Southern Sabres vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 May 2017

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 89-72

30-19 23-17 20-19 16-17

Position#10

Record3-5

FormLLWWL

Points / game76.4

Allowed / game82.1

Southern Sabres 🏆

Kilsyth

Position#9

Record5-4

FormLLLWW

Points / game77.7

Allowed / game77.4

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Southern Sabres v Kilsyth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Sabres winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kilsyth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

#12

62-85

-23

A07/08

SEABL

Canberra

103-90

103

+13

H13/08

SEABL

Canberra

#14

94-78

+16

A25/03

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

68-69

-1

A01/04

SEABL

Bendigo

63-78

-15

H07/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

82-107

107

-25

A08/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

69-93

-24

A21/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

70-63

A22/04

SEABL

Geelong

84-80

H29/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

81-89

-8

H06/05

SEABL

17-19

21-15

15-26

9-25

24-21

24-24

18-19

37-26

21-17

28-10

22-28

23-23

15-17

11-25

21-12

21-15

17-19

11-26

19-20

16-13

15-30

20-25

26-36

21-16

17-19

18-29

17-26

11-13

26-15

11-15

22-20

22-21

18-22

19-15

25-22

19-23

15-19

30-31

17-16

160.8Avg total

77.6Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	76.4	82.1	158.5	-5.8	38%
Season at home (3)	76.0	82.3	158.3	-6.3	33%
Season away (5)	76.6	82.0	158.6	-5.4	40%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	83.2	160.8	-5.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	86.4	163.6	-9.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	79.4	92.2	171.7	-12.8	31%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	80.6	79.5	160.1	+1.1	60%
vs Weaker (4)	82.2	74.2	156.5	+8.0	75%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#16

71-52

+19

H13/08

SEABL

NW Tasmania

73-62

+11

A24/03

SEABL

Frankston

#12

77-67

+10

A25/03

SEABL

Canberra

#14

89-82

A01/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

77-81 OT

-4

A02/04

SEABL

Nunawading

73-84

-11

A07/04

SEABL

Ballarat

63-69

-6

H08/04

SEABL

Nunawading

62-77

-15

H22/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

102-93 OT

102

H30/04

SEABL

Canberra

#14

83-82

H07/05

SEABL

11-14

20-2

26-23

14-13

21-27

20-15

13-13

19-7

17-16

22-18

21-17

17-16

25-13

17-24

29-17

18-28

19-19

20-20

14-18

21-17

12-27

11-22

22-18

28-17

18-22

20-19

13-14

12-14

8-25

17-16

19-20

18-16

26-14

16-30

23-16

16-21

15-18

25-25

20-22

23-17

151.9Avg total

77.0Scored

74.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	77.7	77.4	155.1	+0.2	56%
Season at home (4)	77.5	80.2	157.8	-2.8	50%
Season away (5)	77.8	75.2	153.0	+2.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	74.9	151.9	+2.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	81.0	157.6	-4.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	71.4	83.0	154.4	-11.6	20%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	79.7	76.3	156.0	+3.3	56%
vs Weaker (6)	78.3	71.2	149.5	+7.2	83%

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Southern SabresKilsyth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.9	37.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.9	23.6	43.6	-3.7	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.0	19.5	42.5	+3.5	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	21.1	39.9	-2.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.5	36.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	21.2	37.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.3	20.9	39.3	-2.6	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.8	20.7	39.4	-1.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.0	16.7	33.7	+0.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.5	40.2	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	22.5	42.9	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.5	37.5	+0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.1	20.8	40.9	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.8	16.8	33.5	+0.0	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	18.4	37.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	19.5	38.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.4	40.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.9	19.3	36.2	-2.5	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.7	18.8	38.4	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	50%	-

Southern SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

#12

38-34

A07/08

SEABL

Canberra

48-45

H13/08

SEABL

Canberra

#14

49-27

+22

A25/03

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

26-42

-16

A01/04

SEABL

Bendigo

28-45

-17

H07/04

SEABL

Albury

#11

35-55

-20

A08/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

34-38

-4

A21/04

SEABL

NW Tasmania

37-28

A22/04

SEABL

Geelong

40-43

-3

H29/04

SEABL

Mt Gambier

34-42

-8

H06/05

SEABL

76.8Avg total

36.9Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	41.7	81.3	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	44.3	84.9	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	39.2	77.7	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	39.9	76.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	41.2	77.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	40.0	44.9	84.9	-4.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.7	38.8	77.5	-0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.8	36.2	76.0	+3.5	50%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#16

31-16

+15

H13/08

SEABL

NW Tasmania

41-42

-1

A24/03

SEABL

Frankston

#12

39-34

A25/03

SEABL

Canberra

#14

42-37

A01/04

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

39-39

A02/04

SEABL

Nunawading

23-49

-26

A07/04

SEABL

Ballarat

38-41

-3

H08/04

SEABL

Nunawading

25-41

-16

H22/04

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

42-44

-2

H30/04

SEABL

Canberra

#14

40-43

-3

H07/05

SEABL

74.6Avg total

36.0Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	39.0	75.8	-2.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	39.6	77.0	-2.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.3	38.5	74.8	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	38.6	74.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	43.6	77.2	-10.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	35.2	40.3	75.5	-5.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.4	39.4	77.9	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.5	35.2	73.7	+3.3	50%	-

This opponent (Southern Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.5	43.5	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	22.5	45.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	22.5	41.3	-3.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	23.1	43.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	25.2	46.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.8	24.4	45.1	-3.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.2	19.2	40.5	+2.0	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.1	37.8	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.3	39.4	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	19.8	36.4	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.7	19.7	37.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.4	18.2	36.7	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	20.9	40.5	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	21.2	40.7	-1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.4	22.3	40.8	-3.9	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.8	70%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.3	37.8	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	20.2	38.1	-2.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	16.6	35.2	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.1	22.3	39.4	-5.1	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.3	16.7	38.0	+4.7	78%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.7	15.8	33.5	+1.8	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	43.5	84.1	-3.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.8	43.3	86.1	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	43.7	82.0	-5.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	43.3	84.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	45.2	86.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	39.2	46.7	85.9	-7.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.9	40.7	82.6	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.5	38.0	80.5	+4.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	38.4	75.6	-1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	36.6	76.8	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.6	40.0	74.6	-5.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	34.4	73.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	35.0	73.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	34.8	41.9	76.7	-7.1	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.8	34.9	74.7	+4.9	78%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.3	34.8	74.2	+4.5	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Southern Sabres wins

Kilsyth wins

Date	Game	Score
07/08/16	Kilsyth v Southern Sabres	85-62
25/06/16	Southern Sabres v Kilsyth	69-73
05/07/15	Kilsyth v Southern Sabres	66-64
18/04/15	Southern Sabres v Kilsyth	64-72

Southern Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/05/17	H	Mt Gambier	81-89
29/04/17	H	Geelong	84-80
22/04/17	A	NW Tasmania	70-63
21/04/17	A	Hobart Chargers	69-93
08/04/17	A	Albury	82-107
07/04/17	H	Bendigo	63-78
01/04/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	68-69
25/03/17	A	Canberra	94-78
13/08/16	H	Canberra	103-90
07/08/16	A	Kilsyth	62-85

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/17	H	Canberra	83-82
30/04/17	H	Hobart Chargers	102-93 OT
22/04/17	H	Nunawading	62-77
08/04/17	H	Ballarat	63-69
07/04/17	A	Nunawading	73-84
02/04/17	A	BA CoE	77-81 OT
01/04/17	A	Canberra	89-82
25/03/17	A	Frankston	77-67
24/03/17	A	NW Tasmania	73-62
13/08/16	H	BA CoE	71-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Sabres

SEABL 2017

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	38%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	WLLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	38%	33%	40%
Points / game	76.4	76.0	76.6
Allowed / game	82.1	82.3	82.0
Point differential	-5.8	-6.3	-5.4
Avg total	158.5	158.3	158.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kilsyth

SEABL 2017

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	56%
Home	LLWW	50%
Away	WWWLL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	56%	50%	60%
Points / game	77.7	77.5	77.8
Allowed / game	77.4	80.2	75.2
Point differential	+0.2	-2.8	+2.6
Avg total	155.1	157.8	153.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	0%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	22%	25%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	8	8	0	100%	91.8	80.5	+11.2
2	Nunawading	9	8	1	89%	89.2	78.7	+10.6
3	Hobart Chargers	8	6	2	75%	99.8	80.0	+19.8
4	Ballarat	7	5	2	71%	86.7	84.6	+2.1
5	Geelong	8	5	3	62%	85.2	75.4	+9.9
6	Kilsyth	9	5	4	56%	77.7	77.4	+0.2
7	Dandenong	9	5	4	56%	77.8	78.3	-0.6
8	Albury	8	4	4	50%	94.5	93.4	+1.1
9	Melbourne Tigers	7	3	4	43%	79.9	86.9	-7.0
10	Bendigo	10	4	6	40%	81.8	82.8	-1.0
11	Southern Sabres	8	3	5	38%	76.4	82.1	-5.8
12	NW Tasmania	8	2	6	25%	74.6	86.2	-11.6
13	BA CoE	6	1	5	17%	76.3	90.5	-14.2
14	Frankston	8	1	7	12%	80.5	90.4	-9.9
15	Canberra	7	0	7	0%	75.7	87.3	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Southern Sabres	30	23	20	16	89
Kilsyth	19	17	19	17	72

← all games of the day

Southern Sabres vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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