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Mrkonjic Grad vs Sloboda Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 72-87
Projected total 159.8
Scheduled
Position#14
Record1-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game84.1
Vs
90%
■ MRKO 10%■ SLOB 90%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
6.8/10
Above normal
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game76.0
Bosnia-and-HerzegovinaPrvenstvo BiHRound 8· Arena Komercijalne Banke
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mrkonjic Grad v Sloboda
21 Nov 2026
MRKO v SLOB
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
MRKO79
SLOB66
05 Jan 2025
MRKO70
SLOB72
11 May 2024
MRKO80
SLOB92
12 Nov 2023
MRKO86
SLOB85
04 Mar 2023
MRKO85
SLOB84
26 Jan 2022
MRKO73
SLOB84
19 Dec 2020
MRKO83
SLOB76
21 Mar 2018
MRKO102
SLOB93
04 Mar 2018
MRKO86
SLOB84
05 Nov 2016
MRKO90
SLOB83
06 Feb 2016
MRKO86
SLOB79
25 Oct 2014
MRKO79
SLOB66
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Mrkonjic Grad host Sloboda in the Prvenstvo BiH. Pythia makes Sloboda the favourite at 90% and projects 72-87, about 160 points in all. Overtime chance: 2%. Mrkonjic Grad are 1-6 this season (72.4 scored, 84.1 allowed a game), form WLLLL; Sloboda are 4-2 this season (87.0 scored, 76.0 allowed a game), form WWLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mrkonjic Grad win
9.7%fair 10.27
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sloboda win
90.3%fair 1.11
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mrkonjic GradBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrad
Date
Competition
Radnicki Gorazde
#15
L
61-68
61
68
-7
56avg 65
H05/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
81avg 65
A11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#8
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 65
H18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#3
L
64-71
64
71
-7
50avg 65
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#9
L
77-91
77
91
-14
63avg 65
A10/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Gradina Tesanj
#12
W
76-66
76
66
+10
69avg 65
H18/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
L
76-98
76
98
-22
63avg 65
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
57avg 65
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Drina
#10
L
72-99
72
99
-27
no box
A08/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
no box
H15/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
15-13
12-19
10-21
18-18
23-21
17-24
29-20
16-21
16-13
18-17
26-19
12-12
22-19
19-22
11-18
14-27
15-25
16-16
32-23
20-16
15-19
18-17
23-14
30-27
14-31
13-23
19-17
16-15
19-30
9-30
27-15
20-18
24-29
11-21
17-31
24-22
22-13
9-21
16-18
154.1Avg total
73.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.484.1156.6-11.714%
Season at home (4)70.575.2145.8-4.825%
Season away (3)75.096.0171.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)73.181.0154.1-7.930%
Last 5 (5)73.285.4158.6-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)73.586.2159.7-12.723%
vs Similar (8)74.574.1148.6+0.450%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSloboda
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
57avg 77
H23/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
45-88
45
88
-43
31avg 77
A25/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#2
L
81-84
81
84
-3
59avg 77
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#3
W
95-82
95
82
+13
90avg 77
A09/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#9
W
105-86
105
86
+19
96avg 77
H16/10
Prvenstvo BiH
TFT Skopje
#16
W
106-61
106
61
+45
109avg 77
H20/10
ABA League 2
Gradina Tesanj
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
94avg 77
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 77
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Podgorica
#15
W
112-96
112
96
+16
no box
A03/11
ABA League 2
Drina
#10
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
H13/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
18-14
19-24
16-17
14-22
15-23
4-22
12-21
23-19
17-12
19-25
22-28
20-19
32-15
28-20
15-28
30-20
29-25
24-20
22-21
27-12
27-14
26-20
26-15
21-21
20-18
26-13
24-14
12-18
13-18
20-15
25-21
20-25
30-27
31-21
31-23
24-10
15-20
24-17
17-19
162.5Avg total
85.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.076.0163.0+11.067%
Season at home (4)84.077.0161.0+7.050%
Season away (2)93.074.0167.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.177.4162.5+7.760%
Last 5 (5)91.872.2164.0+19.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.280.0153.2-6.840%
vs Similar (8)78.880.5159.2-1.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.676.5165.1+12.176%
This opponent (Mrkonjic Grad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 153.5
Over 153.5
64.7%
Under 153.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 158.5
Over 158.5
52.7%
Under 158.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163.5
Over 163.5
40.6%
Under 163.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Mrkonjic Grad total 77.5
Over 77.5
30.3%
Under 77.5
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mrkonjic Grad total 81.5
Over 81.5
18.3%
Under 81.5
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mrkonjic Grad total 85.5
Over 85.5
10.1%
Under 85.5
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda total 73
Over 73
93.1%
Under 73
6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda total 77
Over 77
86.0%
Under 77
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda total 81
Over 81
74.7%
Under 81
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Mrkonjic Grad -3
MRKO -3
6.5%
SLOB +3
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
MRKO
No market prices yet.
SLOB
No market prices yet.
Spread Mrkonjic Grad 0
MRKO 0
9.7%
SLOB 0
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
MRKO
No market prices yet.
SLOB
No market prices yet.
Spread Mrkonjic Grad +3
MRKO +3
13.4%
SLOB -3
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
MRKO
No market prices yet.
SLOB
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
Mrkonjic GradSloboda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mrkonjic GradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radnicki Gorazde
#15
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H05/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Promo
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A11/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H18/04
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#9
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A10/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Gradina Tesanj
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H18/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Drina
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A08/11
Prvenstvo BiH
Leotar Trebinje
#4
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H15/11
Prvenstvo BiH
78.3Avg total
37.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.441.579.0-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.837.774.4-0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)38.245.984.1-7.729%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.478.3-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.084.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)37.043.680.6-6.627%-
vs Similar (8)38.635.874.4+2.962%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sloboda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H23/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A25/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A09/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#9
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H16/10
Prvenstvo BiH
TFT Skopje
#16
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H20/10
ABA League 2
Gradina Tesanj
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#8
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Podgorica
#15
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A03/11
ABA League 2
Drina
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H13/11
Prvenstvo BiH
79.0Avg total
42.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.080.0+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.535.778.2+6.875%-
Last 30 away (14)41.440.682.1+0.857%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.079.0+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.678.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.436.875.2+1.660%-
vs Similar (8)40.138.278.4+1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.938.282.2+5.776%-
This opponent (Mrkonjic Grad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mrkonjic Gradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mrkonjic Grad: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.4 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.7
51.6%
53.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.9
28.3%
32.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.313.1
67.9%
67.4%13.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Slobodatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloboda: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.4 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.4
56.7%
53.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.9
31.2%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.015.8
71.8%
67.4%15.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mrkonjic Grad
LLLLWLLWWL
Sloboda
WWLWWWWLLL
#14
League position
#5
-6.1
Net rating
+7.4
86.3
Offensive rating
95.1
92.4
Defensive rating
87.7
48.0%
Effective FG%
52.5%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
14.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.3%
3-point %
31.2%
52.6%
Assist %
52.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence86.3 · 95.1Defence92.4 · 87.7Shooting48.0% · 52.5%3-point %28.3% · 31.2%Ball care14.1% · 15.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Mrkonjic Grad   ■ Sloboda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mrkonjic Grad wins
7
Sloboda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLeotar Trebinje71-74
08/11/26ADrina72-99
28/10/26HSiroki Brijeg71-90
24/10/26ASlavija76-98
18/10/26HGradina Tesanj76-66
10/10/26AIgman77-91
03/10/26HBasket Zivinice64-71
18/04/26HLeotar Trebinje76-70
11/04/26APromo87-83
05/04/26HRadnicki Gorazde61-68
Slobodalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HDrina80-66
03/11/26APodgorica112-96
28/10/26HSlavija70-72
24/10/26AGradina Tesanj91-66
20/10/26HTFT Skopje106-61
16/10/26HIgman105-86
09/10/26ABasket Zivinice95-82
03/10/26HOrlovik81-84
25/05/26AKK Bosna45-88
23/05/26HKK Bosna66-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mrkonjic Grad
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game72.470.575.0
Allowed / game84.175.296.0
Point differential-11.7-4.8-21.0
Avg total156.6145.8171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sloboda
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game87.084.093.0
Allowed / game76.077.074.0
Point differential+11.0+7.0+19.0
Avg total163.0161.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siroki Brijeg54180%85.272.4+12.8
2 Orlovik75271%81.676.9+4.7
3 Basket Zivinice75271%74.973.0+1.9
4 Leotar Trebinje75271%70.371.6-1.3
5 Sloboda64267%87.076.0+11.0
6 Zrinjski Mostar74357%78.974.4+4.4
7 Borac Banja Luka74357%80.075.9+4.1
8 Slavija74357%84.682.6+2.0
9 Igman74357%86.785.9+0.9
10 Drina72529%75.481.0-5.6
11 Promo72529%70.175.9-5.7
12 Gradina Tesanj72529%72.780.3-7.6
13 Radnicki Gorazde61517%81.887.3-5.5
14 Mrkonjic Grad71614%72.484.1-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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