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Mt. Gambier W vs Waverley W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 May 2023
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 97-81
30-17 23-30 18-23 26-11
Position#2
Record5-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#4
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game68.1
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2023
Meetings · Mt. Gambier W v Waverley W
25 Apr 2025
MT. 47
WAVE73
03 Aug 2024
MT. 73
WAVE92
12 May 2023
MT. 97
WAVE81
26 Aug 2022
MT. 85
WAVE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt. Gambier W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Waverley W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt. Gambier WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A20/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
H26/08
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A01/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A02/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
105-70
105
70
+35
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
86-63
86
63
+23
A16/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#16
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H22/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H29/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A06/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
24-13
15-22
16-20
21-30
16-10
16-15
21-19
20-22
23-12
15-27
20-13
21-19
25-22
18-14
23-14
25-20
24-13
26-17
30-20
16-18
23-12
23-16
24-17
32-18
28-18
17-11
13-12
12-19
15-30
25-23
25-15
25-23
15-28
14-20
20-14
23-18
21-21
11-16
10-12
155.6Avg total
81.8Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.871.8154.5+11.062%
Season at home (3)90.772.0162.7+18.767%
Season away (5)78.071.6149.6+6.460%
Last 10 (10)81.873.8155.6+8.050%
Last 5 (5)78.472.2150.6+6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.073.8141.8-5.80%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.774.4148.1-0.760%
vs Weaker (16)80.867.7148.4+13.175%
This opponent (Waverley W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Waverley WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox W
#4
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A20/08
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
A26/08
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A28/08
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H02/04
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A13/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
86-63
86
63
+23
A15/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
106-74
106
74
+32
A22/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H30/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
W
98-63
98
63
+35
H07/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
15-8
28-12
19-25
30-21
10-16
15-16
19-21
27-19
24-22
10-23
15-15
18-10
16-26
17-21
30-15
15-18
21-19
21-14
29-27
16-18
23-12
23-16
24-17
25-24
25-18
39-12
17-20
16-14
14-21
26-14
15-11
25-14
20-16
14-16
13-21
30-20
25-22
29-5
14-16
155.5Avg total
84.6Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.768.1153.9+17.6100%
Season at home (4)80.565.5146.0+15.0100%
Season away (3)92.771.7164.3+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.670.9155.5+13.790%
Last 5 (5)86.665.4152.0+21.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.480.8158.2-3.356%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.171.2150.4+7.975%
vs Weaker (13)78.464.5142.9+13.892%
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
Mt. Gambier WWaverley W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt. Gambier WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A20/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H26/08
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A01/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A02/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A16/04
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#16
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H22/04
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H29/04
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A06/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/05
NBL1 South Women
81.3Avg total
42.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.576.8+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.834.674.4+5.262%-
Last 30 away (17)40.837.978.7+2.871%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.881.3+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.083.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.536.874.2+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.738.776.4-1.040%-
vs Weaker (16)42.735.177.8+7.688%-
This opponent (Waverley W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Waverley WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox W
#4
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A20/08
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A26/08
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A28/08
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H02/04
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A13/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A15/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A22/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#9
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H25/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H30/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#14
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H07/05
NBL1 South Women
77.7Avg total
41.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.736.176.8+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.035.074.0+4.057%-
Last 30 away (16)42.237.179.3+5.275%-
Last 10 (10)41.636.177.7+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.879.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.140.083.1+3.167%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.936.076.9+4.975%-
vs Weaker (13)39.033.572.5+5.562%-
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mt. Gambier W wins
2
Waverley W wins
DateGameScore
26/08/22Mt. Gambier W v Waverley W85-87 OT
14/08/22Waverley W v Mt. Gambier W70-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/23AMelbourne Tigers W65-67
06/05/23AGeelong W74-85
29/04/23HRingwood W77-87
22/04/23HKeilor Thunder W90-59
16/04/23AFrankston W86-63
14/04/23HCasey Cavaliers W105-70
02/04/23ANunawading W87-69
01/04/23ASandringham W78-74
26/08/22HWaverley W85-87 OT
20/08/22ARingwood W71-77
Waverley Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/23HLaunceston W98-63
30/04/23HNunawading W72-67
25/04/23HDiamond Valley W71-60
22/04/23ASandringham W106-74
15/04/23AFrankston W86-63
13/04/23AMelbourne Tigers W86-78
02/04/23HRingwood W81-72
28/08/22ABendigo W76-79
26/08/22AMt. Gambier W87-85 OT
20/08/22AKnox W83-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt. Gambier W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL62%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game82.890.778.0
Allowed / game71.872.071.6
Point differential+11.0+18.7+6.4
Avg total154.5162.7149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Waverley W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.780.592.7
Allowed / game68.165.571.7
Point differential+17.6+15.0+21.0
Avg total153.9146.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bendigo W880100%90.267.2+23.0
2 Waverley W770100%85.768.1+17.6
3 Knox W86275%75.964.4+11.5
4 Ringwood W86275%74.072.8+1.2
5 Mt. Gambier W85362%82.871.8+11.0
6 Geelong W85362%78.274.2+4.0
7 Frankston W85362%71.872.1-0.4
8 Sandringham W95456%81.379.1+2.2
9 Diamond Valley W84450%73.670.6+3.0
10 Nunawading W84450%76.175.9+0.2
11 Dandenong Rangers W94544%72.473.3-0.9
12 Eltham W83538%70.472.1-1.8
13 Launceston W83538%77.179.1-2.0
14 Melbourne Tigers W83538%70.974.8-3.9
15 Hobart Chargers W93633%69.476.3-6.9
16 Keilor Thunder W72529%62.177.4-15.3
17 Kilsyth W82625%65.973.9-8.0
18 Casey Cavaliers W81712%72.486.0-13.6
19 Ballarat W91811%58.976.8-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt. Gambier W3023182697
Waverley W1730231181
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