Mrkonjic Grad will host Leotar Trebinje on 14 November 2026 in the Prvenstvo BiH, with the model favouring Leotar Trebinje at 59% to 41% for Mrkonjic Grad. Mrkonjic Grad has gone 1-5 this season, averaging 72.7 points and conceding 85.8, while Leotar Trebinje sits 6th with a 4-2 record, 69.7 points for and 71.7 against. At home Mrkonjic Grad is 1-2, 70.3 points for and 75.7 against, and in its last five it has won only once; the recent losses include 72-99 to Drina, 71-90 to Siroki Brijeg and 76-98 to Slavija. Leotar Trebinje on the road is 2-1, 71.3 points for and 73.3 against, and has won three of its last five, with a 70-68 win over Drina, a 81-75 victory over Borac Banja Luka and a 55-75 loss to Orlovik. Historically Leotar has won 7 of 10 encounters, though Mrkonjic Grad last beat them 76-70 on 18 April 2026. The model projects a 76-78 score, 153.8 total points, a 1.5-point spread with a 44% chance of Mrkonjic Grad covering, a 159.5 total line with a 36% over probability, and a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Leotar can maintain its recent road form against a struggling home side.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 72.7 | 85.8 | 158.5 | -13.2 | 17% |
| Season at home (3) | 70.3 | 75.7 | 146.0 | -5.3 | 33% |
| Season away (3) | 75.0 | 96.0 | 171.0 | -21.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.9 | 81.1 | 155.0 | -7.2 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 74.4 | 88.8 | 163.2 | -14.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 73.3 | 87.1 | 160.4 | -13.8 | 23% |
| vs Similar (8) | 74.5 | 74.1 | 148.6 | +0.4 | 50% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 69.7 | 71.7 | 141.3 | -2.0 | 67% |
| Season at home (3) | 68.0 | 70.0 | 138.0 | -2.0 | 67% |
| Season away (3) | 71.3 | 73.3 | 144.7 | -2.0 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.8 | 76.3 | 153.1 | +0.5 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 66.6 | 71.0 | 137.6 | -4.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 69.2 | 84.7 | 153.9 | -15.4 | 11% |
| vs Similar (11) | 85.1 | 80.2 | 165.3 | +4.9 | 73% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 94.1 | 85.8 | 179.9 | +8.3 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.2 | 41.9 | 79.1 | -4.7 | 33% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 36.1 | 37.9 | 74.0 | -1.7 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.2 | 45.9 | 84.1 | -7.7 | 27% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.6 | 39.6 | 77.2 | -2.0 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.4 | 47.4 | 84.8 | -10.0 | 0% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (22) | 36.6 | 44.1 | 80.8 | -7.5 | 23% | 59% |
| vs Similar (8) | 38.6 | 35.8 | 74.4 | +2.9 | 62% | 38% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.5 | 40.6 | 83.1 | +1.8 | 47% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.7 | 39.9 | 83.6 | +3.9 | 53% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.2 | 41.4 | 82.6 | -0.2 | 40% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.1 | 38.0 | 79.1 | +3.1 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.6 | 36.8 | 72.4 | -1.2 | 20% | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 37.9 | 41.1 | 79.0 | -3.2 | 22% | 56% |
| vs Similar (11) | 44.4 | 41.1 | 85.5 | +3.3 | 55% | 73% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 44.5 | 39.7 | 84.2 | +4.8 | 60% | 70% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mrkonjic Grad under 81.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp |
| ■■■■■■ ■■■ | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% | ■■% |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.2 | 19.7 | 53.9% | 39.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.4 | 6.9 | 32.9% | 20.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.3 | 13.1 | 67.4% | 13.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.2 | 21.8 | 53.9% | 43.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 21.5 | 5.8 | 32.9% | 17.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.2 | 13.3 | 67.4% | 13.3 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 | Mrkonjic Grad v Leotar Trebinje | 76-70 |
| 11/01/26 | Leotar Trebinje v Mrkonjic Grad | 106-77 |
| 01/03/25 | Mrkonjic Grad v Leotar Trebinje | 80-78 |
| 16/11/24 | Leotar Trebinje v Mrkonjic Grad | 86-79 |
| 03/03/24 | Leotar Trebinje v Mrkonjic Grad | 71-90 |
| 26/11/23 | Mrkonjic Grad v Leotar Trebinje | 78-79 OT |
| 19/03/23 | Mrkonjic Grad v Leotar Trebinje | 76-81 OT |
| 17/12/22 | Leotar Trebinje v Mrkonjic Grad | 81-69 |
| 13/02/22 | Mrkonjic Grad v Leotar Trebinje | 57-76 |
| 09/11/21 | Leotar Trebinje v Mrkonjic Grad | 90-87 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Drina | 72-99 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Siroki Brijeg | 71-90 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Slavija | 76-98 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Gradina Tesanj | 76-66 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Igman | 77-91 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Basket Zivinice | 64-71 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Leotar Trebinje | 76-70 |
| 11/04/26 | A | Promo | 87-83 |
| 05/04/26 | H | Radnicki Gorazde | 61-68 |
| 29/03/26 | A | Orlovik | 79-75 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Orlovik | 55-75 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Drina | 70-68 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Borac Banja Luka | 81-75 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Siroki Brijeg | 59-77 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Promo | 68-60 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Slavija | 85-75 |
| 18/04/26 | A | Mrkonjic Grad | 70-76 |
| 11/04/26 | H | Jahorina | 97-94 OT |
| 28/03/26 | H | Slavija | 87-65 |
| 21/03/26 | H | Promo | 96-98 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLL | 17% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Points / game | 72.7 | 70.3 | 75.0 |
| Allowed / game | 85.8 | 75.7 | 96.0 |
| Point differential | -13.2 | -5.3 | -21.0 |
| Avg total | 158.5 | 146.0 | 171.0 |
| Over 159.5 | 67% | 33% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWL | 67% |
| Home | WWL | 67% |
| Away | WLW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Points / game | 69.7 | 68.0 | 71.3 |
| Allowed / game | 71.7 | 70.0 | 73.3 |
| Point differential | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.0 |
| Avg total | 141.3 | 138.0 | 144.7 |
| Over 159.5 | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 85.2 | 72.4 | +12.8 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 81.6 | 76.9 | +4.7 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 74.9 | 73.0 | +1.9 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 87.0 | 76.0 | +11.0 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 69.7 | 71.7 | -2.0 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 78.9 | 74.4 | +4.4 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 80.0 | 75.9 | +4.1 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 84.6 | 82.6 | +2.0 | |
| 9 | Igman | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 86.7 | 85.9 | +0.9 |
| 10 | Drina | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 75.4 | 81.0 | -5.6 |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 70.1 | 75.9 | -5.7 | |
| 12 | Gradina Tesanj | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 72.7 | 80.3 | -7.6 |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 81.8 | 87.3 | -5.5 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 72.7 | 85.8 | -13.2 |
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