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Mt Gambier vs Diamond Valley Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 96-76
24-20 23-21 26-16 23-19
Position#2
Record10-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game96.7
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#19
Record4-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game94.8
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Diamond Valley
27 Jun 2025
MT G96
DIAM76
09 Jun 2023
MT G91
DIAM77
23 Apr 2022
MT G101
DIAM95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Valley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#9
L
88-118
88
118
-30
A03/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
100-115
100
115
-15
A04/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
93-91
93
91
+2
A10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H18/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
116-69
116
69
+47
A24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
100-70
100
70
+30
A25/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
96-98
96
98
-2
H30/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
100-99
100
99
+1
A14/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
A15/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
84-95
84
95
-11
H20/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-34
30-27
9-26
29-31
25-34
27-27
26-25
22-29
23-23
28-22
30-21
12-25
37-25
16-31
17-18
24-14
42-11
31-18
20-19
23-21
27-19
31-12
19-24
23-15
35-24
16-27
27-20
18-27
29-25
21-17
33-32
17-25
20-20
20-26
27-30
22-13
24-16
19-25
19-40
22-14
192.5Avg total
97.6Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)96.786.3183.0+10.462%
Season at home (7)91.082.7173.7+8.357%
Season away (9)101.189.1190.2+12.067%
Last 10 (10)97.694.9192.5+2.750%
Last 5 (5)97.093.6190.6+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)80.885.5166.2-4.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)94.482.7177.0+11.769%
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond ValleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H25/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
A26/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
100-104 OT
100
104
-4
H03/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
94-104
94
104
-10
A11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
88-104
88
104
-16
H17/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
98-68
98
68
+30
A24/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A31/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
80-96
80
96
-16
A09/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
67-102
67
102
-35
H14/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
94-110
94
110
-16
A21/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
26-17
16-29
17-13
11-26
26-25
25-11
23-23
25-30
18-25
21-16
23-16
29-20
31-20
17-34
17-30
22-26
19-27
23-22
24-29
22-26
23-10
23-14
30-18
26-24
18-22
15-19
22-27
15-38
32-7
19-25
14-26
14-24
25-25
12-27
16-26
19-35
27-24
29-27
19-24
182.7Avg total
87.8Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.094.8179.8-9.827%
Season at home (7)78.794.9173.6-16.114%
Season away (8)90.594.8185.2-4.238%
Last 10 (10)87.894.9182.7-7.130%
Last 5 (5)84.093.6177.6-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)84.395.1179.4-10.823%
vs Similar (8)90.188.1178.2+2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
Mt GambierDiamond Valley
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#9
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A03/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A04/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H18/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
73-29
73
29
+44
A24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A25/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H30/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A14/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A15/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/06
NBL1 South
98.4Avg total
52.1Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.540.689.1+7.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.241.386.5+3.953%-
Last 30 away (15)51.839.991.7+11.980%-
Last 10 (10)52.146.398.4+5.850%-
Last 5 (5)48.442.290.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)38.040.878.8-2.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)50.140.690.7+9.573%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H25/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A26/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H03/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
60-40
60
40
+20
A11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H17/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A24/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A31/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A09/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H14/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A21/06
NBL1 South
91.5Avg total
44.8Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.246.488.6-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.444.984.3-5.621%-
Last 30 away (16)44.647.792.3-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)44.846.791.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)44.247.091.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)41.547.188.5-5.627%-
vs Similar (8)44.144.588.6-0.450%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mt Gambier wins
0
Diamond Valley wins
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/06/25HMelbourne Tigers84-95
15/06/25AKnox105-106 OT
14/06/25AKilsyth100-99
30/05/25HDandenong96-98
25/05/25ABendigo Braves100-70
24/05/25ABallarat116-69
18/05/25HGeelong94-88
10/05/25ACasey Cavaliers93-91
04/05/25AFrankston100-115
03/05/25ARingwood88-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25AGeelong94-110
14/06/25HSandringham Sabres67-102
09/06/25AWaverley80-96
31/05/25AEltham81-92
24/05/25ABendigo Braves98-68
17/05/25HKilsyth88-104
11/05/25ABallarat94-104
03/05/25HEltham100-104 OT
26/04/25ACasey Cavaliers97-94 OT
25/04/25HRingwood79-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL62%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %62%57%67%
Points / game96.791.0101.1
Allowed / game86.382.789.1
Point differential+10.4+8.3+12.0
Avg total183.0173.7190.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%29%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Diamond Valley
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeLWLLL14%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%14%38%
Points / game85.078.790.5
Allowed / game94.894.994.8
Point differential-9.8-16.1-4.2
Avg total179.8173.6185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %13%14%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1714382%92.481.8+10.6
2 Mt Gambier1610662%96.786.3+10.4
3 Melbourne Tigers159660%87.180.2+6.9
4 Casey Cavaliers159660%89.585.0+4.5
5 Hobart Chargers159660%87.083.1+3.9
6 Ballarat159660%87.192.3-5.2
7 Sandringham Sabres158753%90.890.8+0.0
8 Nunawading158753%86.286.4-0.2
9 Kilsyth179853%86.685.9+0.7
10 Ringwood168850%95.989.9+5.9
11 Frankston168850%91.687.6+4.1
12 Waverley168850%92.894.7-1.9
13 Bendigo Braves178947%85.994.0-8.1
14 Eltham157847%85.587.5-1.9
15 Keilor Thunder156940%81.788.7-7.0
16 Geelong1661038%83.389.1-5.8
17 NW Tasmania1551033%87.188.3-1.1
18 Diamond Valley1541127%85.094.8-9.8
19 Dandenong1531220%88.996.1-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier2423262396
Diamond Valley2021161976
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