Mt Gambier vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 May 2017

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 82-66

22-10 15-16 22-29 23-11

Position#1

Record9-1

FormWWWLW

Points / game90.4

Allowed / game80.6

Mt Gambier 🏆

Kilsyth

Position#9

Record5-6

FormLWWLL

Points / game77.0

Allowed / game78.8

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Mt Gambier v Kilsyth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kilsyth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

#11

87-83

A25/03

SEABL

Bendigo

80-66

+14

H31/03

SEABL

Canberra

#14

106-88

106

+18

H07/04

SEABL

Dandenong

86-79

H21/04

SEABL

Ballarat

91-79

+12

A22/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

111-87

111

+24

H28/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

89-81

A06/05

SEABL

Nunawading

84-81

A07/05

SEABL

Bendigo

71-92

-21

A13/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

99-70

+29

H19/05

SEABL

35-22

16-16

19-23

17-22

26-20

15-19

21-14

18-13

37-17

28-26

29-17

12-28

23-19

19-16

19-20

25-24

33-14

13-22

29-22

16-21

31-14

30-20

24-22

26-31

23-19

19-15

31-30

16-17

16-21

26-22

21-24

21-14

12-30

16-34

17-11

26-17

22-23

28-13

26-24

23-10

171.0Avg total

90.4Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	90.4	80.6	171.0	+9.8	90%
Season at home (5)	96.4	78.0	174.4	+18.4	100%
Season away (5)	84.4	83.2	167.6	+1.2	80%
Last 10 (10)	90.4	80.6	171.0	+9.8	90%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	82.2	173.0	+8.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	76.6	74.2	150.8	+2.4	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	91.9	78.0	169.9	+13.9	84%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#12

77-67

+10

A25/03

SEABL

Canberra

#14

89-82

A01/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

77-81 OT

-4

A02/04

SEABL

Nunawading

73-84

-11

A07/04

SEABL

Ballarat

63-69

-6

H08/04

SEABL

Nunawading

62-77

-15

H22/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

102-93 OT

102

H30/04

SEABL

Canberra

#14

83-82

H07/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

72-89

-17

A13/05

SEABL

Ballarat

76-81

-5

A21/05

SEABL

17-16

22-18

21-17

17-16

25-13

17-24

29-17

18-28

19-19

20-20

14-18

21-17

12-27

11-22

22-18

28-17

18-22

20-19

13-14

12-14

8-25

17-16

19-20

18-16

26-14

16-30

23-16

16-21

15-18

25-25

20-22

23-17

19-30

17-23

19-20

17-16

16-17

26-32

11-18

23-14

157.9Avg total

77.4Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	77.0	78.8	155.8	-1.8	45%
Season at home (4)	77.5	80.2	157.8	-2.8	50%
Season away (7)	76.7	78.0	154.7	-1.3	43%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	80.5	157.9	-3.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	84.4	163.4	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	70.1	82.8	152.9	-12.6	14%
vs Similar (10)	78.9	77.6	156.5	+1.3	50%
vs Weaker (6)	78.3	71.2	149.5	+7.2	83%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mt GambierKilsyth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.5	19.0	43.5	+5.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	26.0	16.9	42.9	+9.1	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.2	20.9	44.1	+2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	19.9	45.7	+5.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	25.2	19.0	44.2	+6.2	76%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.1	38.1	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	20.1	37.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.8	37.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.7	20.6	38.3	-2.9	21%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.0	16.7	33.7	+0.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.3	18.9	42.1	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	19.9	38.9	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.8	44.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.8	15.6	33.4	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.7	20.2	41.8	+1.5	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.5	38.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	18.5	37.3	+0.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	20.3	38.6	-1.9	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.9	42.0	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	25.2	45.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.7	20.1	36.9	-3.4	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	50%	-

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Albury

#11

51-38

+13

A25/03

SEABL

Bendigo

41-39

H31/03

SEABL

Canberra

#14

65-43

+22

H07/04

SEABL

Dandenong

42-35

H21/04

SEABL

Ballarat

46-36

+10

A22/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

61-34

+27

H28/04

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

42-34

A06/05

SEABL

Nunawading

42-43

-1

A07/05

SEABL

Bendigo

28-64

-36

A13/05

SEABL

Frankston

#12

50-36

+14

H19/05

SEABL

87.0Avg total

46.8Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.6	38.4	84.0	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	49.3	35.7	85.0	+13.6	100%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.3	40.8	83.1	+1.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.8	40.2	87.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	42.2	86.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	39.0	34.6	73.6	+4.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	46.9	39.2	86.0	+7.7	84%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Frankston

#12

39-34

A25/03

SEABL

Canberra

#14

42-37

A01/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

39-39

A02/04

SEABL

Nunawading

23-49

-26

A07/04

SEABL

Ballarat

38-41

-3

H08/04

SEABL

Nunawading

25-41

-16

H22/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

42-44

-2

H30/04

SEABL

Canberra

#14

40-43

-3

H07/05

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

36-53

-17

A13/05

SEABL

Ballarat

42-49

-7

A21/05

SEABL

79.6Avg total

36.6Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.5	39.6	76.1	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.1	39.5	76.5	-2.4	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.1	39.8	75.8	-3.7	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	43.0	79.6	-6.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	46.0	83.0	-9.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	34.4	40.7	75.1	-6.3	21%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.2	40.8	79.0	-2.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.5	35.2	73.7	+3.3	50%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	19.9	42.7	+2.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	20.3	43.7	+3.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	19.6	41.8	+2.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	20.7	44.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	22.2	46.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	23.4	20.1	43.5	+3.3	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.9	37.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	18.5	39.2	+2.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.3	19.2	35.5	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.6	19.2	35.8	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.5	18.4	36.9	+0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.0	40.1	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.7	19.7	42.4	+3.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.7	39.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.8	40.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.6	18.7	40.3	+2.9	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	18.4	37.5	+0.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.6	22.0	39.6	-4.4	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.9	16.6	37.5	+4.3	80%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.7	15.8	33.5	+1.8	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	39.0	82.7	+4.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.1	40.0	86.1	+6.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.7	38.1	79.8	+3.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	40.4	84.0	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	40.0	86.2	+6.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	37.6	39.6	77.2	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	45.0	38.8	83.8	+6.2	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	37.9	74.8	-0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.9	36.8	76.8	+3.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	34.7	38.6	73.4	-3.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	35.6	74.0	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	36.0	73.8	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	34.2	41.2	75.4	-7.0	36%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.4	35.0	74.4	+4.4	70%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.3	34.8	74.2	+4.5	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mt Gambier wins

Kilsyth wins

Date	Game	Score
29/04/16	Mt Gambier v Kilsyth	83-58
13/06/15	Kilsyth v Mt Gambier	75-89
22/05/15	Mt Gambier v Kilsyth	85-61

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/17	H	Frankston	99-70
13/05/17	A	Bendigo	71-92
07/05/17	A	Nunawading	84-81
06/05/17	A	Southern Sabres	89-81
28/04/17	H	NW Tasmania	111-87
22/04/17	A	Ballarat	91-79
21/04/17	H	Dandenong	86-79
07/04/17	H	Canberra	106-88
31/03/17	H	Bendigo	80-66
25/03/17	A	Albury	87-83

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/05/17	A	Ballarat	76-81
13/05/17	A	Southern Sabres	72-89
07/05/17	H	Canberra	83-82
30/04/17	H	Hobart Chargers	102-93 OT
22/04/17	H	Nunawading	62-77
08/04/17	H	Ballarat	63-69
07/04/17	A	Nunawading	73-84
02/04/17	A	BA CoE	77-81 OT
01/04/17	A	Canberra	89-82
25/03/17	A	Frankston	77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier

SEABL 2017

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	90%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	90%	100%	80%
Points / game	90.4	96.4	84.4
Allowed / game	80.6	78.0	83.2
Point differential	+9.8	+18.4	+1.2
Avg total	171.0	174.4	167.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	80%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kilsyth

SEABL 2017

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	45%
Home	LLWW	50%
Away	WLLLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	4	7
Win %	45%	50%	43%
Points / game	77.0	77.5	76.7
Allowed / game	78.8	80.2	78.0
Point differential	-1.8	-2.8	-1.3
Avg total	155.8	157.8	154.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	0%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	18%	25%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	10	9	1	90%	90.4	80.6	+9.8
2	Nunawading	13	11	2	85%	90.8	80.8	+10.0
3	Hobart Chargers	11	8	3	73%	98.9	80.5	+18.4
4	Ballarat	10	7	3	70%	85.6	81.5	+4.1
5	Geelong	11	7	4	64%	86.6	77.2	+9.5
6	Dandenong	12	7	5	58%	79.2	80.7	-1.4
7	Bendigo	13	6	7	46%	83.5	82.5	+0.9
8	Albury	11	5	6	45%	92.2	94.0	-1.8
9	Kilsyth	11	5	6	45%	77.0	78.8	-1.8
10	Southern Sabres	10	4	6	40%	78.0	83.6	-5.6
11	NW Tasmania	11	4	7	36%	78.9	83.7	-4.8
12	Melbourne Tigers	10	3	7	30%	75.7	88.1	-12.4
13	Frankston	12	3	9	25%	79.8	89.8	-10.1
14	BA CoE	8	1	7	12%	78.1	90.9	-12.8
15	Canberra	9	1	8	11%	79.3	87.6	-8.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mt Gambier	22	15	22	23	82
Kilsyth	10	16	29	11	66

← all games of the day

Mt Gambier vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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