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Mykonos vs Lefkadas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Projected 84-74
Projected total 157.8
Final 59-73
17-23 11-15 13-19 18-16
Position#12
Record1-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game84.8
Vs
79%
21%
■ MYK 79%■ LEF 21%
Pythia win probability
Position#9
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game85.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 5· Panagiotis Chaniotis Sports Hall
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Mykonos v Lefkadas
31 Oct 2026
MYK59
LEF73
19 Oct 2024
MYK75
LEF81
11 Nov 2023
MYK80
LEF87
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Mykonos host Lefkadas in the Greek Basket League. Pythia makes Mykonos the favourite at 79% and projects 84-74, about 158 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Mykonos are 1-3 this season (79.5 scored, 84.8 allowed a game), form WLWLW; Lefkadas are 1-3 this season (80.2 scored, 85.8 allowed a game), form WLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mykonos winLost
78.6%fair 1.27
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lefkadas winWon
21.4%fair 4.67
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MykonosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMykonos
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-99
75
99
-24
71avg 75
A15/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
76-90
76
90
-14
73avg 75
H17/05
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
85-88
85
88
-3
82avg 75
H03/10
Basket League
Neftchi IK
#39
W
78-58
78
58
+20
81avg 75
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#11
W
82-79
82
79
+3
76avg 75
A10/10
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#45
W
80-65
80
65
+15
76avg 75
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 75
A17/10
Basket League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
W
86-84
86
84
+2
70avg 75
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 75
H24/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#13
W
91-88
91
88
+3
86avg 75
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-31
22-25
22-26
22-17
18-19
21-25
22-26
15-20
17-14
20-18
21-28
27-28
25-19
9-21
23-4
21-14
21-22
15-20
28-21
18-16
18-19
22-18
16-15
24-13
17-22
21-25
21-18
20-19
14-16
21-20
25-24
26-24
21-28
15-21
20-15
16-24
20-26
20-21
18-25
33-16
162.7Avg total
80.4Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.584.8164.2-5.225%
Season at home (2)78.588.0166.5-9.50%
Season away (2)80.581.5162.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)80.482.3162.7-1.950%
Last 5 (5)81.681.8163.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.188.9166.9-10.819%
vs Similar (11)84.387.5171.8-3.355%
vs Weaker (3)81.369.0150.3+12.3100%
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LefkadasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLefkadas
Date
Competition
Panerythraikos
#11
W
80-79
80
79
+1
no box
A07/03
A2
Volos
#14
W
64-53
64
53
+11
no box
H14/03
A2
Koroivos
#9
W
73-68
73
68
+5
no box
A18/03
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
55-63
55
63
-8
no box
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
no box
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
75-91
75
91
-16
57avg 68
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
61avg 68
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 68
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
78avg 68
H24/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
21-19
29-16
14-20
9-8
19-15
13-20
23-10
13-23
19-17
27-18
14-10
17-19
11-18
11-11
16-15
30-26
25-21
13-18
19-13
16-20
20-8
22-13
7-13
13-24
24-22
20-21
18-24
18-22
13-20
23-22
19-22
25-17
20-23
18-27
16-13
19-18
22-23
18-26
19-11
148.3Avg total
74.5Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.285.8166.0-5.525%
Season at home (2)86.583.0169.5+3.550%
Season away (2)74.088.5162.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)74.573.8148.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.279.4156.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.586.0169.5-2.550%
vs Similar (15)76.974.4151.3+2.573%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)74.566.5141.1+8.085%
This opponent (Mykonos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1151%1202%1254%1306%1357%14010%14512%15012%15511%16010%1658%1706%1754%1803%1851%1901%1950%200
1%1152%1256%13510%14512%15510%1656%1753%1851%195
Pythia expects about 158 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 155-159 (12%).
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Under 157.5
Over 157.5
50.1%
Under 157.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162.5Actual: Under 162.5
Over 162.5
38.3%
Under 162.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5Actual: Under 167.5
Over 167.5
27.6%
Under 167.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Mykonos total 79Actual: Mykonos under 79
Over 79
67.8%
Under 79
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mykonos total 83Actual: Mykonos under 83
Over 83
52.4%
Under 83
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mykonos total 87Actual: Mykonos under 87
Over 87
36.5%
Under 87
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lefkadas total 75.5Actual: Lefkadas under 75.5
Over 75.5
44.4%
Under 75.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lefkadas total 79.5Actual: Lefkadas under 79.5
Over 79.5
30.2%
Under 79.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lefkadas total 83.5Actual: Lefkadas under 83.5
Over 83.5
18.7%
Under 83.5
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-241%-211%-182%-153%-124%-96%-66%-35%+09%+310%+610%+910%+128%+157%+186%+214%+243%+272%+301%+331%+361%+39
0%-241%-183%-126%-65%+010%+610%+127%+184%+242%+301%+36
Margin from Mykonos's side (positive = Mykonos win). Pythia's expected margin is +9.3; Mykonos win by 1+ in 71% of simulations.
Spread Mykonos -3Actual: Lefkadas +3
MYK -3
72.3%
LEF +3
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
MYK
No market prices yet.
LEF
No market prices yet.
Spread Mykonos 0Actual: Lefkadas 0
MYK 0
78.6%
LEF 0
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
MYK
No market prices yet.
LEF
No market prices yet.
Spread Mykonos +3Actual: Lefkadas -3
MYK +3
84.5%
LEF -3
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
MYK
No market prices yet.
LEF
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
MykonosLefkadas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MykonosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A15/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H17/05
Basket League
PAOK
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H03/10
Basket League
Neftchi IK
#39
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A10/10
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#45
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#10
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A17/10
Basket League
Lok. Plovdiv
#24
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H24/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#13
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
79.6Avg total
36.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.544.283.7-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.041.980.9-2.940%-
Last 30 away (15)39.946.686.5-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)36.643.079.6-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.843.281.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.644.783.3-6.119%-
vs Similar (11)41.545.486.9-3.836%-
vs Weaker (3)36.337.774.0-1.333%-
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LefkadasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panerythraikos
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/03
A2
Volos
#14
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H14/03
A2
Koroivos
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A18/03
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/10
Basket League
75.7Avg total
37.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.276.3+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.338.477.8+0.962%-
Last 30 away (14)38.835.874.6+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.775.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.477.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.041.577.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (15)40.539.479.9+1.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.834.071.8+3.862%-
This opponent (Mykonos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mykonostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mykonos: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.5
53.2%
50.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.9
35.9%
34.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.114.3
71.1%
71.8%14.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lefkadastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lefkadas: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.5 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.2
51.3%
50.6%40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.2
32.6%
34.4%21.8
🏀 Free throws22.515.0
66.7%
71.8%15.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mykonos
WLWLWWWLLL
Lefkadas
WLLLWWLWWW
#12
League position
#9
-2.6
Net rating
-10.1
92.1
Offensive rating
91.6
94.7
Defensive rating
101.6
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.4%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
19.6%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.9%
3-point %
32.6%
62.0%
Assist %
48.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 91.6Defence94.7 · 101.6Shooting53.4% · 50.4%3-point %35.9% · 32.6%Ball care19.6% · 14.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Mykonos   ■ Lefkadas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mykonos wins
3
Lefkadas wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Lefkadas v Mykonos56-71
19/10/24Mykonos v Lefkadas75-81
17/02/24Lefkadas v Mykonos84-83
11/11/23Mykonos v Lefkadas80-87 OT
Mykonoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26AVEF Riga91-88
24/10/26HAris72-88
20/10/26HLok. Plovdiv86-84
17/10/26AAEK Athens79-84
13/10/26AFribourg Olympic80-65
10/10/26AMaroussi82-79
06/10/26HNeftchi IK78-58
03/10/26HPAOK85-88
17/05/26HPanathinaikos76-90
15/05/26APanathinaikos75-99
Lefkadaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HIraklis94-86 OT
17/10/26HPromitheas79-80
10/10/26APAOK73-86
03/10/26AKolossos Rhodes75-91
04/04/26ADafni65-54
28/03/26HPsychikou87-78
21/03/26HPeiramatiko Machites55-63
18/03/26AKoroivos73-68
14/03/26HVolos64-53
07/03/26APanerythraikos80-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mykonos
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game79.578.580.5
Allowed / game84.888.081.5
Point differential-5.2-9.5-1.0
Avg total164.2166.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lefkadas
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.286.574.0
Allowed / game85.883.088.5
Point differential-5.5+3.5-14.5
Avg total166.0169.5162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos440100%90.068.0+22.0
2 Olympiacos440100%85.266.0+19.2
3 PAOK440100%81.876.0+5.8
4 Aris43175%79.565.2+14.2
5 Peristeri43175%85.888.2-2.5
6 Kolossos Rhodes42250%84.583.0+1.5
7 AS Karditsas42250%69.072.8-3.8
8 AEK Athens52340%75.879.4-3.6
9 Iraklis41325%78.579.0-0.5
10 Mykonos41325%79.584.8-5.2
11 Lefkadas41325%80.285.8-5.5
12 Promitheas41325%68.085.5-17.5
13 Vikos51420%76.286.2-10.0
14 Maroussi4040%71.882.5-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mykonos1711131859
Lefkadas2315191673
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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