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Toros del Valle vs Cimarrones del Choco Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 112-108
27-37 28-27 32-23 25-21
Position#5
Record31-29
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#7
Record15-31
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game82.3
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo Evangelista Mora
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toros del Valle v Cimarrones del Choco
20 Nov 2025
TORO76
CIMA54
19 Nov 2025
TORO75
CIMA79
18 Oct 2025
TORO118
CIMA85
17 Oct 2025
TORO76
CIMA45
31 May 2025
TORO124
CIMA82
30 May 2025
TORO113
CIMA82
10 May 2025
TORO80
CIMA71
09 May 2025
TORO91
CIMA95
20 Nov 2024
TORO90
CIMA94
19 Nov 2024
TORO112
CIMA108
11 Jun 2024
TORO100
CIMA86
10 Jun 2024
TORO90
CIMA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros del Valle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros del ValleColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValle
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
104-116
104
116
-12
97avg 77
H01/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
100-90
100
90
+10
96avg 77
H02/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
87-92
87
92
-5
81avg 77
A04/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
75-83
75
83
-8
60avg 77
A06/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
71-78
71
78
-7
68avg 77
A09/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
90-86
90
86
+4
86avg 77
A09/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
83-62
83
62
+21
75avg 77
H11/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
135-95
135
95
+40
143avg 77
H13/11
LBP
Paisas
#6
W
106-75
106
75
+31
108avg 77
H16/11
LBP
Paisas
#6
W
94-79
94
79
+15
86avg 77
H16/11
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-29
28-30
27-29
19-28
30-20
26-24
21-24
23-22
21-22
21-23
21-30
24-17
23-17
27-21
10-19
15-26
16-20
22-19
19-29
14-10
22-17
19-26
23-27
26-16
19-17
14-17
25-13
25-15
35-21
27-24
37-28
36-22
19-21
30-21
28-16
29-17
24-22
17-21
29-25
24-11
180.1Avg total
94.5Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)86.384.0170.3+2.452%
Season at home (29)90.885.3176.1+5.466%
Season away (31)82.282.7164.9-0.539%
Last 10 (10)94.585.6180.1+8.960%
Last 5 (5)101.679.4181.0+22.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.083.0153.0-13.00%
vs Similar (18)85.980.7166.6+5.261%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)93.878.9172.7+14.970%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Paisas
#6
W
75-61
75
61
+14
70avg 67
H23/10
LBP
Paisas
#6
L
65-72
65
72
-7
55avg 67
H24/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
117-119 OT
117
119
-2
102avg 67
H26/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
63-86
63
86
-23
55avg 67
H27/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
86-79
86
79
+7
74avg 67
A07/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
67-63
67
63
+4
65avg 67
A08/11
LBP
Paisas
#6
L
67-69
67
69
-2
40avg 67
A11/11
LBP
Paisas
#6
W
72-69
72
69
+3
62avg 67
A12/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
114-88
114
88
+26
118avg 67
A15/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
120-86
120
86
+34
110avg 67
A17/11
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-9
17-21
17-19
16-12
11-25
20-29
14-11
20-7
23-26
16-19
16-16
23-17
20-19
20-17
11-30
12-20
29-21
15-22
20-19
22-17
13-14
26-20
15-14
13-15
14-28
18-15
21-15
14-11
15-25
27-8
18-23
12-13
32-18
17-23
27-25
38-22
26-23
33-20
29-14
32-29
163.8Avg total
84.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)78.782.3161.0-3.633%
Season at home (22)80.282.2162.4-2.041%
Season away (24)77.382.4159.7-5.025%
Last 10 (10)84.679.2163.8+5.460%
Last 5 (5)88.075.0163.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.583.6157.1-10.114%
vs Similar (12)82.681.4164.0+1.258%
vs Weaker (4)106.890.5197.2+16.275%
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +3.9+3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +3.9+3.9
Toros del ValleCimarrones del Choco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toros del ValleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H01/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H02/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/11
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#8
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A06/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A09/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A09/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H11/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H13/11
LBP
Paisas
#6
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H16/11
LBP
Paisas
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H16/11
LBP
90.2Avg total
47.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.140.385.4+4.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.543.490.9+4.150%-
Last 30 away (16)42.937.680.5+5.450%-
Last 10 (10)47.043.290.2+3.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.486.6+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.542.085.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (18)42.540.783.2+1.839%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)50.039.289.2+10.870%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paisas
#6
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H23/10
LBP
Paisas
#6
L
31-54
31
54
-23
H24/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H26/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H27/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A07/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/11
LBP
Paisas
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A11/11
LBP
Paisas
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A12/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A15/11
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A17/11
LBP
81.9Avg total
41.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.982.6-1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.141.579.6-3.444%-
Last 30 away (14)43.642.486.0+1.164%-
Last 10 (10)41.740.281.9+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.883.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.241.278.4-4.043%-
vs Similar (12)42.243.285.4-0.958%-
vs Weaker (4)48.040.888.8+7.275%-
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toros del Valletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros del Valle: 93.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.622.4
56.6%
50.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.4
38.1%
32.0%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.514.9
69.3%
68.5%14.9
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.622.1
50.7%
50.3%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.7
34.8%
32.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.310.4
60.1%
68.5%10.4
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toros del Valle
WWWWWLLLWL
Cimarrones del Choco
WWWLWWLLLW
#5
League position
#7
+11.6
Net rating
+5.3
114.5
Offensive rating
98.6
102.9
Defensive rating
93.3
56.8%
Effective FG%
51.3%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
17.8%
Turnover %
21.1%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.1%
3-point %
34.8%
60.4%
Assist %
58.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 98.6Defence102.9 · 93.3Shooting56.8% · 51.3%3-point %38.1% · 34.8%Ball care17.8% · 21.1%Off. rebounds30.4% · 28.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Toros del Valle   ■ Cimarrones del Choco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toros del Valle wins
2
Cimarrones del Choco wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HPaisas94-79
16/11/24HPaisas106-75
13/11/24HSabios de Manizales135-95
11/11/24HSabios de Manizales83-62
09/11/24ACaribbean Storm Islands90-86
09/11/24ACaribbean Storm Islands71-78
06/11/24APiratas de Bogota75-83
04/11/24APiratas de Bogota87-92
02/11/24HPiratas de Bogota100-90
01/11/24HPiratas de Bogota104-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24ASabios de Manizales120-86
15/11/24ASabios de Manizales114-88
12/11/24APaisas72-69
11/11/24APaisas67-69
08/11/24AMotilones del Norte67-63
07/11/24AMotilones del Norte86-79
27/10/24HMotilones del Norte63-86
26/10/24HMotilones del Norte117-119 OT
24/10/24HPaisas65-72
23/10/24HPaisas75-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros del Valle
LBP 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW52%
HomeWWWWW66%
AwayWLLLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games602931
Win %52%66%39%
Points / game86.390.882.2
Allowed / game84.085.382.7
Point differential+2.4+5.4-0.5
Avg total170.3176.1164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%52%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)50% (6)38% (8)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW33%
HomeLWLLL41%
AwayWLWWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462224
Win %33%41%25%
Points / game78.780.277.3
Allowed / game82.382.282.4
Point differential-3.6-2.0-5.0
Avg total161.0162.4159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)57% (7)43% (7)
Overtime %9%9%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Motilones del Norte53381572%82.676.2+6.5
2 Titanes de Barranquilla37261170%80.375.0+5.3
3 Caribbean Storm Islands53351866%84.278.0+6.1
4 Bucaros31181358%82.882.4+0.4
5 Toros del Valle60312952%86.384.0+2.4
6 Piratas de Bogota48192940%82.785.8-3.1
7 Paisas1861233%73.877.6-3.7
8 Cimarrones del Choco46153133%78.782.3-3.6
9 Corsarios Cartagena2872125%75.882.4-6.6
10 Sabios de Manizales2021810%76.298.9-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toros del Valle27283225112
Cimarrones del Choco37272321108
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