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MZT Skopje vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-85
20-23 22-26 11-22 16-14
Position#47
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game82.0
MZT Skopje
vs
AEK Larnaca 🏆
Position#25
Record2-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Jane Sandanski Arena
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MZT Skopje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MZT SkopjeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkopje
Date
Competition
Pelister
#3
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 76
H06/05
Superleague
Pelister
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
65avg 76
A10/05
Superleague
Pelister
#3
W
87-58
87
58
+29
82avg 76
H13/05
Superleague
KK Skopje 2023
#9
W
84-77
84
77
+7
79avg 76
H17/05
Superleague
KK Skopje 2023
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
72avg 76
H20/05
Superleague
KK Skopje 2023
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
74avg 76
A24/05
Superleague
Iraklis
#11
L
59-64
59
64
-5
48avg 76
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#37
L
92-95
92
95
-3
82avg 76
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#13
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 76
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sutjeska
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 76
A24/10
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
11-17
18-20
23-20
17-18
16-28
25-17
18-18
20-19
17-18
29-5
21-16
18-26
27-14
24-21
15-16
23-17
24-14
19-22
15-23
21-26
25-16
16-14
18-18
21-26
18-14
12-15
8-9
17-24
22-20
23-28
30-23
21-21
22-28
15-20
15-18
11-16
29-23
19-21
16-25
155.9Avg total
78.7Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.782.0156.7-7.30%
Season at home (2)75.579.5155.0-4.00%
Season away (1)73.087.0160.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)78.777.2155.9+1.550%
Last 5 (5)75.881.0156.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)80.387.3167.7-7.00%
vs Similar (9)81.178.6159.7+2.644%
vs Weaker (17)83.873.9157.6+9.988%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
74avg 80
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
65avg 80
A21/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
68-64
68
64
+4
66avg 80
H25/05
Division A
CSM Oradea
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
75avg 80
A16/09
Champions League
Wurzburg
#13
W
73-65
73
65
+8
65avg 80
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
90-56
90
56
+34
92avg 80
A11/10
Division A
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
80-94
80
94
-14
69avg 80
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 80
H18/10
Division A
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
99-93
99
93
+6
100avg 80
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#5
W
85-74
85
74
+11
65avg 80
A24/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
18-17
13-17
23-14
15-16
24-27
19-25
22-26
18-18
16-16
21-11
13-19
18-31
19-13
24-32
26-19
22-17
18-23
15-19
18-6
26-14
23-12
18-13
23-17
14-29
20-19
31-17
15-29
30-18
19-20
21-23
13-18
32-21
25-30
22-20
20-22
18-16
30-22
15-21
22-15
161.0Avg total
82.1Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.084.0168.0+0.067%
Season at home (2)86.079.0165.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)80.094.0174.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)82.178.9161.0+3.270%
Last 5 (5)87.479.2166.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.579.5156.0-3.050%
vs Similar (7)78.076.6154.6+1.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.275.0162.2+12.290%
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
MZT SkopjeAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pelister
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H06/05
Superleague
Pelister
#3
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A10/05
Superleague
Pelister
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/05
Superleague
KK Skopje 2023
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/05
Superleague
KK Skopje 2023
#9
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H20/05
Superleague
KK Skopje 2023
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A24/05
Superleague
Iraklis
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#37
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#13
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sutjeska
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A24/10
ABA League 2
81.1Avg total
40.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.080.2+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.237.879.0+3.559%-
Last 30 away (13)41.340.581.8+0.854%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.381.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.884.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)40.747.788.3-7.00%-
vs Similar (9)36.241.177.3-4.922%-
vs Weaker (17)44.136.380.4+7.882%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H17/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A21/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H25/05
Division A
CSM Oradea
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A16/09
Champions League
Wurzburg
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#8
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A11/10
Division A
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H18/10
Division A
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
Division A
83.3Avg total
42.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.983.7+4.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.138.984.0+6.262%-
Last 30 away (14)42.441.083.4+1.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.683.3+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)47.440.287.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.044.081.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (7)40.339.179.4+1.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.139.585.6+6.670%-
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.9
53.5%
53.4%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.3
28.5%
32.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.914.7
77.8%
72.8%14.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.4
51.3%
53.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.0
32.6%
32.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.016.3
77.6%
72.8%16.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
MZT Skopje
LLLLWWWWLW
AEK Larnaca
WWWLWWLWLW
#47
League position
#25
+0.5
Net rating
+3.8
92.3
Offensive rating
96.6
91.8
Defensive rating
92.8
49.4%
Effective FG%
50.5%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
13.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.5%
3-point %
32.6%
56.8%
Assist %
65.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 96.6Defence91.8 · 92.8Shooting49.4% · 50.5%3-point %28.5% · 32.6%Ball care15.8% · 13.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ MZT Skopje   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
MZT Skopje wins
0
AEK Larnaca wins
No previous meetings.
MZT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ASutjeska75-85
20/10/26AWurzburg73-87
14/10/26HTartu Ulikool92-95
06/10/26HIraklis59-64
24/05/26AKK Skopje 202380-74
20/05/26HKK Skopje 202381-76
17/05/26HKK Skopje 202384-77
13/05/26HPelister87-58
10/05/26APelister76-81
06/05/26HPelister80-75
AEK Larnacalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AParalimni85-74
21/10/26HTartu Ulikool99-93
18/10/26HApoel BC83-79
14/10/26ADziki Warszawa80-94
11/10/26AApollon90-56
07/10/26HWurzburg73-65
16/09/26ACSM Oradea87-95
25/05/26HKeravnos68-64
21/05/26AKeravnos80-94
17/05/26HKeravnos76-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

MZT Skopje
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.775.573.0
Allowed / game82.079.587.0
Point differential-7.3-4.0-14.0
Avg total156.7155.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game84.086.080.0
Allowed / game84.079.094.0
Point differential+0.0+7.0-14.0
Avg total168.0165.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esenler Erokspor330100%101.373.7+27.7
2 Basquet Girona330100%95.773.0+22.7
3 Nancy330100%83.062.0+21.0
4 Trier330100%93.074.0+19.0
5 Dziki Warszawa330100%94.380.3+14.0
6 Mykonos330100%81.369.0+12.3
7 Benfica330100%95.085.0+10.0
8 Sporting CP330100%82.373.7+8.7
9 Korfez Basket32167%88.073.3+14.7
10 VEF Riga32167%100.089.7+10.3
11 Chalon/Saone32167%84.374.3+10.0
12 Kolossos Rhodes32167%75.366.0+9.3
13 Promitheas32167%88.380.0+8.3
14 CSM Oradea32167%84.776.7+8.0
15 Iraklis32167%79.772.7+7.0
16 Szczecin32167%86.380.7+5.7
17 Keravnos32167%80.375.3+5.0
18 Denizli Basket32167%84.780.3+4.3
19 Trepca32167%81.380.0+1.3
20 BC Kalev/Cramo32167%82.081.3+0.7
21 AEK Larnaca32167%84.084.0+0.0
22 Bakken Bears32167%83.384.0-0.7
23 Oostende32167%78.780.0-1.3
24 BC Prievidza53260%92.282.6+9.6
25 Dinamo Bucharest63350%87.577.7+9.8
26 Bashkimi21150%81.582.5-1.0
27 Levice42250%75.077.0-2.0
28 Parnu52340%71.476.4-5.0
29 Opava31233%83.375.0+8.3
30 Geneva Lions31233%84.780.3+4.3
31 Wurzburg31233%75.078.7-3.7
32 Lok. Plovdiv31233%82.087.0-5.0
33 Vienna Basket31233%76.781.7-5.0
34 Szolnoki Olaj31233%80.387.3-7.0
35 Split31233%74.382.0-7.7
36 Valmiera Glass Via31233%78.787.3-8.7
37 Tartu Ulikool31233%88.098.0-10.0
38 Zielona Gora31233%76.387.7-11.3
39 Fribourg Olympic31233%70.082.0-12.0
40 Neftchi IK51420%73.281.2-8.0
41 MZT Skopje3030%74.782.0-7.3
42 Absheron Lions3030%85.0101.3-16.3
43 Rilski Sportist2020%68.586.5-18.0
44 SCM Craiova3030%79.397.3-18.0
45 Nitra Blue Wings3030%73.091.7-18.7
46 Gence2020%62.586.0-23.5
47 Manchester Basketball2020%71.595.5-24.0
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Batumi3030%65.795.0-29.3
50 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
MZT Skopje2022111669
AEK Larnaca2326221485
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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