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N. Carolina Central vs Morgan State Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 12 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#357
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.5
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#81
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game64.6
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · N. Carolina Central v Morgan State
11 Jan 2027
N. C v MORG
upcoming
16 Feb 2026
N. C80
MORG76
17 Feb 2025
N. C78
MORG92
05 Feb 2024
N. C72
MORG79
11 Feb 2023
N. C83
MORG63
08 Jan 2022
N. C v MORG
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

N. Carolina Central win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Morgan State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

N. Carolina CentralUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware State
#353
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A28/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A03/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H05/03
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
83-76 OT
83
76
+7
H13/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H14/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A14/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A03/11
NCAA
Longwood
#173
L
75-80 OT
75
80
-5
A07/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A11/11
NCAA
Liberty
#153
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-33
47-27
23-30
54-43
26-37
38-43
34-40
40-34
32-21
27-32
23-26
40-44
28-41
34-37
27-35
41-33
22-32
29-33
34-40
32-34
138.3Avg total
67.4Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)63.574.2137.8-10.80%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)63.574.2137.8-10.80%
Last 10 (10)67.470.9138.3-3.540%
Last 5 (5)63.473.4136.8-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)65.278.0143.2-12.87%
vs Similar (7)73.675.0148.6-1.471%
vs Weaker (9)76.766.6143.2+10.167%
This opponent (Morgan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#336
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
59-84
59
84
-25
H28/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
L
70-75 OT
70
75
-5
H11/03
NCAA
Cheyney Wolves
#433
W
103-52
103
52
+51
H03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
95-58
95
58
+37
H05/11
NCAA
Niagara
#383
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A07/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#263
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A12/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
W
63-61 OT
63
61
+2
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-40
48-43
22-30
37-54
45-29
45-55
34-32
36-34
15-27
45-33
50-25
53-27
47-26
48-32
42-34
31-33
39-42
31-43
30-35
27-22
149.8Avg total
78.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.864.6145.4+16.280%
Season at home (2)99.055.0154.0+44.0100%
Season away (3)68.771.0139.7-2.367%
Last 10 (10)78.371.5149.8+6.870%
Last 5 (5)80.864.6145.4+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.585.1154.6-15.638%
vs Similar (7)64.779.6144.3-14.914%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.968.1152.0+15.787%
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.9-5.91st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +2.5+2.5
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.9-5.91st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +2.5+2.5
N. Carolina CentralMorgan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
N. Carolina CentralLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware State
#353
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A03/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H05/03
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H13/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H14/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A14/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A03/11
NCAA
Longwood
#173
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A07/11
NCAA
VMI
#177
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A11/11
NCAA
Liberty
#153
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A14/11
NCAA
61.1Avg total
27.6Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.234.465.6-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.830.666.5+5.262%-
Last 30 away (17)27.637.364.9-9.76%-
Last 10 (10)27.633.561.1-5.910%-
Last 5 (5)26.834.861.6-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)28.337.465.7-9.17%-
vs Similar (7)33.931.165.0+2.757%-
vs Weaker (9)33.632.265.8+1.344%-
This opponent (Morgan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#336
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H02/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
L
15-27
15
27
-12
H11/03
NCAA
Cheyney Wolves
#433
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H05/11
NCAA
Niagara
#383
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#263
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A14/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
36.6Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.136.371.4-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.731.769.3+6.060%-
Last 30 away (15)32.541.073.5-8.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.632.068.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.632.474.0+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.139.670.8-8.512%-
vs Similar (7)28.640.769.3-12.114%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.232.572.7+7.773%-
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALiberty66-74
11/11/26AVMI51-65
07/11/26ALongwood75-80 OT
03/11/26AGeorgia62-78
14/03/26AHoward63-70
14/03/26HDelaware State59-53
13/03/26HMd.-East. Shore83-76 OT
05/03/26HSouth Carolina St64-80
03/03/26AMd.-East. Shore77-73
28/02/26ADelaware State74-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALoyola Maryland63-61 OT
12/11/26AUMBC Retrievers70-85
07/11/26ANiagara73-67
05/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg95-58
03/11/26HCheyney Wolves103-52
11/03/26HDelaware State70-75 OT
06/03/26HCoppin State70-66
02/03/26HNorfolk State90-84
28/02/26HHoward59-84
25/02/26ASouth Carolina St90-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

N. Carolina Central
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %0%-0%
Points / game63.5-63.5
Allowed / game74.2-74.2
Point differential-10.8--10.8
Avg total137.8-137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%-25%
Morgan State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game80.899.068.7
Allowed / game64.655.071.0
Point differential+16.2+44.0-2.3
Avg total145.4154.0139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morgan State54180%80.864.6+16.2
2 South Carolina St43175%78.272.8+5.5
3 Howard53260%72.070.6+1.4
4 Norfolk State52340%66.473.8-7.4
5 Delaware State41325%68.068.2-0.2
6 Coppin State51420%62.467.6-5.2
7 Md.-East. Shore51420%58.670.0-11.4
8 N. Carolina Central4040%63.574.2-10.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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