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Nancy vs Le Mans Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record2-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game87.9
FranceLNBRound 15· Palais des Sports Jean-Weille
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Nancy v Le Mans
09 Jan 2027
NAC v LMA
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
NAC76
LMA78
07 Mar 2025
NAC97
LMA89
13 Apr 2024
NAC68
LMA60
08 Apr 2023
NAC100
LMA80
07 Feb 2023
NAC78
LMA86
09 May 2017
NAC76
LMA82
09 Jan 2016
NAC69
LMA77
14 Nov 2014
NAC71
LMA74
08 Apr 2014
NAC62
LMA68
30 Apr 2013
NAC83
LMA68
25 May 2012
NAC60
LMA68
28 Jan 2012
NAC95
LMA77
18 Mar 2011
NAC76
LMA75
12 Feb 2010
NAC92
LMA70
24 Apr 2009
NAC65
LMA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nancy win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Le Mans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NancyFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNancy
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
67-108
67
108
-41
64avg 78
A10/10
LNB
Parnu
#39
W
84-61
84
61
+23
76avg 78
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#5
W
80-65
80
65
+15
72avg 78
H17/10
LNB
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
99-60
99
60
+39
97avg 78
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
74-78
74
78
-4
69avg 78
A25/10
LNB
Szczecin
#16
L
87-90
87
90
-3
74avg 78
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#2
W
108-94
108
94
+14
101avg 78
A30/10
LNB
Keravnos
#18
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Limoges
#12
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
H07/11
LNB
Vienna Basket
#32
W
101-86
101
86
+15
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
18-29
10-23
15-28
28-18
15-13
12-10
29-20
19-20
27-18
19-16
15-11
28-16
18-11
29-13
24-20
24-18
16-25
17-15
17-20
21-22
25-28
21-18
20-22
25-30
21-17
27-21
35-26
20-17
22-21
23-18
21-17
16-15
19-25
28-15
14-24
25-22
25-25
30-19
21-20
165.7Avg total
86.3Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.383.9163.1-4.629%
Season at home (4)76.576.8153.2-0.225%
Season away (3)83.093.3176.3-10.333%
Last 10 (10)86.379.4165.7+6.960%
Last 5 (5)91.884.4176.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)80.389.5169.8-9.223%
vs Similar (9)85.683.0168.6+2.656%
vs Weaker (8)88.272.2160.5+16.075%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
W
98-87
98
87
+11
90avg 82
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
82-70
82
70
+12
73avg 82
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#13
W
91-90
91
90
+1
91avg 82
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 82
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#10
W
97-72
97
72
+25
94avg 82
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
70avg 82
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
106-97 OT
106
97
+9
103avg 82
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
71-65
71
65
+6
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
25-18
25-16
24-20
19-18
32-16
20-18
11-18
26-28
22-24
26-20
17-18
22-16
21-22
28-14
13-14
16-19
27-28
27-10
27-15
19-21
21-27
27-17
16-25
16-15
24-29
27-20
20-23
18-27
10-13
19-9
24-16
20-19
32-17
18-22
24-11
18-25
27-20
24-16
19-19
168.0Avg total
89.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.687.9186.4+10.786%
Season at home (3)99.396.7196.0+2.767%
Season away (4)98.081.2179.2+16.8100%
Last 10 (10)89.478.6168.0+10.890%
Last 5 (5)88.480.2168.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.588.5167.0-10.00%
vs Similar (10)81.588.0169.5-6.520%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)93.881.4175.2+12.394%
This opponent (Nancy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +7.9+7.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +7.9+7.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
NancyLe Mans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NancyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A10/10
LNB
Parnu
#39
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H17/10
LNB
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Szczecin
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A30/10
LNB
Keravnos
#18
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Limoges
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H07/11
LNB
Vienna Basket
#32
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
85.4Avg total
43.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.484.7+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.038.183.1+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)41.445.186.5-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.885.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.488.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.143.284.2-2.131%-
vs Similar (9)44.241.886.0+2.467%-
vs Weaker (8)46.038.084.0+8.075%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#13
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#20
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H11/11
Eurocup
87.4Avg total
43.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.386.7+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.043.287.2+0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.586.2-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.943.587.4+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.683.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.043.583.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (10)38.145.383.4-7.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.742.288.9+4.450%-
This opponent (Nancy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nancytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nancy: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.8
49.5%
55.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.0
36.4%
34.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.417.0
75.9%
74.2%17.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.5
55.1%
55.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.2
36.4%
34.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
74.2%15.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nancy
WLWWLLWWWL
Le Mans
WWWWLWWWWW
#11
League position
#3
+4.6
Net rating
+5.8
93.6
Offensive rating
98.7
89.0
Defensive rating
92.9
51.5%
Effective FG%
54.9%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
16.3%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.4%
3-point %
36.4%
55.4%
Assist %
57.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 98.7Defence89.0 · 92.9Shooting51.5% · 54.9%3-point %36.4% · 36.4%Ball care16.3% · 14.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Nancy   ■ Le Mans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nancy wins
6
Le Mans wins
DateGameScore
30/04/26Le Mans v Nancy102-74
22/11/25Nancy v Le Mans76-78
07/03/25Nancy v Le Mans97-89
01/12/24Le Mans v Nancy85-96
13/04/24Nancy v Le Mans68-60
11/11/23Le Mans v Nancy98-66
08/04/23Nancy v Le Mans100-80
07/02/23Nancy v Le Mans78-86
27/12/22Le Mans v Nancy96-82
09/05/17Nancy v Le Mans76-82
Nancylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AVienna Basket101-86
07/11/26HLimoges77-79
03/11/26HKeravnos86-73
30/10/26ADijon108-94
28/10/26ASzczecin87-90
25/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne74-78
20/10/26HNitra Blue Wings99-60
17/10/26HNanterre80-65
13/10/26AParnu84-61
10/10/26AChalon/Saone67-108
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos88-80
08/11/26AStrasbourg94-69
04/11/26ARigas Zelli71-65
31/10/26HPau-Orthez106-97 OT
28/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem83-90
24/10/26ABoulazac97-72
21/10/26ACedevita Olimpija84-66
18/10/26HJL Bourg91-90
14/10/26HRostock82-70
11/10/26ASaint Quentin98-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nancy
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game79.376.583.0
Allowed / game83.976.893.3
Point differential-4.6-0.2-10.3
Avg total163.1153.2176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Le Mans
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game98.699.398.0
Allowed / game87.996.781.2
Point differential+10.7+2.7+16.8
Avg total186.4196.0179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %29%33%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
12 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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