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Mount St. Mary's vs Canisius Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-47
0-0 20-24 0-0 48-23
Position#242
Record13-15
FormWLWWW
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game71.8
Mount St. Mary's 🏆
USA
vs
Canisius
USA
Position#327
Record9-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game63.4
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mount St. Mary's v Canisius
22 Feb 2026
MOUN68
CANI47
12 Mar 2024
MOUN61
CANI77
05 Jan 2024
MOUN74
CANI69
07 Mar 2023
MOUN67
CANI66
19 Feb 2023
MOUN75
CANI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mount St. Mary's winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canisius winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#327
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A17/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A19/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H23/01
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H24/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H06/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-34
0-0
45-34
0-0
30-34
0-0
38-24
0-0
32-41
0-0
30-36
0-0
33-33
0-0
38-28
0-0
33-32
0-0
25-34
0-0
32-27
0-0
40-38
0-0
40-39
0-0
30-48
0-0
39-34
0-0
44-42
0-0
28-21
0-0
37-34
0-0
31-31
0-0
45-32
137.9Avg total
70.3Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)68.471.8140.1-3.446%
Season at home (12)69.268.4137.7+0.858%
Season away (16)67.774.3142.0-6.638%
Last 10 (10)70.367.6137.9+2.770%
Last 5 (5)73.269.2142.4+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)61.377.2138.5-15.915%
vs Similar (8)74.073.8147.8+0.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)73.064.6137.6+8.478%
This opponent (Canisius) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanisiusUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H17/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A23/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H01/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A06/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H14/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H15/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A21/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-33
0-0
34-45
0-0
30-30
0-0
36-39
0-0
22-31
0-0
33-30
0-0
35-37
0-0
38-36
0-0
29-40
0-0
34-38
0-0
33-38
0-0
23-27
0-0
31-41
0-0
29-34
0-0
24-34
0-0
39-35
0-0
27-37
0-0
38-32
0-0
40-30
0-0
32-36
137.2Avg total
65.4Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)63.471.0134.3-7.632%
Season at home (13)68.968.6137.5+0.346%
Season away (15)58.573.0131.5-14.520%
Last 10 (10)65.471.8137.2-6.410%
Last 5 (5)63.268.8132.0-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)61.076.3137.3-15.414%
vs Similar (7)64.360.4124.7+3.957%
vs Weaker (1)72.066.0138.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
Mount St. Mary'sCanisius
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#327
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A19/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H23/01
NCAA
Rider
#367
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H24/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H06/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A14/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H21/02
NCAA
65.7Avg total
33.1Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.535.569.0-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.435.369.8-0.933%-
Last 30 away (18)32.935.768.6-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)33.132.665.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.030.464.4+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.336.868.2-5.538%-
vs Similar (8)37.437.074.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)33.232.365.6+0.933%-
This opponent (Canisius) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanisiusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A23/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A25/01
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H01/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A03/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A06/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H15/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A21/02
NCAA
65.6Avg total
30.5Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.834.764.5-4.927%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.032.463.4-1.438%-
Last 30 away (17)28.936.465.3-7.518%-
Last 10 (10)30.535.165.6-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)31.036.067.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)28.937.366.2-8.419%-
vs Similar (7)29.329.158.4+0.129%-
vs Weaker (1)40.030.070.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mount St. Mary's wins
2
Canisius wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26Canisius v Mount St. Mary's68-78
16/02/25Canisius v Mount St. Mary's66-73
12/03/24Mount St. Mary's v Canisius61-77
02/03/24Canisius v Mount St. Mary's61-56
06/01/24Mount St. Mary's v Canisius74-69
07/03/23Mount St. Mary's v Canisius67-66 OT
19/02/23Mount St. Mary's v Canisius75-74
02/01/23Canisius v Mount St. Mary's60-64
Mount St. Mary'slast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HNiagara76-63
14/02/26ARider65-55
08/02/26AIona83-76
06/02/26HMerrimack Warriors70-87
01/02/26HManhattan72-65
31/01/26ASt. Peters58-66
24/01/26HRider71-61
23/01/26HQuinnipiac62-77
19/01/26ANiagara68-58
17/01/26ACanisius78-68
Canisiuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26ARider72-66
15/02/26HManhattan65-69
14/02/26HIona63-69
06/02/26AQuinnipiac60-75
03/02/26ANiagara56-65
01/02/26HSiena63-78
31/01/26HMarist86-88 OT
25/01/26AFairfield55-61
23/01/26ASacred Heart66-69
17/01/26HMount St. Mary's68-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW46%
HomeLWWLW58%
AwayWWLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %46%58%38%
Points / game68.469.267.7
Allowed / game71.868.474.3
Point differential-3.4+0.8-6.6
Avg total140.1137.7142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%6%
Canisius
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW32%
HomeLLLLL46%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %32%46%20%
Points / game63.468.958.5
Allowed / game71.068.673.0
Point differential-7.6+0.3-14.5
Avg total134.3137.5131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)57% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Merrimack Warriors2920969%69.467.5+1.9
2 Marist28181064%70.463.7+6.7
3 Siena28181064%71.066.6+4.5
4 Quinnipiac28181064%75.571.4+4.1
5 Fairfield28171161%75.672.7+3.0
6 St. Peters25151060%71.968.7+3.2
7 Iona29161355%73.673.3+0.3
8 Mount St. Mary's28131546%68.471.8-3.4
9 Manhattan29121741%75.179.7-4.6
10 Sacred Heart30121840%75.577.0-1.4
11 Canisius2891932%63.471.0-7.6
12 Niagara2872125%63.371.0-7.7
13 Rider2742315%63.775.9-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mount St. Mary's02004868
Canisius02402347
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