.7154.7+13.3100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToledo
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H08/11
NCAA
Jaen
#23
W
97-68
97
68
+29
no box
H09/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#94
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
A12/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
90-83
90
83
+7
no box
H15/11
NCAA
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
A16/11
Segunda FEB
Youngstown State
#227
W
92-75
92
75
+17
no box
H20/11
NCAA
Logrono
#24
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
H22/11
Segunda FEB
Troy
#84
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
A24/11
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
A26/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#486
W
102-58
102
58
+44
no box
H01/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-30
0-0
33-55
25-11
27-15
18-24
27-18
0-0
34-39
0-0
47-32
0-0
41-37
0-0
49-46
20-25
19-27
22-19
18-12
0-0
41-35
0-0
51-40
18-16
22-17
17-25
24-15
0-0
30-36
0-0
45-32
0-0
33-36
0-0
39-51
0-0
46-21
0-0
56-37
159.3Avg total
84.2Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.575.2157.8+7.250%
Season at home (4)89.573.2162.8+16.275%
Season away (4)75.577.2152.8-1.825%
Last 10 (10)84.275.1159.3+9.170%
Last 5 (5)84.472.2156.6+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.088.8170.8-6.844%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.875.9150.7-1.233%
vs Weaker (9)89.874.2164.0+15.689%
This opponent (Moron) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.1+5.1
MoronToledo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MoronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#12
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H03/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A09/05
Primera FEB
Jaen
#23
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A05/10
Segunda FEB
Iraurgi SB
#9
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Logrono
#24
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A19/10
Segunda FEB
CBC Valladolid
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H25/10
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H01/11
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A09/11
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H15/11
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A22/11
Segunda FEB
76.7Avg total
37.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.040.977.9-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.039.676.6-2.633%-
Last 30 away (15)36.942.279.1-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.176.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.082.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)35.841.277.0-5.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.140.878.9-2.744%-
vs Weaker (3)40.339.780.0+0.767%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Jaen
#23
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H09/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#94
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A16/11
Segunda FEB
Youngstown State
#227
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Logrono
#24
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H22/11
Segunda FEB
Troy
#84
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A24/11
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A26/11
NCAA
Central State (OH)
#486
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H01/12
NCAA
74.1Avg total
39.6Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.275.9-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.135.475.4+4.765%-
Last 30 away (13)34.741.976.6-7.215%-
Last 10 (10)39.634.574.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.032.270.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.643.179.7-6.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.039.573.5-5.517%-
vs Weaker (9)43.931.675.4+12.389%-
This opponent (Moron) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Moron wins
0
Toledo wins
No previous meetings.
Moronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25ACaceres67-62
15/11/25HCordoba75-95
09/11/25AClavijo72-92
01/11/25HGijon79-70
25/10/25HCBC Valladolid88-89
19/10/25ALogrono89-78
11/10/25HIraurgi SB65-86
05/10/25AJaen84-64
09/05/25AFuenlabrada65-82
03/05/25HAlicante72-65
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/25HCentral State (OH)102-58
26/11/25ABelmont72-87
24/11/25ATroy75-68
22/11/25HLogrono81-73
20/11/25HYoungstown State92-75
16/11/25AIraurgi SB79-83
15/11/25HDetroit90-83
12/11/25AWright State81-71
09/11/25HJaen97-68
08/11/25HMarshall73-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Moron
Segunda FEB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%25%75%
Points / game77.476.878.0
Allowed / game79.585.074.0
Point differential-2.1-8.2+4.0
Avg total156.9161.8152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
Segunda FEB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game82.589.575.5
Allowed / game75.273.277.2
Point differential+7.2+16.2-1.8
Avg total157.8162.8152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cordoba880100%81.868.5+13.2
2 Iraurgi SB87188%79.973.9+6.0
3 CBC Valladolid76186%82.675.7+6.9
4 Gandia86275%85.678.5+7.1
5 Albacete86275%86.079.5+6.5
6 Ponferrada86275%85.179.0+6.1
7 Castello86275%85.479.8+5.6
8 Sant Antoni96367%82.378.2+4.1
9 Caja 8785362%76.171.0+5.1
10 Huesca85362%88.485.1+3.2
11 Benicarlo85362%80.978.2+2.6
12 Leonesa74357%86.784.4+2.3
13 Spanish Basketball Academy95456%77.073.7+3.3
14 Lliria95456%83.079.9+3.1
15 Toledo84450%82.575.2+7.2
16 Moron84450%77.479.5-2.1
17 CB Getafe94544%85.382.6+2.8
18 CB Zaragoza83538%83.081.5+1.5
19 Caceres83538%73.673.9-0.2
20 Sol Girones Bisbal93633%73.180.1-7.0
21 Clavijo82625%78.579.6-1.1
22 Gijon82625%78.684.9-6.2
23 Mataro82625%76.883.9-7.1
24 Molina Basket82625%76.185.6-9.5
25 Jaen82625%75.086.6-11.6
26 Logrono81712%72.280.8-8.5
27 Valle de Egues81712%75.491.2-15.9
28 Salou91811%73.088.2-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Moron132327102093
Toledo172610201790
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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