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Morphou vs Keravnos Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game83.0
Morphou
Cyprus
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Keravnos
Cyprus
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game75.2
CyprusDivision ARound 10· Lefkotheo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Morphou v Keravnos
11 Dec 2026
MORP v KER
upcoming
08 Dec 2025
MORP82
KER99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morphou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Keravnos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MorphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMorphou
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
64avg 59
H24/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
51avg 59
A02/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 59
H08/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
57avg 59
A14/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
68avg 59
A07/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
L
65-76
65
76
-11
23avg 59
A09/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
75avg 59
A18/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 59
H25/10
Division A
AEL
#3
L
49-71
49
71
-22
35avg 59
A30/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
78-103
78
103
-25
no box
H08/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
26-16
17-20
18-30
17-24
20-23
18-17
14-11
24-21
27-21
22-24
20-25
12-32
19-15
20-23
22-26
21-24
16-19
17-24
19-22
17-19
14-9
17-22
17-26
22-24
21-19
18-35
21-13
24-20
16-20
23-22
13-12
11-20
15-22
13-19
10-10
10-29
18-25
33-21
17-28
159.1Avg total
73.3Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.083.0153.0-13.020%
Season at home (2)77.088.5165.5-11.550%
Season away (3)65.379.3144.7-14.00%
Last 10 (10)73.385.8159.1-12.520%
Last 5 (5)70.083.0153.0-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.888.3163.1-13.513%
vs Similar (6)74.875.0149.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (2)92.588.5181.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
95-62
95
62
+33
97avg 86
A10/10
Division A
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
88-78
88
78
+10
92avg 86
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
93avg 86
H18/10
Division A
Szczecin
#16
L
65-78
65
78
-13
57avg 86
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#7
W
90-75
90
75
+15
98avg 86
A24/10
Division A
Vienna Basket
#32
W
85-83
85
83
+2
81avg 86
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#9
W
94-84
94
84
+10
99avg 86
H31/10
Division A
Nancy
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#5
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A07/11
Division A
Parnu
#39
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
26-20
20-14
18-14
23-21
22-16
18-26
25-15
24-22
19-21
35-18
13-21
18-22
21-19
16-19
10-18
19-19
21-18
32-15
18-23
26-22
22-25
22-20
15-16
18-29
26-14
22-29
28-12
17-20
21-22
18-23
17-21
17-21
23-19
24-11
16-22
17-21
22-20
15-11
32-13
161.3Avg total
84.7Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.075.2165.2+14.8100%
Season at home (2)92.583.0175.5+9.5100%
Season away (3)88.370.0158.3+18.3100%
Last 10 (10)84.776.6161.3+8.180%
Last 5 (5)83.678.2161.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
vs Similar (8)75.178.0153.1-2.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.874.4166.2+17.490%
This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
MorphouKeravnos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MorphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H24/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A02/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H08/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A14/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A09/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A18/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/10
Division A
AEL
#3
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A30/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H08/11
Division A
79.2Avg total
36.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)36.143.579.6-7.417%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.542.579.1-6.027%-
Last 30 away (12)35.744.380.0-8.78%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.879.2-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.641.475.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.642.878.4-7.220%-
vs Similar (6)33.042.875.8-9.80%-
vs Weaker (2)49.050.599.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A10/10
Division A
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H18/10
Division A
Szczecin
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A24/10
Division A
Vienna Basket
#32
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H31/10
Division A
Nancy
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/11
Division A
Parnu
#39
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
83.8Avg total
43.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.438.783.0+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.937.783.6+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)42.939.682.5+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.340.583.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.684.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.042.080.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (8)39.140.479.5-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.737.984.5+8.876%-
This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Morphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Morphou: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.817.8
47.1%
52.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.4
28.4%
34.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.411.9
72.6%
72.9%11.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.2
55.4%
52.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.2
39.3%
34.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.713.4
75.7%
72.9%13.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Morphou
LLWLLLLWLL
Keravnos
WWLWWWLWWW
#8
League position
#2
-6.8
Net rating
+20.3
85.6
Offensive rating
106.5
92.4
Defensive rating
86.2
45.2%
Effective FG%
56.7%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.4%
3-point %
39.3%
65.5%
Assist %
72.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence85.6 · 106.5Defence92.4 · 86.2Shooting45.2% · 56.7%3-point %28.4% · 39.3%Ball care14.9% · 14.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Morphou   ■ Keravnos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morphou wins
3
Keravnos wins
DateGameScore
18/10/26Keravnos v Morphou91-82
14/02/26Keravnos v Morphou96-73
08/12/25Morphou v Keravnos82-99
Morphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HAEK Larnaca78-103
30/10/26AAEL49-71
25/10/26HAnorthosis76-74
18/10/26AKeravnos82-91
09/10/26AETHA Engomi65-76
07/03/26AParalimni73-89
14/02/26AKeravnos73-96
08/02/26HETHA Engomi93-91
02/02/26AApoel BC69-75
24/01/26HAEL75-92
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AParnu86-65
07/11/26AApoel BC80-73
03/11/26ANancy73-86
31/10/26HAnorthosis94-84
27/10/26AVienna Basket85-83
24/10/26AApollon90-75
21/10/26HSzczecin65-78
18/10/26HMorphou91-82
14/10/26ANitra Blue Wings88-78
10/10/26AAchilleas K.95-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morphou
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game70.077.065.3
Allowed / game83.088.579.3
Point differential-13.0-11.5-14.0
Avg total153.0165.5144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keravnos
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.092.588.3
Allowed / game75.283.070.0
Point differential+14.8+9.5+18.3
Avg total165.2175.5158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca550100%89.669.6+20.0
2 Keravnos550100%90.075.2+14.8
3 AEL54180%77.870.0+7.8
4 Paralimni64267%84.779.2+5.5
5 Apoel BC63350%77.375.2+2.2
6 ETHA Engomi63350%69.772.3-2.7
7 Apollon62433%70.079.3-9.3
8 Morphou51420%70.083.0-13.0
9 Anorthosis5050%75.082.2-7.2
10 Achilleas K.5050%74.491.6-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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