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Nancy vs La Rochelle Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 64-56
16-18 17-10 14-18 17-10
Position#9
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Nancy 🏆
France
vs
La Rochelle
France
Position#16
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
FranceLNBRound 1· Palais des Sports Jean-Weille
Domestic2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nancy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NancyFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNancy
Date
Competition
Paris
#2
L
71-113
71
113
-42
66avg 87
A20/03
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
85avg 87
A23/03
LNB
Cholet
#6
L
77-85
77
85
-8
85avg 87
H30/03
LNB
Monaco
#1
W
100-86
100
86
+14
117avg 87
A07/04
LNB
Le Mans
#12
W
68-60
68
60
+8
80avg 87
H13/04
LNB
Limoges
#10
L
99-102
99
102
-3
111avg 87
A20/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
58-83
58
83
-25
58avg 87
H24/04
LNB
Roanne
#17
W
84-79
84
79
+5
100avg 87
H30/04
LNB
JL Bourg
#4
L
78-103
78
103
-25
94avg 87
A04/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
69-59
69
59
+10
79avg 87
H11/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
15-33
16-23
23-34
19-24
21-18
18-7
16-21
18-16
18-24
20-21
21-24
25-28
25-25
26-19
24-14
22-13
15-17
9-17
22-13
24-27
22-25
29-23
24-27
11-24
18-16
19-20
10-23
23-17
21-20
20-25
20-17
12-30
24-25
25-15
17-33
20-17
19-9
14-16
16-17
161.8Avg total
77.8Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.884.0161.8-6.250%
Last 5 (5)77.685.2162.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.290.1165.4-14.925%
vs Similar (17)79.680.9160.6-1.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)97.787.7185.3+10.067%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
57-69
57
69
-12
62avg 87
A28/04
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
75-76
75
76
-1
87avg 87
H03/05
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
52-65
52
65
-13
69avg 87
A10/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
68-54
68
54
+14
79avg 87
H16/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
87avg 87
A19/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
75-54
75
54
+21
86avg 87
H22/05
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
73-70
73
70
+3
79avg 87
H25/05
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
70-61
70
61
+9
83avg 87
A28/05
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
67-49
67
49
+18
86avg 87
H03/06
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
72-67 OT
72
67
+5
82avg 87
A06/06
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-15
24-15
16-24
7-15
29-18
9-17
18-26
19-15
12-9
11-18
16-11
13-27
19-12
22-19
13-10
14-13
27-20
16-22
18-19
12-19
26-20
16-8
16-12
17-14
25-16
14-20
19-14
15-20
24-6
13-18
16-16
17-21
18-10
9-15
25-12
15-12
16-13
17-10
12-21
15-16
132.7Avg total
68.2Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.264.5132.7+3.760%
Last 5 (5)71.460.2131.6+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)87.074.0161.0+13.0100%
vs Weaker (29)74.668.9143.4+5.776%
This opponent (Nancy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
NancyLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NancyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#2
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A20/03
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A23/03
LNB
Cholet
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H30/03
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A07/04
LNB
Le Mans
#12
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H13/04
LNB
Limoges
#10
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A20/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H24/04
LNB
Roanne
#17
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H30/04
LNB
JL Bourg
#4
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A04/05
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H11/05
LNB
82.0Avg total
38.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.985.1-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.738.479.1+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)41.748.790.4-7.019%-
Last 10 (10)38.943.182.0-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.080.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.148.085.1-10.912%-
vs Similar (17)41.440.982.3+0.441%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)48.744.793.3+4.067%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A28/04
Pro B
Nantes
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H03/05
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A10/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H16/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A19/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H22/05
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/05
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A28/05
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H03/06
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A06/06
Pro B
65.8Avg total
35.7Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.133.772.8+5.580%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.633.374.9+8.393%-
Last 30 away (15)36.734.170.7+2.667%-
Last 10 (10)35.730.165.8+5.690%-
Last 5 (5)35.627.262.8+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)48.039.087.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker (29)38.833.572.3+5.379%-
This opponent (Nancy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nancytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nancy: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.1
52.3%
54.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.2
33.8%
35.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.210.8
71.1%
74.9%10.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀28%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.114.3
46.0%
54.3%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.36.6
26.1%
35.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws23.518.8
80.0%
74.9%18.8
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nancy
WLWLLWWLWL
La Rochelle
WWWWWLWLLL
#9
League position
#16
-8.6
Net rating
+4.8
103.3
Offensive rating
91.3
112.0
Defensive rating
86.5
51.6%
Effective FG%
42.9%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
41.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
19.3%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.42
33.8%
3-point %
26.1%
60.1%
Assist %
78.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 91.3Defence112.0 · 86.5Shooting51.6% · 42.9%3-point %33.8% · 26.1%Ball care17.2% · 19.3%Off. rebounds24.4% · 20.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Nancy   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nancy wins
0
La Rochelle wins
No previous meetings.
Nancylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24HGravelines-Dunkerque69-59
04/05/24AJL Bourg78-103
30/04/24HRoanne84-79
24/04/24HLyon-Villeurbanne58-83
20/04/24ALimoges99-102
13/04/24HLe Mans68-60
07/04/24AMonaco100-86
30/03/24HCholet77-85
23/03/24AChalon/Saone74-70
20/03/24AParis71-113
La Rochellelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/06/24ABoulazac72-67 OT
03/06/24HBoulazac67-49
28/05/24ARouen70-61
25/05/24HRouen73-70
22/05/24HASA75-54
19/05/24AASA73-80
16/05/24HASA68-54
10/05/24APau-Orthez52-65
03/05/24HNantes75-76
28/04/24AFos-sur-Mer57-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nancy
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
La Rochelle
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 JL Bourg110100%94.065.0+29.0
2 Saint Quentin110100%68.066.0+2.0
3 Monaco1010%66.068.0-2.0
4 Le Portel1010%65.094.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nancy1617141764
La Rochelle1810181056
← all games of the day
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