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PAOK vs Lefkadas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 86-73
22-18 20-13 22-23 22-19
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game85.0
PAOK 🏆
Greece
vs
Lefkadas
Greece
Position#9
Record0-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game91.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 2· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · PAOK v Lefkadas
10 Oct 2026
PAK86
LEF73
21 Jan 2017
PAK84
LEF67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lefkadas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#1
W
79-73
79
73
+6
77avg 80
H22/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#12
W
101-85
101
85
+16
99avg 80
H25/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
58avg 80
A29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
91-79
91
79
+12
86avg 80
H03/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
77-72
77
72
+5
76avg 80
A06/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
102-114 OT
102
114
-12
101avg 80
A28/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
94-102
94
102
-8
88avg 80
H30/05
Basket League
Manresa
#8
W
93-78
93
78
+15
90avg 80
H30/09
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
88-85
88
85
+3
81avg 80
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#23
W
75-72
75
72
+3
67avg 80
A06/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
27-22
17-18
19-20
28-20
26-26
26-24
21-15
23-19
18-24
16-27
17-19
23-19
25-22
16-19
27-19
23-15
13-20
18-16
23-21
24-23
26-22
25-32
21-19
27-17
20-27
20-28
27-30
21-20
19-21
18-15
35-22
14-17
18-20
28-21
28-27
22-18
18-17
19-26
16-11
172.3Avg total
87.4Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.085.0173.0+3.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)88.085.0173.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.484.9172.3+2.570%
Last 5 (5)90.490.2180.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.589.7171.2-8.220%
vs Similar (8)83.979.2163.1+4.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.678.4168.0+11.292%
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LefkadasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLefkadas
Date
Competition
Egaleo
#15
W
77-71
77
71
+6
no box
H15/02
A2
Papagou
#5
W
72-64
72
64
+8
no box
A21/02
A2
Lavrio
#8
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H28/02
A2
Panerythraikos
#11
W
80-79
80
79
+1
no box
A07/03
A2
Volos
#14
W
64-53
64
53
+11
no box
H14/03
A2
Koroivos
#9
W
73-68
73
68
+5
no box
A18/03
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
55-63
55
63
-8
no box
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
no box
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
75-91
75
91
-16
57avg 57
A03/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
16-21
26-14
19-19
15-21
27-15
12-9
18-19
16-24
21-32
28-18
23-6
16-24
21-19
29-16
14-20
9-8
19-15
13-20
23-10
13-23
19-17
27-18
14-10
17-19
11-18
11-11
16-15
30-26
25-21
13-18
19-13
16-20
20-8
22-13
7-13
13-24
24-22
20-21
18-24
143.7Avg total
73.6Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.091.0166.0-16.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)75.091.0166.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)73.670.1143.7+3.580%
Last 5 (5)71.070.8141.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (17)76.574.5151.0+1.971%
vs Weaker (13)73.364.6137.9+8.792%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
PAOKLefkadas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#1
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H22/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H25/04
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A29/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H03/05
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A28/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H30/05
Basket League
Manresa
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/09
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#23
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/10
Eurocup
83.3Avg total
43.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.981.9+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.539.985.5+5.667%-
Last 30 away (15)38.539.978.4-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.283.3+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.482.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.443.283.6-2.840%-
vs Similar (8)41.139.080.1+2.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.037.881.8+6.258%-
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LefkadasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Egaleo
#15
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H15/02
A2
Papagou
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A21/02
A2
Lavrio
#8
L
37-56
37
56
-19
H28/02
A2
Panerythraikos
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/03
A2
Volos
#14
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H14/03
A2
Koroivos
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A18/03
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/10
Basket League
75.8Avg total
36.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.037.676.5+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.237.876.0+0.460%-
Last 30 away (15)39.737.377.1+2.447%-
Last 10 (10)36.439.475.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.677.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (17)40.740.781.4+0.053%-
vs Weaker (13)36.733.570.2+3.254%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.220.6
60.2%
50.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.8
33.3%
34.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.316.3
80.3%
71.8%16.3
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lefkadastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lefkadas: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.0
55.9%
50.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.07.0
41.2%
34.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws13.07.0
53.8%
71.8%7.0
They take 51.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
WWWLLWWLWW
Lefkadas
LWWLWWWWWW
#2
League position
#9
+2.4
Net rating
-34.0
105.0
Offensive rating
89.8
102.6
Defensive rating
123.8
55.5%
Effective FG%
57.8%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
64.0%
14.2%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.3%
3-point %
41.2%
59.9%
Assist %
42.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 89.8Defence102.6 · 123.8Shooting55.5% · 57.8%3-point %33.3% · 41.2%Ball care14.2% · 17.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ PAOK   ■ Lefkadas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
PAOK wins
1
Lefkadas wins
DateGameScore
21/01/17PAOK v Lefkadas84-67
08/10/16Lefkadas v PAOK84-78
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/26AKK Bosna75-72
03/10/26AMykonos88-85
30/09/26HManresa93-78
30/05/26HPanathinaikos94-102
28/05/26APanathinaikos102-114 OT
06/05/26APeristeri77-72
03/05/26HPeristeri91-79
29/04/26ABilbao74-89
25/04/26HMaroussi101-85
22/04/26HBilbao79-73
Lefkadaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26AKolossos Rhodes75-91
04/04/26ADafni65-54
28/03/26HPsychikou87-78
21/03/26HPeiramatiko Machites55-63
18/03/26AKoroivos73-68
14/03/26HVolos64-53
07/03/26APanerythraikos80-79
28/02/26HLavrio88-80
21/02/26APapagou72-64
15/02/26HEgaleo77-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game88.0-88.0
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total173.0-173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Lefkadas
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game91.0-91.0
Point differential-16.0--16.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos110100%103.074.0+29.0
2 AEK Athens110100%91.070.0+21.0
3 Kolossos Rhodes110100%91.075.0+16.0
4 Olympiacos110100%78.068.0+10.0
5 AS Karditsas110100%74.068.0+6.0
6 Peristeri220100%92.588.5+4.0
7 PAOK110100%88.085.0+3.0
8 Mykonos1010%85.088.0-3.0
9 Aris1010%68.074.0-6.0
10 Iraklis2020%78.584.5-6.0
11 Promitheas1010%88.094.0-6.0
12 Lefkadas1010%75.091.0-16.0
13 Maroussi1010%70.091.0-21.0
14 Vikos1010%74.0103.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2220222286
Lefkadas1813231973
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