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Mt. Gambier W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 90-59
32-18 28-18 17-11 13-12
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game69.0
Mt. Gambier W 🏆
Australia
vs
Keilor Thunder W
Australia
Position#16
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game58.7
Allowed / game72.0
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2023
Meetings · Mt. Gambier W v Keilor Thunder W
26 Apr 2024
MT. 80
KEIL55
22 Apr 2023
MT. 90
KEIL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt. Gambier W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt. Gambier WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong W
#5
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A31/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
54-69
54
69
-15
H12/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A14/08
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A20/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
H26/08
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A01/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A02/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
105-70
105
70
+35
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
86-63
86
63
+23
A16/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
16-24
21-17
20-14
20-28
21-14
16-19
11-14
12-13
14-20
13-22
15-14
13-19
18-20
15-17
18-14
16-22
24-13
15-22
16-20
21-30
16-10
16-15
21-19
20-22
23-12
15-27
20-13
21-19
25-22
18-14
23-14
25-20
24-13
26-17
30-20
16-18
23-12
23-16
24-17
149.7Avg total
77.1Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.069.0158.0+20.0100%
Season at home (1)105.070.0175.0+35.0100%
Season away (3)83.768.7152.3+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.172.6149.7+4.550%
Last 5 (5)88.272.6160.8+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.475.0144.4-5.60%
vs Similar (10)74.671.0145.6+3.670%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.166.3148.4+15.987%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham W
#13
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H17/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
76-46
76
46
+30
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H13/08
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A14/08
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
L
60-81
60
81
-21
H02/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
L
52-81
52
81
-29
H15/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
25-22
8-21
12-15
13-15
21-13
22-14
21-21
19-11
13-19
20-5
24-11
20-31
27-27
21-17
14-17
11-22
24-15
12-21
18-14
19-22
31-13
23-19
18-11
22-9
13-19
16-17
7-19
12-23
12-22
15-20
21-16
21-13
17-14
9-19
17-8
14-20
11-23
17-17
10-21
139.0Avg total
69.2Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)58.772.0130.7-13.333%
Season at home (3)58.772.0130.7-13.333%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.269.8139.0-0.640%
Last 5 (5)65.069.0134.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.381.3151.7-11.017%
vs Similar (6)72.377.3149.7-5.050%
vs Weaker (7)79.166.9146.0+12.386%
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
Mt. Gambier WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt. Gambier WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong W
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A31/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#9
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H12/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A14/08
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A20/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H26/08
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A01/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A02/04
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#5
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A16/04
NBL1 South Women
75.2Avg total
38.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.475.0+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.632.671.2+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)40.637.878.4+2.869%-
Last 10 (10)38.436.875.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.835.678.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.039.477.4-1.440%-
vs Similar (10)36.635.672.2+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.333.976.1+8.493%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham W
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H17/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H13/08
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A14/08
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H02/04
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#19
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H14/04
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H15/04
NBL1 South Women
74.2Avg total
36.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)38.140.979.0-2.848%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.638.174.6-1.557%-
Last 30 away (11)40.044.584.5-4.536%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.574.2-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.670.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.844.180.8-7.325%-
vs Similar (6)39.542.782.2-3.250%-
vs Weaker (7)39.134.073.1+5.186%-
This opponent (Mt. Gambier W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mt. Gambier W wins
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
DateGameScore
15/05/22Keilor Thunder W v Mt. Gambier W60-93
Mt. Gambier Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/23AFrankston W86-63
14/04/23HCasey Cavaliers W105-70
02/04/23ANunawading W87-69
01/04/23ASandringham W78-74
26/08/22HWaverley W85-87 OT
20/08/22ARingwood W71-77
14/08/22AWaverley W64-70
12/08/22HBallarat W54-69
06/08/22HKnox W68-75
31/07/22AGeelong W73-72
Keilor Thunder Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23HMelbourne Tigers W52-81
14/04/23HBallarat W64-54
02/04/23HKnox W60-81
14/08/22AKnox W58-64
13/08/22HCasey Cavaliers W91-65
06/08/22HGeelong W65-72
30/07/22ASandringham W82-92
23/07/22HDiamond Valley W76-46
17/07/22HFrankston W77-63
16/07/22AEltham W67-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt. Gambier W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.0105.083.7
Allowed / game69.070.068.7
Point differential+20.0+35.0+15.0
Avg total158.0175.0152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLWL33%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %33%33%-
Points / game58.758.7-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential-13.3-13.3-
Avg total130.7130.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt. Gambier W440100%89.069.0+20.0
2 Bendigo W550100%89.271.2+18.0
3 Waverley W440100%89.871.8+18.0
4 Knox W54180%73.464.2+9.2
5 Ringwood W54180%75.667.8+7.8
6 Nunawading W53260%78.875.4+3.4
7 Dandenong Rangers W53260%72.474.0-1.6
8 Geelong W42250%79.874.8+5.0
9 Diamond Valley W42250%73.571.8+1.8
10 Launceston W52340%82.275.0+7.2
11 Melbourne Tigers W52340%74.673.6+1.0
12 Frankston W52340%65.271.6-6.4
13 Kilsyth W62433%70.870.7+0.2
14 Sandringham W62433%80.785.5-4.8
15 Eltham W31233%69.776.0-6.3
16 Keilor Thunder W31233%58.772.0-13.3
17 Hobart Chargers W51420%61.474.2-12.8
18 Ballarat W61517%58.076.5-18.5
19 Casey Cavaliers W5050%71.493.4-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt. Gambier W3228171390
Keilor Thunder W1818111259
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