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Nacional vs Aguada Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 74-95
27-17 18-27 13-23 16-28
Position#4
Record22-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
Position#3
Record22-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game73.5
UruguayLiga UruguayaLiga Uruguaya - Semi-finals
Other2019-20
Meetings · Nacional v Aguada
20 Oct 2026
NACI81
AGUA83
25 May 2026
NACI74
AGUA87
18 May 2026
NACI83
AGUA96
11 Apr 2026
NACI101
AGUA82
20 Oct 2025
NACI82
AGUA79
01 Jun 2025
NACI79
AGUA77
27 May 2025
NACI103
AGUA98
22 May 2025
NACI73
AGUA82
16 May 2025
NACI102
AGUA77
13 Feb 2025
NACI91
AGUA94
24 May 2024
NACI82
AGUA97
17 May 2024
NACI98
AGUA89
08 Apr 2024
NACI83
AGUA87
17 Nov 2023
NACI77
AGUA68
31 Jan 2023
NACI87
AGUA67
14 Apr 2022
NACI85
AGUA80
09 Apr 2022
NACI84
AGUA61
11 Feb 2022
NACI86
AGUA99
16 Feb 2021
NACI74
AGUA92
09 Feb 2021
NACI74
AGUA95
24 Nov 2020
NACI97
AGUA91
12 Nov 2019
NACI99
AGUA86
06 May 2019
NACI80
AGUA83
29 Apr 2019
NACI59
AGUA77
22 Apr 2019
NACI63
AGUA85
05 Nov 2018
NACI70
AGUA77
30 Apr 2018
NACI55
AGUA74
23 Apr 2018
NACI61
AGUA79
13 Feb 2018
NACI82
AGUA80
19 Nov 2012
NACI80
AGUA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#1
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#5
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A30/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H22/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
29-18
26-23
19-23
20-22
24-19
15-20
27-16
13-21
10-9
17-22
21-21
22-22
15-15
26-20
14-20
17-11
20-12
25-18
18-26
13-23
20-19
17-12
17-14
25-18
13-24
13-24
15-17
16-13
18-24
25-12
18-17
23-20
21-14
30-26
23-31
–
–
–
–
144.6Avg total
72.9Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)79.576.4155.9+3.161%
Season at home (20)85.776.4162.1+9.280%
Season away (16)71.876.4148.2-4.738%
Last 10 (10)72.971.7144.6+1.260%
Last 5 (5)61.465.6127.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)61.268.8130.0-7.640%
vs Similar (20)84.080.2164.2+3.860%
vs Weaker (5)75.865.4141.2+10.480%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capitol
#11
W
99-69
99
69
+30
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#6
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#12
W
98-91
98
91
+7
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#9
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#2
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H09/11
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#2
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A12/11
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#2
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#4
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-21
18-17
23-13
21-18
16-22
26-17
29-19
20-26
24-20
26-19
23-24
25-28
20-14
24-17
22-25
28-25
13-31
26-17
23-15
28-21
18-23
28-14
20-21
22-25
15-31
20-14
14-14
17-24
26-19
22-18
26-19
25-29
20-23
14-21
26-30
31-23
–
–
–
–
159.3Avg total
83.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)79.673.5153.1+6.165%
Season at home (17)77.166.2143.3+10.882%
Season away (17)82.280.8163.0+1.547%
Last 10 (10)83.675.7159.3+7.980%
Last 5 (5)72.869.6142.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)84.984.8169.7+0.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.969.6148.5+9.368%
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
NacionalAguada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#1
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#5
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A30/10
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H03/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H15/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H22/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H24/11
Liga Uruguaya
73.8Avg total
38.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.037.176.1+1.943%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.137.078.1+4.156%-
Last 30 away (10)35.237.472.6-2.220%-
Last 10 (9)38.135.773.8+2.444%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.672.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.835.271.0+0.550%-
vs Similar (20)39.737.877.5+1.945%-
vs Weaker (4)38.835.874.5+3.025%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capitol
#11
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A02/03
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#12
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#9
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#2
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A04/11
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/11
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A12/11
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H17/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A24/11
Liga Uruguaya
83.4Avg total
43.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)42.340.082.4+2.367%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.836.881.6+7.9100%-
Last 30 away (14)40.143.083.1-2.936%-
Last 10 (9)43.739.883.4+3.967%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.282.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)40.340.480.6-0.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.839.883.6+3.969%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nacional wins
6
Aguada wins
DateGameScore
01/12/20Aguada v Nacional20-0
24/11/20Nacional v Aguada97-91
25/01/20Aguada v Nacional87-67
13/11/19Nacional v Aguada99-86
07/05/19Nacional v Aguada80-83
04/05/19Aguada v Nacional78-86
30/04/19Nacional v Aguada59-77
26/04/19Aguada v Nacional69-75
23/04/19Nacional v Aguada63-85
11/03/19Aguada v Nacional123-117 OT
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/20AAguada0-20
24/11/20HAguada97-91
22/11/20HDefensor77-66
18/11/20ADefensor66-83
15/11/20HDefensor67-68
10/11/20ADefensor80-67
03/11/20HDefensor97-91 OT
30/10/20ATrouville61-73
13/03/20HDefensor86-77
10/03/20HMalvin98-81
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/20HNacional20-0
24/11/20ANacional91-97
17/11/20HOlimpia Kings99-85
12/11/20AOlimpia Kings66-83
09/11/20HOlimpia Kings88-83
04/11/20AOlimpia Kings90-84
10/03/20HGoes94-81
05/03/20ASayago98-91
02/03/20AUrunday91-84
27/02/20HCapitol99-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL61%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362016
Win %61%80%38%
Points / game79.585.771.8
Allowed / game76.476.476.4
Point differential+3.1+9.2-4.7
Avg total155.9162.1148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)25% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %11%10%12%
Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %65%82%47%
Points / game79.677.182.2
Allowed / game73.566.280.8
Point differential+6.1+10.8+1.5
Avg total153.1143.3163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%59%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Malvin32221069%79.475.3+4.1
2 Olimpia Kings33221167%82.178.7+3.4
3 Aguada34221265%79.673.5+6.1
4 Trouville36221461%82.778.8+3.9
5 Nacional36221461%79.576.4+3.1
6 Urunday35201557%83.679.0+4.7
7 Defensor35171849%79.778.5+1.3
8 Hebraica y Macabi33161748%78.980.7-1.8
9 Goes28131546%81.281.4-0.2
10 Bigua28121643%80.280.3-0.1
11 Capitol2891932%75.583.0-7.6
12 Sayago2862221%73.984.0-10.1
13 Atenas242228%40.555.0-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional2718131674
Aguada1727232895
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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