Nanjing Tongxi host Jiangsu Dragons on 3 November 2026 in the CBA, with the model favouring the home side and predicting a close contest. Nanjing have gone 2-5 in all seven games, scoring 87.4 points per game and allowing 97.3, while Jiangsu are 1-6, averaging 79.6 points and conceding 86.0, placing them 17th and 19th respectively. At home Nanjing are 1-2, averaging 91.3 points and 105.0 allowed, whereas Jiangsu are 0-4 on the road, 75.8 points and 86.5 allowed. In the last five games each side has won only one, with Nanjing's recent results including a 91-81 win over Sichuan, and Jiangsu's lone victory a 88-78 home win against Fujian. Their head-to-head record stands 7-3 in favour of Nanjing, the last meeting ending 99-96 for the home team on 4 April 2026. Pythia gives Nanjing a 56% chance of winning and Jiangsu 44%, projecting a 91-89 score and 179.1 total points. The home line is -2.5 with a 51% chance of covering, the over line 173.5 with a 61% chance of hitting, and a 7% likelihood of overtime. The game will hinge on Nanjing's recent 91-81 win over Sichuan.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 87.4 | 97.3 | 184.7 | -9.9 | 29% |
| Season at home (3) | 91.3 | 105.0 | 196.3 | -13.7 | 33% |
| Season away (4) | 84.5 | 91.5 | 176.0 | -7.0 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.5 | 99.7 | 186.2 | -13.2 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.0 | 94.4 | 181.4 | -7.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 89.7 | 101.2 | 190.9 | -11.4 | 16% |
| vs Similar ◀ (9) | 93.3 | 94.3 | 187.7 | -1.0 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 97.5 | 76.5 | 174.0 | +21.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 79.6 | 86.0 | 165.6 | -6.4 | 14% |
| Season at home (3) | 84.7 | 85.3 | 170.0 | -0.7 | 33% |
| Season away (4) | 75.8 | 86.5 | 162.2 | -10.8 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.4 | 88.1 | 171.5 | -4.7 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.2 | 84.8 | 163.0 | -6.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (23) | 80.7 | 91.0 | 171.6 | -10.3 | 22% |
| vs Similar ◀ (4) | 84.5 | 86.5 | 171.0 | -2.0 | 25% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 91.0 | 86.7 | 177.7 | +4.3 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 88.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 47.4 | 50.0 | 97.4 | -2.5 | 37% | 90% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 47.6 | 48.7 | 96.3 | -1.1 | 33% | 80% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 47.3 | 51.3 | 98.5 | -4.0 | 40% | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.7 | 52.7 | 97.4 | -8.0 | 20% | 100% |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.0 | 51.0 | 98.0 | -4.0 | 20% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (19) | 46.4 | 52.4 | 98.8 | -5.9 | 21% | 89% |
| vs Similar ◀ (9) | 47.9 | 48.8 | 96.7 | -0.9 | 56% | 100% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 55.0 | 32.5 | 87.5 | +22.5 | 100% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 88.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.9 | 47.3 | 89.2 | -5.4 | 27% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.3 | 45.3 | 88.6 | -1.9 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.4 | 49.3 | 89.7 | -8.9 | 13% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.5 | 45.0 | 88.5 | -1.5 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.6 | 43.8 | 84.4 | -3.2 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (23) | 40.2 | 48.6 | 88.8 | -8.4 | 17% | 35% |
| vs Similar ◀ (4) | 43.8 | 45.0 | 88.8 | -1.2 | 25% | 75% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 52.0 | 40.3 | 92.3 | +11.7 | 100% | 67% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanjing Tongxi over 84 | 71.4% | 1.70 | 1.76 | 1.64 | - | - | - | +19.0pp | Won |
| Nanjing Tongxi over 80.5 | 80.0% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +16.6pp | Won |
| Over 168 | 71.2% | 1.55 | 1.65 | 1.46 | - | - | - | +15.6pp | Won |
| Over 168.5 | 70.0% | 1.61 | 1.70 | 1.68 | 1.61 | 1.55 | 1.49 | +15.4pp | Won |
| Nanjing Tongxi over 81.5 | 77.6% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +13.1pp | Won |
| Over 167 | 73.0% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +13.0pp | Won |
| Over 166.5 | 73.5% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Won |
| Over 167.5 | 71.7% | 1.54 | 1.67 | 1.50 | 1.44 | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Jiangsu Dragons over 81.5 | 72.1% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +11.7pp | Won |
| Jiangsu Dragons over 80.5 | 74.8% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +11.4pp | Won |
| Jiangsu Dragons over 79.5 | 77.4% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +11.0pp | Won |
| Nanjing Tongxi +6.5 | 74.2% | 1.40 | 1.41 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +10.8pp | Won |
| Jiangsu Dragons over 78.5 | 79.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Won |
| Nanjing Tongxi +5 | 70.3% | 1.43 | 1.58 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +10.4pp | Won |
| Nanjing Tongxi +5.5 | 71.2% | 1.34 | 1.39 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Jiangsu Dragons +9.5 | 72.5% | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.41 | 1.33 | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Nanjing Tongxi over 83.5 | 72.3% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Jiangsu Dragons +10.5 | 75.3% | 1.31 | 1.36 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Nanjing Tongxi over 82.5 | 75.0% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 92.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Nanjing Tongxi +8.5 | 79.4% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Nanjing Tongxi +8 | 78.9% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 163.5 | 78.3% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 164 | 77.9% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Jiangsu Dragons +11.5 | 77.8% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Jiangsu Dragons +11 | 77.2% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Nanjing Tongxi +7.5 | 76.9% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 164.5 | 76.8% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 165 | 76.4% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Nanjing Tongxi +7 | 76.3% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 165.5 | 75.1% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 166 | 74.7% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Jiangsu Dragons +10 | 74.6% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Nanjing Tongxi +6 | 73.4% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Jiangsu Dragons +9 | 71.7% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.3 | 19.6 | 53.8% | 39.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.7 | 9.9 | 35.0% | 29.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.3 | 18.3 | 74.8% | 18.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 43.6 | 24.9 | 53.8% | 49.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 19.6 | 5.6 | 35.0% | 16.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.1 | 18.2 | 74.8% | 18.2 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 | Nanjing Tongxi v Jiangsu Dragons | 99-96 |
| 14/03/26 | Jiangsu Dragons v Nanjing Tongxi | 84-93 |
| 28/12/25 | Nanjing Tongxi v Jiangsu Dragons | 99-81 |
| 10/01/25 | Nanjing Tongxi v Jiangsu Dragons | 101-97 |
| 14/12/24 | Jiangsu Dragons v Nanjing Tongxi | 98-117 |
| 24/03/24 | Nanjing Tongxi v Jiangsu Dragons | 95-79 |
| 01/01/24 | Jiangsu Dragons v Nanjing Tongxi | 107-78 |
| 11/03/23 | Nanjing Tongxi v Jiangsu Dragons | 89-87 |
| 09/12/22 | Jiangsu Dragons v Nanjing Tongxi | 132-107 |
| 15/03/22 | Jiangsu Dragons v Nanjing Tongxi | 99-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | A | Shanghai | 84-100 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Xinjiang | 83-84 |
| 27/10/26 | A | Sichuan | 91-81 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Qingdao | 80-101 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Shandong | 97-106 |
| 20/10/26 | H | Guangzhou | 81-114 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Guangdong | 96-95 |
| 24/04/26 | A | Shanxi Zhongyu | 96-116 |
| 19/04/26 | A | Xinjiang | 75-109 |
| 17/04/26 | H | Zhejiang Guangsha | 82-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | A | Zhejiang Chouzhou | 62-70 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Guangdong | 80-82 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Fujian | 88-78 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Shanxi Zhongyu | 79-101 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Beijing Royal Fighters | 82-93 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Shenzhen | 81-89 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Fujian | 85-89 |
| 24/04/26 | H | Liaoning | 89-108 |
| 20/04/26 | H | Sichuan | 101-85 |
| 18/04/26 | H | Shanxi Zhongyu | 87-86 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 29% |
| Home | WLL | 33% |
| Away | LWLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Points / game | 87.4 | 91.3 | 84.5 |
| Allowed / game | 97.3 | 105.0 | 91.5 |
| Point differential | -9.9 | -13.7 | -7.0 |
| Avg total | 184.7 | 196.3 | 176.0 |
| Over 173.75 | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 14% |
| Home | LLW | 33% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Points / game | 79.6 | 84.7 | 75.8 |
| Allowed / game | 86.0 | 85.3 | 86.5 |
| Point differential | -6.4 | -0.7 | -10.8 |
| Avg total | 165.6 | 170.0 | 162.2 |
| Over 173.75 | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 105.6 | 78.4 | +27.1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 97.1 | 86.3 | +10.9 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 96.6 | 87.0 | +9.6 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 99.1 | 83.0 | +16.1 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 101.0 | 90.9 | +10.1 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 82.7 | 74.1 | +8.6 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 91.7 | 88.3 | +3.4 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 91.0 | 94.4 | -3.4 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 90.6 | 95.9 | -5.3 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 83.7 | 83.9 | -0.1 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.0 | 89.9 | -3.9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.7 | 94.4 | -17.7 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 88.6 | 90.4 | -1.8 | |
| 14 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 91.5 | 93.2 | -1.8 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 91.8 | 94.2 | -2.5 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 92.7 | 95.0 | -2.3 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 87.4 | 97.3 | -9.9 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 80.6 | 95.6 | -15.0 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 79.6 | 86.0 | -6.4 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 77.9 | 95.1 | -17.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 18 | 27 | 24 | 93 | |
| 30 | 17 | 21 | 27 | 95 |
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