AEK Larnaca vs Keravnos Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	86.3	74.5	160.8	+11.8	84%
Season at home (17)	85.9	71.3	157.2	+14.6	94%
Season away (15)	86.9	78.1	165.0	+8.7	73%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	79.3	162.0	+3.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	79.2	158.2	-0.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	72.0	95.0	167.0	-23.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	81.1	79.3	160.4	+1.9	57%
vs Weaker (21)	87.7	74.7	162.4	+13.0	90%

This opponent (Keravnos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Keravnos

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apollon

92-71

+21

H07/04

Division A

AEL

80-87

-7

H18/04

Division A

AEL

85-81

A22/04

Division A

AEL

86-66

+20

H25/04

Division A

AEL

82-87

-5

A29/04

Division A

AEL

92-60

+32

H02/05

Division A

AEK Larnaca

75-68

A09/05

Division A

AEK Larnaca

81-86

-5

H13/05

Division A

AEK Larnaca

75-76

-1

A17/05

Division A

AEK Larnaca

94-80

+14

H21/05

Division A

25-22

28-13

21-21

18-15

24-18

14-17

17-29

25-23

18-23

21-20

28-15

30-19

18-8

22-24

16-15

21-23

19-19

24-17

18-28

22-20

30-16

20-11

20-13

16-13

24-19

14-18

21-18

25-14

19-27

15-25

22-20

27-22

17-18

17-13

14-23

16-15

27-24

25-19

26-22

160.4Avg total

84.2Scored

76.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	88.2	73.9	162.2	+14.3	81%
Season at home (17)	90.9	71.4	162.2	+19.5	88%
Season away (15)	85.3	76.9	162.1	+8.4	73%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	76.2	160.4	+8.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	74.0	157.4	+9.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	63.5	97.0	160.5	-33.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	80.6	78.9	159.4	+1.7	57%
vs Weaker (21)	93.0	73.1	166.2	+19.9	90%

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AEK LarnacaKeravnos

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.8	41.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	19.9	43.1	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	19.7	39.9	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.6	36.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.5	26.0	41.5	-10.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.3	19.9	39.1	-0.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (21)	23.1	19.2	42.3	+3.9	76%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	18.2	40.5	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	18.1	41.7	+5.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	18.4	39.2	+2.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.9	41.3	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.8	38.0	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.5	21.0	33.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.9	18.9	39.7	+2.0	71%	-
vs Weaker (21)	23.8	17.7	41.5	+6.0	81%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	18.2	39.7	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	22.3	44.7	+0.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	23.3	44.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.4	45.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	18.0	32.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	23.7	21.6	45.3	+2.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (21)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.7	41.5	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	21.5	36.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (21)	22.5	18.6	41.1	+3.9	62%	-

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

AEL

34-39

-5

H08/04

Division A

Apoel BC

50-50

H17/04

Division A

Apoel BC

29-45

-16

A21/04

Division A

Apoel BC

48-38

+10

H24/04

Division A

Apoel BC

44-44

A28/04

Division A

Apoel BC

47-39

H01/05

Division A

Keravnos

32-40

-8

H09/05

Division A

Keravnos

41-44

-3

A13/05

Division A

Keravnos

40-44

-4

H17/05

Division A

Keravnos

39-43

-4

A21/05

Division A

83.0Avg total

40.4Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	40.0	83.7	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.6	38.1	82.7	+6.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	41.9	84.7	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	42.6	83.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	42.0	81.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.5	44.0	73.5	-14.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	43.0	41.4	84.4	+1.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (21)	45.2	39.2	84.4	+6.0	67%	-

This opponent (Keravnos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Apollon

53-35

+18

H07/04

Division A

AEL

38-35

H18/04

Division A

AEL

36-46

-10

A22/04

Division A

AEL

48-27

+21

H25/04

Division A

AEL

40-42

-2

A29/04

Division A

AEL

52-36

+16

H02/05

Division A

AEK Larnaca

40-32

A09/05

Division A

AEK Larnaca

44-41

H13/05

Division A

AEK Larnaca

44-40

A17/05

Division A

AEK Larnaca

43-39

H21/05

Division A

81.1Avg total

43.8Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	37.9	82.0	+6.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.1	36.9	82.9	+9.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.8	39.1	80.9	+2.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	37.3	81.1	+6.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	37.6	82.2	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	27.5	42.5	70.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	42.3	41.4	83.7	+0.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (21)	46.2	36.3	82.6	+9.9	76%	-

This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	18.7	41.0	+3.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.2	38.0	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	25.5	46.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+2.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.6	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.5	41.6	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	26.0	43.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.7	18.1	37.9	+1.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (21)	23.3	19.4	42.7	+4.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.5	38.8	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	16.1	36.7	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	25.5	47.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.4	20.1	38.6	-1.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.7	17.3	38.0	+3.4	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	17.8	39.9	+4.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	28.5	47.5	-9.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (21)	23.5	17.4	40.9	+6.0	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	37.1	78.6	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.8	34.5	75.3	+6.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	39.7	81.8	+2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	36.7	79.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	37.2	76.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.5	51.0	93.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	38.1	37.9	76.0	+0.3	71%	-
vs Weaker (21)	42.5	35.5	78.0	+7.0	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	38.1	82.2	+6.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.2	37.6	81.9	+6.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	38.7	82.6	+5.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	38.9	79.3	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.4	75.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.0	54.5	90.5	-18.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	38.3	37.4	75.7	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (21)	46.8	36.8	83.6	+10.0	81%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 82.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	20.7	52.8%	51.5%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	8.8	30.1%	32.9%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	20.4	14.9	73.0%	71.5%	14.9

They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 83.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀58%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 58% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game

51%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.6	24.4	54.7%	51.5%	48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.2	7.3	36.1%	32.9%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	15.9	13.0	81.8%	71.5%	13.0

They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	21.2	53.3%	51.5%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	7.0	30.8%	32.9%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	19.4	15.5	79.9%	71.5%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	19.8	50.8%	51.5%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	7.1	27.8%	32.9%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.3	71.2%	71.5%	15.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.7	53.9%	51.5%	41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	10.1	33.5%	32.9%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	17.4	12.7	73.2%	71.5%	12.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	23.7	56.2%	51.5%	47.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	8.9	39.3%	32.9%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	16.6	13.3	80.5%	71.5%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	18.7	50.8%	51.5%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	8.6	35.1%	32.9%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	18.2	13.6	74.9%	71.5%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	20.1	48.8%	51.5%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.1	7.6	30.1%	32.9%	22.7
🏀 Free throws	18.3	12.8	70.1%	71.5%	12.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

AEK Larnaca

LWWLWLWLWW

Keravnos

WLLWWLWWLW

League position

+4.5

Net rating

+8.9

97.0

Offensive rating

99.3

92.5

Defensive rating

90.4

49.6%

Effective FG%

54.6%

50.7%

Opp. effective FG%

47.2%

11.4%

Turnover %

15.0%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.25

30.1%

3-point %

36.1%

66.1%

Assist %

57.4%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ AEK Larnaca ■ Keravnos

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

AEK Larnaca wins

Keravnos wins

Date	Game	Score
21/05/26	Keravnos v AEK Larnaca	94-80
17/05/26	AEK Larnaca v Keravnos	76-75
13/05/26	Keravnos v AEK Larnaca	81-86
09/05/26	AEK Larnaca v Keravnos	68-75
01/04/26	AEK Larnaca v Keravnos	97-72
08/03/26	Keravnos v AEK Larnaca	75-71
06/10/25	AEK Larnaca v Keravnos	76-69
20/05/25	AEK Larnaca v Keravnos	99-94 OT
17/05/25	Keravnos v AEK Larnaca	83-87
14/05/25	AEK Larnaca v Keravnos	91-84

AEK Larnacalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/05/26	A	Keravnos	80-94
17/05/26	H	Keravnos	76-75
13/05/26	A	Keravnos	86-81
09/05/26	H	Keravnos	68-75
01/05/26	H	Apoel BC	85-71
28/04/26	A	Apoel BC	87-95
24/04/26	H	Apoel BC	89-72
21/04/26	A	Apoel BC	79-82
17/04/26	H	Apoel BC	99-77
08/04/26	H	AEL	78-71

Keravnoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/05/26	H	AEK Larnaca	94-80
17/05/26	A	AEK Larnaca	75-76
13/05/26	H	AEK Larnaca	81-86
09/05/26	A	AEK Larnaca	75-68
02/05/26	H	AEL	92-60
29/04/26	A	AEL	82-87
25/04/26	H	AEL	86-66
22/04/26	A	AEL	85-81
18/04/26	H	AEL	80-87
07/04/26	H	Apollon	92-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca

Division A 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	84%
Home	WWWLW	94%
Away	WLLWL	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	17	15
Win %	84%	94%	73%
Points / game	86.3	85.9	86.9
Allowed / game	74.5	71.3	78.1
Point differential	+11.8	+14.6	+8.7
Avg total	160.8	157.2	165.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	59%	71%	47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (1)	60% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Keravnos

Division A 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	81%
Home	LWWLW	88%
Away	LWLWL	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	17	15
Win %	81%	88%	73%
Points / game	88.2	90.9	85.3
Allowed / game	73.9	71.4	76.9
Point differential	+14.3	+19.5	+8.4
Avg total	162.2	162.2	162.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	71%	53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	AEK Larnaca	32	27	5	84%	86.3	74.5	+11.8
2	Keravnos	32	26	6	81%	88.2	73.9	+14.3
3	AEL	28	17	11	61%	80.2	81.0	-0.8
4	Apoel BC	28	13	15	46%	80.0	83.9	-3.9
5	Paralimni	23	9	14	39%	82.1	83.0	-0.9
6	Apollon	23	9	14	39%	83.1	86.1	-3.0
7	Anorthosis	18	7	11	39%	75.1	79.2	-4.2
8	Morphou	18	6	12	33%	78.1	85.4	-7.3
9	ETHA Engomi	18	3	15	17%	82.3	94.0	-11.7
10	Achilleas K.	18	2	16	11%	71.8	82.8	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
AEK Larnaca	18	16	21	13	68
Keravnos	18	16	11	19	64

← all games of the day

AEK Larnaca vs Keravnos Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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