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Toledo vs Youngstown State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 92-75
41-35 51-40
Position#156
Record2-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game78.8
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#227
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Youngstown State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valle de Egues
#28
W
98-67
98
67
+31
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A19/10
Segunda FEB
Ponferrada
#14
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H26/10
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A02/11
Segunda FEB
South Alabama
#120
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H04/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H08/11
NCAA
Jaen
#23
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H09/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#94
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A12/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A16/11
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
18-18
23-14
25-18
26-19
16-14
27-18
21-22
20-18
20-22
19-22
23-23
12-26
16-16
17-11
17-17
0-0
26-39
0-0
48-37
0-0
40-30
0-0
33-55
25-11
27-15
18-24
27-18
0-0
34-39
0-0
47-32
0-0
41-37
0-0
49-46
20-25
19-27
22-19
18-12
158.7Avg total
82.6Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.578.8158.2+0.850%
Season at home (3)79.081.3160.3-2.333%
Season away (1)81.071.0152.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.676.1158.7+6.550%
Last 5 (5)84.078.0162.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.786.1165.8-6.445%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.676.2151.8-0.633%
vs Weaker (7)89.376.7166.0+12.686%
This opponent (Youngstown State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Youngstown StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H22/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H23/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A01/03
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A11/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#38
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A11/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A04/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A08/11
NCAA
Penn State-Shenango
#687
W
115-53
115
53
+62
H10/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-43
31-41
33-32
48-45
35-43
44-45
26-26
46-41
22-21
34-33
29-34
49-55
28-34
31-40
38-37
52-44
43-34
72-19
33-36
47-48
153.5Avg total
78.4Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.073.0159.0+13.050%
Season at home (1)115.053.0168.0+62.0100%
Season away (3)76.379.7156.0-3.333%
Last 10 (10)78.475.1153.5+3.350%
Last 5 (5)84.476.2160.6+8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.975.0150.9+0.953%
vs Weaker (15)81.569.5150.9+12.080%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +4.3+4.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +4.3+4.3
ToledoYoungstown State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valle de Egues
#28
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H11/10
Segunda FEB
Leonesa
#19
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/10
Segunda FEB
Ponferrada
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H26/10
Segunda FEB
Caja 87
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A02/11
Segunda FEB
South Alabama
#120
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H04/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H08/11
NCAA
Jaen
#23
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H09/11
Segunda FEB
Wright State
#94
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Iraurgi SB
#9
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A16/11
Segunda FEB
76.5Avg total
39.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.976.7-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.636.675.2+2.056%-
Last 30 away (14)36.941.578.4-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.376.5+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.878.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.541.578.0-4.945%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.340.175.4-4.825%-
vs Weaker (7)44.132.977.0+11.386%-
This opponent (Youngstown State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Youngstown StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Milwaukee
#84
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H23/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A01/03
NCAA
IPFW
#128
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#95
W
22-21
22
21
+1
A11/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#38
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A11/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A04/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A08/11
NCAA
Penn State-Shenango
#687
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/11
NCAA
67.0Avg total
33.0Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.433.268.6+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.634.072.6+4.657%-
Last 30 away (16)32.632.465.1+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)33.034.067.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.069.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.735.468.1-2.733%-
vs Weaker (15)38.130.969.0+7.173%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toledo wins
1
Youngstown State wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24Youngstown State v Toledo93-87
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25AIraurgi SB79-83
15/11/25HDetroit90-83
12/11/25AWright State81-71
09/11/25HJaen97-68
08/11/25HMarshall73-85
04/11/25HSouth Alabama74-76
02/11/25ACaja 8762-70
26/10/25HPonferrada82-85
19/10/25ALeonesa90-73
11/10/25HValle de Egues98-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25ASt. Bonaventure80-84
10/11/25HPenn State-Shenango115-53
08/11/25AGrand Canyon90-81
04/11/25APittsburgh59-74
11/03/25ARobert Morris78-89
11/03/25ACleveland State56-54
07/03/25HIPFW72-67
01/03/25ANorthern Kentucky79-88
23/02/25HWisc. Green Bay81-77
22/02/25HWisc. Milwaukee74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game79.579.081.0
Allowed / game78.881.371.0
Point differential+0.8-2.3+10.0
Avg total158.2160.3152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Youngstown State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game86.0115.076.3
Allowed / game73.053.079.7
Point differential+13.0+62.0-3.3
Avg total159.0168.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)330100%97.360.7+36.7
2 Buffalo550100%81.672.4+9.2
3 Bowling Green43175%93.266.0+27.2
4 Akron43175%94.272.0+22.2
5 UMass43175%83.274.2+9.0
6 Kent State64267%92.889.0+3.8
7 Eastern Michigan42250%73.069.8+3.2
8 Central Michigan42250%70.569.0+1.5
9 Ball State42250%69.068.0+1.0
10 Toledo42250%79.578.8+0.8
11 Northern Illinois52340%81.479.8+1.6
12 Western Michigan52340%80.080.2-0.2
13 Ohio41325%74.588.2-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Robert Morris43175%81.071.0+10.0
2 Cleveland State53260%82.289.6-7.4
3 Youngstown State42250%86.073.0+13.0
4 Northern Kentucky42250%86.578.0+8.5
5 Wisc. Milwaukee52340%78.285.0-6.8
6 IPFW62433%90.379.3+11.0
7 Wright State51420%71.072.6-1.6
8 Oakland51420%79.284.0-4.8
9 Detroit51420%75.681.8-6.2
10 Wisc. Green Bay51420%67.278.4-11.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo415192
Youngstown State354075
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