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MZT Skopje vs Rabotnicki Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 16 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 81-76
Projected total 157.6
Scheduled
Position#2
Record5-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game70.5
Vs
68%
32%
■ MSK 68%■ RABO 32%
Pythia win probability
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game77.3
MacedoniaSuperleagueRound 7· Jane Sandanski Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · MZT Skopje v Rabotnicki
16 Nov 2026
MSK v RABO
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
MSK97
RABO93
13 Feb 2025
MSK97
RABO63
16 Feb 2024
MSK81
RABO76
25 Jan 2024
MSK91
RABO95
13 May 2023
MSK82
RABO71
06 Feb 2023
MSK91
RABO87
03 Nov 2021
MSK87
RABO66
16 May 2021
MSK77
RABO69
14 Apr 2021
MSK74
RABO75
03 Mar 2021
MSK84
RABO82
01 Mar 2020
MSK92
RABO90
06 May 2019
MSK85
RABO63
12 Nov 2018
MSK88
RABO90
23 May 2018
MSK75
RABO76
03 May 2018
MSK80
RABO76
06 Dec 2017
MSK71
RABO76
25 Mar 2017
MSK87
RABO68
05 Apr 2016
MSK81
RABO71
12 Nov 2015
MSK90
RABO85
15 May 2015
MSK76
RABO85
18 Feb 2015
MSK78
RABO71
01 Jun 2014
MSK95
RABO80
27 May 2014
MSK96
RABO79
02 Apr 2014
MSK76
RABO72
04 May 2013
MSK100
RABO85
Sections
Game preview & prediction

MZT Skopje will host Rabotnicki in the Superleague on 16 November 2026, with MZT entering on a 5-1 run that includes a recent 73-103 loss to Iraklis, while Rabotnicki remains unbeaten at 6-0, having won all five of their latest outings. MZT's season record of 5-1 shows they average 78.0 points and allow 70.5, ranking second, and they are undefeated at home with a 3-0 record, averaging 76.3 points and conceding 67.7; their last five games were 2-3. Rabotnicki, meanwhile, leads the league with a 6-0 record, scoring 85.2 and allowing 77.3, and are flawless on the road with a 3-0 record, averaging 90.7 and conceding 83.7; their last five were 5-0. In their ten meetings MZT has won nine, most recently 97-93 on 29 March 2026. Pythia projects an 81-76 win for MZT, giving them a 68% chance to win and a 32% chance for Rabotnicki, with a projected total of 157.6 points; the over line is 161.5 with a 40% chance of exceeding it, and a 5% probability of overtime. The game will likely see MZT's home advantage and Rabotnicki's unbeaten streak collide.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MZT Skopje win
68.3%fair 1.46
Best odds1.69
Implied56.1%
Edge+12.2pp
Rabotnicki win
31.7%fair 3.15
Best odds2.16
Implied43.9%
Edge-12.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MZT SkopjeMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkopje
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#37
L
92-95
92
95
-3
82avg 76
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
TFT Skopje
#4
W
70-66
70
66
+4
no box
H16/10
Superleague
Wurzburg
#13
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 76
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sutjeska
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
62avg 76
A24/10
ABA League 2
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
69-85
69
85
-16
57avg 76
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Strumica
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
A29/10
Superleague
Pelister
#9
W
74-60
74
60
+14
no box
H01/11
Superleague
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
66-89
66
89
-23
no box
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Skopje 2023
#10
W
79-60
79
60
+19
no box
A08/11
Superleague
Iraklis
#11
L
73-103
73
103
-30
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
22-20
23-28
30-23
25-10
16-18
16-16
13-22
21-21
22-28
15-20
15-18
11-16
29-23
19-21
16-25
20-23
22-26
11-22
16-14
26-26
18-21
20-17
15-23
22-13
20-18
12-14
20-15
17-20
14-27
17-24
18-18
22-17
20-22
16-8
21-13
17-29
18-18
18-31
20-25
156.7Avg total
75.0Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.070.5148.5+7.583%
Season at home (3)76.367.7144.0+8.7100%
Season away (3)79.773.3153.0+6.367%
Last 10 (10)75.081.7156.7-6.730%
Last 5 (5)74.279.8154.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.889.8164.7-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.479.4160.9+2.043%
vs Weaker (16)82.976.6159.4+6.381%
This opponent (Rabotnicki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RabotnickiMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRabotnicki
Date
Competition
Gostivar
#12
L
70-75 OT
70
75
-5
58avg 81
A18/04
Superleague
Cair 2030
#7
W
94-83
94
83
+11
89avg 81
H22/04
Superleague
MKK Kumanovo
#5
L
73-90
73
90
-17
65avg 81
A26/04
Superleague
KK Angeli
#13
W
99-84
99
84
+15
100avg 81
H30/04
Superleague
Strumica
#7
W
92-85
92
85
+7
no box
A04/10
Superleague
Tikvesh
#3
W
86-70
86
70
+16
no box
H10/10
Superleague
Pelister
#9
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A18/10
Superleague
MKK Kumanovo
#5
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
H25/10
Superleague
KK Skopje 2023
#10
W
89-79
89
79
+10
no box
A31/10
Superleague
Kozuv
#6
W
83-80
83
80
+3
no box
H08/11
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
19-12
18-14
12-14
22-22
31-18
19-23
22-20
15-25
22-28
18-20
18-17
23-13
27-22
24-22
25-27
29-10
21-17
23-28
19-30
19-12
30-14
18-22
19-22
12-20
21-21
26-18
32-28
18-19
18-14
17-18
17-12
17-20
28-20
30-20
14-19
28-25
16-18
18-21
21-16
164.3Avg total
84.7Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.277.3162.5+7.8100%
Season at home (3)79.771.0150.7+8.7100%
Season away (3)90.783.7174.3+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.779.6164.3+5.180%
Last 5 (5)83.875.8159.6+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.391.7175.0-8.30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.983.4166.3-0.644%
vs Weaker (18)85.375.6160.9+9.872%
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 156.5
Over 156.5
51.8%
Under 156.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 161.5 · main line
Over 161.5
39.9%
@ 1.83-11.2pp
Under 161.5
60.1%
@ 1.91+11.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.91
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
28.9%
Under 166.5
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

MZT Skopje total 78.5
Over 78.5
61.5%
@ 1.48-0.6pp
Under 78.5
38.5%
@ 2.42+0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.48
Under
1xBet
2.42
MZT Skopje total 82.5 · main line
Over 82.5
45.9%
@ 1.86-3.8pp
Under 82.5
54.1%
@ 1.84+3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
Under
1xBet
1.84
MZT Skopje total 86.5
Over 86.5
30.9%
@ 2.46-6.3pp
Under 86.5
69.1%
@ 1.46+6.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.46
Under
1xBet
1.46
Rabotnicki total 75.5
Over 75.5
51.8%
@ 1.46-11.0pp
Under 75.5
48.2%
@ 2.46+11.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Under
1xBet
2.46
Rabotnicki total 79.5 · main line
Over 79.5
36.6%
@ 1.84-13.6pp
Under 79.5
63.4%
@ 1.86+13.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.84
Under
1xBet
1.86
Rabotnicki total 83.5
Over 83.5
23.6%
@ 2.42-14.4pp
Under 83.5
76.4%
@ 1.48+14.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.42
Under
1xBet
1.48

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread MZT Skopje -3
MSK -3
60.1%
RABO +3
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
MSK
No market prices yet.
RABO
No market prices yet.
Spread MZT Skopje 0
MSK 0
68.3%
RABO 0
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
MSK
No market prices yet.
RABO
No market prices yet.
Spread MZT Skopje +3
MSK +3
76.2%
RABO -3
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
MSK
No market prices yet.
RABO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
MZT SkopjeRabotnicki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#37
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
TFT Skopje
#4
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H16/10
Superleague
Wurzburg
#13
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Sutjeska
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A24/10
ABA League 2
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Strumica
#7
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A29/10
Superleague
Pelister
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H01/11
Superleague
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Skopje 2023
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A08/11
Superleague
Iraklis
#11
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
81.9Avg total
39.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (30)41.141.182.2+0.147%63%
Last 30 at home (15)42.739.181.8+3.753%60%
Last 30 away (15)39.543.182.6-3.540%67%
Last 10 (10)39.942.081.9-2.140%60%
Last 5 (5)38.842.281.0-3.440%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.347.786.0-9.30%67%
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.440.677.0-4.114%43%
vs Weaker (16)44.338.983.2+5.475%75%
This opponent (Rabotnicki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RabotnickiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gostivar
#12
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A18/04
Superleague
Cair 2030
#7
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H22/04
Superleague
MKK Kumanovo
#5
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A26/04
Superleague
KK Angeli
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H30/04
Superleague
Strumica
#7
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A04/10
Superleague
Tikvesh
#3
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H10/10
Superleague
Pelister
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A18/10
Superleague
MKK Kumanovo
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H25/10
Superleague
KK Skopje 2023
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A31/10
Superleague
Kozuv
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H08/11
Superleague
79.5Avg total
42.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (30)43.138.781.8+4.460%53%
Last 30 at home (15)45.737.182.8+8.780%60%
Last 30 away (15)40.540.380.8+0.140%47%
Last 10 (10)42.636.979.5+5.770%50%
Last 5 (5)41.436.678.0+4.880%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.346.788.0-5.333%100%
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.843.785.4-1.933%67%
vs Weaker (18)44.134.978.9+9.278%39%
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread MZT Skopje -2.5 · main line
MSK -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.01
RABO +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.71
1st half Over/Under 80.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
MZT Skopje 1st half total 40.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.79
Under
no forecast
@ 1.92
Rabotnicki 1st half total 39.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.64
Under
no forecast
@ 2.13
1st half Over/Under 82.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.66
1st half Over/Under 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.48
Under
no forecast
@ 2.48
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
MSK
no forecast
@ 1.74
Draw
no forecast
@ 13.00
RABO
no forecast
@ 2.13

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Rabotnicki under 83.576.4%1.48
1xBet
1.48
----+14.4pp
Rabotnicki under 82.573.5%1.55
1xBet
1.55
----+14.4pp
Rabotnicki under 81.570.3%1.64
1xBet
1.64
----+14.4pp
🔒 Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
Free daily update

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.9
51.2%
54.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.2
28.5%
33.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.414.8
76.3%
72.0%14.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rabotnickitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rabotnicki: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.8
56.4%
54.3%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.9
34.1%
33.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.515.6
76.1%
72.0%15.6
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
MZT Skopje
LWLWLLLLWL
Rabotnicki
WWWWWWWLWL
#2
League position
#1
-1.2
Net rating
+9.6
90.8
Offensive rating
101.7
92.0
Defensive rating
92.1
48.0%
Effective FG%
54.4%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
14.8%
Turnover %
12.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.5%
3-point %
34.1%
57.3%
Assist %
62.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 101.7Defence92.0 · 92.1Shooting48.0% · 54.4%3-point %28.5% · 34.1%Ball care14.8% · 12.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ MZT Skopje   ■ Rabotnicki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
MZT Skopje wins
1
Rabotnicki wins
MZT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AIraklis73-103
08/11/26AKK Skopje 202379-60
04/11/26ADziki Warszawa66-89
01/11/26HPelister74-60
29/10/26AStrumica79-87
27/10/26HAEK Larnaca69-85
24/10/26ASutjeska75-85
20/10/26AWurzburg73-87
16/10/26HTFT Skopje70-66
14/10/26HTartu Ulikool92-95
Rabotnickilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HKozuv83-80
31/10/26AKK Skopje 202389-79
25/10/26HMKK Kumanovo70-63
18/10/26APelister91-87
10/10/26HTikvesh86-70
04/10/26AStrumica92-85
30/04/26HKK Angeli99-84
26/04/26AMKK Kumanovo73-90
22/04/26HCair 203094-83
18/04/26AGostivar70-75 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

MZT Skopje
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game78.076.379.7
Allowed / game70.567.773.3
Point differential+7.5+8.7+6.3
Avg total148.5144.0153.0
Over 161.533%33%33%
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rabotnicki
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.279.790.7
Allowed / game77.371.083.7
Point differential+7.8+8.7+7.0
Avg total162.5150.7174.3
Over 161.567%33%100%
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rabotnicki660100%85.277.3+7.8
2 MZT Skopje65183%78.070.5+7.5
3 Tikvesh74357%77.675.9+1.7
4 TFT Skopje74357%81.980.9+1.0
5 MKK Kumanovo63350%77.375.3+2.0
6 Kozuv73443%84.185.1-1.0
7 Strumica62433%79.280.8-1.7
8 Karpos62433%75.083.3-8.3
9 Pelister72529%78.982.4-3.6
10 KK Skopje 202361517%84.890.0-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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