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Troy vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 68-75
36-30 32-45
Position#84
Record4-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#156
Record3-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Troy v Toledo
24 Nov 2025
TROY68
TOLE75
04 Nov 2024
TROY84
TOLE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A10/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H10/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A21/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
103-97 OT
103
97
+6
A04/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Pensacola Christian
#695
W
121-56
121
56
+65
H12/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A15/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A17/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
A19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
A21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-23
39-37
41-43
53-38
27-35
30-41
42-34
45-53
36-23
28-38
57-27
64-29
25-27
38-47
49-51
36-43
38-38
51-51
29-29
39-39
169.3Avg total
88.0Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.985.1178.0+7.757%
Season at home (1)121.056.0177.0+65.0100%
Season away (6)88.290.0178.2-1.850%
Last 10 (10)88.081.3169.3+6.760%
Last 5 (5)96.687.6184.2+9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.573.5147.0-0.162%
vs Weaker (16)77.667.4145.0+10.169%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ponferrada
#14
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H26/10
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A02/11
Segunda FEB
South Alabama
#120
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H04/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H08/11
NCAA
Jaen
#23
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H09/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#94
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A12/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A16/11
Segunda FEB
Youngstown State
#227
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H20/11
NCAA
Logrono
#24
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H22/11
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
20-22
19-22
23-23
12-26
16-16
17-11
17-17
0-0
26-39
0-0
48-37
0-0
40-30
0-0
33-55
25-11
27-15
18-24
27-18
0-0
34-39
0-0
47-32
0-0
41-37
0-0
49-46
20-25
19-27
22-19
18-12
0-0
41-35
0-0
51-40
18-16
22-17
17-25
24-15
158.0Avg total
81.1Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.078.0160.0+4.060%
Season at home (4)82.279.8162.0+2.550%
Season away (1)81.071.0152.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.176.9158.0+4.250%
Last 5 (5)84.677.0161.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.188.3169.4-7.244%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.876.1152.9+0.838%
vs Weaker (8)88.276.2164.5+12.088%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +3.4+3.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.4+5.41st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +3.4+3.4
TroyToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A10/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H10/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A21/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A04/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A08/11
NCAA
Pensacola Christian
#695
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H12/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A15/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A17/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A21/11
NCAA
71.4Avg total
38.4Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.630.766.4+4.957%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.829.069.8+11.883%-
Last 30 away (18)32.231.964.1+0.339%-
Last 10 (10)38.433.071.4+5.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.634.474.0+5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.133.065.1-0.938%-
vs Weaker (16)37.229.166.3+8.169%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ponferrada
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H26/10
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A02/11
Segunda FEB
South Alabama
#120
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H04/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Jaen
#23
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H09/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#94
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A16/11
Segunda FEB
Youngstown State
#227
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Logrono
#24
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H22/11
Segunda FEB
75.4Avg total
38.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.277.2-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.136.775.8+2.459%-
Last 30 away (13)36.542.478.9-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)38.137.375.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.278.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.244.080.2-7.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.839.775.5-3.931%-
vs Weaker (8)43.632.976.5+10.888%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Troy wins
0
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
05/11/24Troy v Toledo84-74
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25AUSC106-107 OT
19/11/25ASan Diego State108-107 OT
17/11/25ACS Northridge85-94
15/11/25ALoyola Marymount63-74
12/11/25HPensacola Christian121-56
08/11/25AFurman64-61
04/11/25AKent State103-97 OT
21/03/25AKentucky57-76
10/03/25HArkansas State94-81
10/03/25AJames Madison79-60
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HLogrono81-73
20/11/25HYoungstown State92-75
16/11/25AIraurgi SB79-83
15/11/25HDetroit90-83
12/11/25AWright State81-71
09/11/25HJaen97-68
08/11/25HMarshall73-85
04/11/25HSouth Alabama74-76
02/11/25ACaja 8762-70
26/10/25HPonferrada82-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeW100%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games716
Win %57%100%50%
Points / game92.9121.088.2
Allowed / game85.156.090.0
Point differential+7.7+65.0-1.8
Avg total178.0177.0178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %43%0%50%
Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%50%100%
Points / game82.082.281.0
Allowed / game78.079.871.0
Point differential+4.0+2.5+10.0
Avg total160.0162.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall65183%84.078.0+6.0
2 Texas State75271%74.065.4+8.6
3 South Alabama75271%74.667.9+6.7
4 Appalachian State64267%72.866.2+6.7
5 Southern Miss74357%80.771.7+9.0
6 Coastal Carolina74357%76.068.0+8.0
7 Troy74357%92.985.1+7.7
8 James Madison63350%76.276.0+0.2
9 Georgia Southern63350%85.586.8-1.3
10 Arkansas State63350%79.385.3-6.0
11 Old Dominion73443%75.174.7+0.4
12 Georgia State61517%64.074.0-10.0
13 Louisiana Lafayette61517%59.275.7-16.5
14 Louisiana Monroe71614%71.082.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)550100%95.867.4+28.4
2 Buffalo550100%81.672.4+9.2
3 Akron65183%95.070.3+24.7
4 Kent State75271%92.686.4+6.1
5 Bowling Green53260%89.469.2+20.2
6 Toledo53260%82.078.0+4.0
7 Eastern Michigan53260%77.874.0+3.8
8 UMass63350%78.874.2+4.7
9 Northern Illinois63350%80.576.3+4.2
10 Western Michigan73443%77.378.9-1.6
11 Ball State52340%65.668.4-2.8
12 Central Michigan62433%69.875.2-5.3
13 Ohio51420%74.285.8-11.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy363268
Toledo304575
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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