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La Rochelle vs Nantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 75-76
29-18 9-17 18-26 19-15
Position#1
Record27-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game70.3
La Rochelle
France
vs
Nantes 🏆
France
Position#13
Record13-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game83.5
FrancePro BRound 33· Salle Gaston Neveur
Other2023-24
Meetings · La Rochelle v Nantes
16 Mar 2027
LRO v NANT
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
LRO88
NANT98
03 May 2024
LRO75
NANT76
31 Jan 2023
LRO59
NANT65
11 Sep 2015
LRO48
NANT85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
Angers
#18
W
79-56
79
56
+23
77avg 88
A08/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
87-73
87
73
+14
102avg 88
H15/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
76-64
76
64
+12
92avg 88
H22/03
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
77avg 88
A26/03
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
65-63
65
63
+2
76avg 88
H29/03
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
75-69
75
69
+6
92avg 88
A05/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
89-64
89
64
+25
103avg 88
H09/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
94avg 88
A12/04
Pro B
Vichy
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
104avg 88
H19/04
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
57-69
57
69
-12
62avg 88
A28/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
19-12
16-13
24-18
22-23
31-15
21-13
13-22
27-12
20-17
13-18
16-17
23-14
13-11
16-20
17-27
18-20
13-11
17-14
17-18
22-11
15-25
13-12
25-21
30-24
22-9
25-10
12-21
19-14
19-26
13-21
31-18
23-16
25-23
21-22
18-13
10-15
24-15
16-24
7-15
144.9Avg total
76.6Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.370.3149.7+9.084%
Season at home (16)82.669.1151.7+13.4100%
Season away (16)76.171.6147.6+4.569%
Last 10 (10)76.668.3144.9+8.380%
Last 5 (5)78.071.0149.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)79.067.5146.5+11.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)79.470.6149.9+8.882%
This opponent (Nantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Rouen
#5
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
no box
A01/03
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 89
H08/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
85-88
85
88
-3
102avg 89
A15/03
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
87-96
87
96
-9
97avg 89
H22/03
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
86avg 89
A26/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
88-95
88
95
-7
100avg 89
H29/03
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
111-67
111
67
+44
136avg 89
H09/04
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
77-100
77
100
-23
86avg 89
A12/04
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
88-103
88
103
-15
102avg 89
H19/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
84-101
84
101
-17
90avg 89
H26/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
11-22
23-21
21-13
35-30
13-13
18-23
19-11
28-22
21-24
16-17
20-25
20-20
19-24
26-25
22-27
20-23
25-18
17-18
12-22
18-23
17-21
24-27
29-24
25-19
30-20
29-17
27-11
18-26
15-16
22-28
22-30
20-25
14-30
19-27
35-21
24-15
15-26
17-27
28-33
176.7Avg total
86.7Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.783.5165.2-1.841%
Season at home (17)85.181.4166.4+3.759%
Season away (15)77.986.0163.9-8.120%
Last 10 (10)86.790.0176.7-3.320%
Last 5 (5)89.693.2182.8-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)69.285.7154.8-16.517%
vs Similar (22)82.485.5168.0-3.132%
vs Weaker (2)98.073.5171.5+24.5100%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
La RochelleNantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angers
#18
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A08/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H15/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/03
Pro B
Antibes
#8
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A26/03
Pro B
Lille
#10
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H29/03
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A05/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H09/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A12/04
Pro B
Vichy
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H19/04
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A28/04
Pro B
74.1Avg total
41.5Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.335.276.5+6.080%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.335.179.3+9.293%-
Last 30 away (15)38.335.473.7+2.967%-
Last 10 (10)41.532.674.1+8.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.677.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)44.031.075.0+13.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.135.576.6+5.579%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rouen
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/03
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H08/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A15/03
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H22/03
Pro B
Poitiers
#11
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A26/03
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H29/03
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H09/04
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A12/04
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H19/04
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H26/04
Pro B
85.4Avg total
41.3Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.782.7-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.941.584.4+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)37.143.981.1-6.827%-
Last 10 (10)41.344.185.4-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.283.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.840.576.3-4.733%-
vs Similar (22)40.543.684.1-3.141%-
vs Weaker (2)47.539.086.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.3
49.3%
51.1%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.7
33.0%
33.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.315.0
82.0%
72.2%15.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.2
53.4%
51.1%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.19.3
40.3%
33.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.612.4
70.5%
72.2%12.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Rochelle
LWWWWWLWWW
Nantes
LLLWLLLLWL
#1
League position
#13
+10.8
Net rating
-3.1
99.4
Offensive rating
110.3
88.6
Defensive rating
113.4
49.3%
Effective FG%
55.9%
43.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
19.5%
19.2%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.0%
3-point %
40.3%
70.4%
Assist %
63.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 110.3Defence88.6 · 113.4Shooting49.3% · 55.9%3-point %33.0% · 40.3%Ball care17.1% · 19.5%Off. rebounds19.2% · 29.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ La Rochelle   ■ Nantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
La Rochelle wins
3
Nantes wins
DateGameScore
03/11/23Nantes v La Rochelle60-97
31/01/23La Rochelle v Nantes59-65
10/01/23Nantes v La Rochelle75-61
20/09/22Nantes v La Rochelle57-68
11/09/15La Rochelle v Nantes48-85
La Rochellelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24AFos-sur-Mer57-69
19/04/24HVichy87-74
12/04/24AAix Maurienne82-79
09/04/24HPoitiers89-64
05/04/24AASA75-69
29/03/24HLille65-63
26/03/24AAntibes69-72
22/03/24HOrleans76-64
15/03/24HChalons-Reims87-73
08/03/24AAngers79-56
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/24HDenain-Voltaire84-101
19/04/24HAntibes88-103
12/04/24AASA77-100
09/04/24HAngers111-67
29/03/24HOrleans88-95
26/03/24APoitiers74-81
22/03/24HEvreux87-96
15/03/24AAix Maurienne85-88
08/03/24HLille85-77
01/03/24ARouen88-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Rochelle
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %84%100%69%
Points / game79.382.676.1
Allowed / game70.369.171.6
Point differential+9.0+13.4+4.5
Avg total149.7151.7147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%69%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Nantes
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeLLWLL59%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %41%59%20%
Points / game81.785.177.9
Allowed / game83.581.486.0
Point differential-1.8+3.7-8.1
Avg total165.2166.4163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%41%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %6%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 La Rochelle3227584%79.370.3+9.0
2 Vichy3324973%84.278.2+6.0
3 Boulazac32211166%78.174.6+3.5
4 Orleans32201262%82.681.6+1.1
5 Chalons-Reims33191458%81.377.2+4.0
6 Rouen33191458%82.581.3+1.3
7 Pau-Orthez33171652%79.779.0+0.7
8 ASA33161748%78.778.4+0.3
9 Poitiers33161748%81.081.8-0.8
10 Antibes32151747%81.282.8-1.7
11 Lille33151845%75.675.6+0.0
12 St. Chamond32141844%81.882.9-1.1
13 Nantes32131941%81.783.5-1.8
14 Denain-Voltaire32131941%76.880.2-3.4
15 Aix Maurienne33132039%81.285.2-4.1
16 Fos-sur-Mer33112233%77.979.2-1.3
17 Angers32102231%79.286.1-6.8
18 Evreux33102330%79.083.8-4.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
La Rochelle299181975
Nantes1817261576
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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