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Guangdong vs Jiangsu Dragons Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 82-80
21-20 24-25 18-18 19-17
Position#12
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#17
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game90.0
ChinaCBARound 6· Dongguan Basketball Center
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangdong v Jiangsu Dragons
29 Oct 2026
GUAN82
JIAN80
31 Mar 2026
GUAN101
JIAN92
05 Dec 2024
GUAN98
JIAN100
22 Mar 2024
GUAN94
JIAN87
19 Mar 2023
GUAN92
JIAN82
12 Nov 2021
GUAN108
JIAN73
05 Mar 2021
GUAN106
JIAN97
23 Jun 2020
GUAN119
JIAN71
29 Dec 2019
GUAN129
JIAN114
27 Mar 2019
GUAN141
JIAN99
25 Mar 2019
GUAN137
JIAN108
06 Jan 2019
GUAN142
JIAN105
15 Nov 2017
GUAN93
JIAN95
17 Feb 2017
GUAN110
JIAN96
06 Jan 2016
GUAN109
JIAN84
21 Jan 2015
GUAN124
JIAN94
15 Dec 2013
GUAN105
JIAN91
02 Dec 2012
GUAN113
JIAN87
01 Jan 2012
GUAN124
JIAN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangdong winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.20
Implied78.0%
Edge-
Jiangsu Dragons winLost
-no forecast
Best odds6.00
Implied22.0%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangdongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangdong
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
W
85-64
85
64
+21
82avg 89
A01/05
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
113avg 89
H03/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
86avg 89
A06/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
96avg 89
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 89
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
95-96
95
96
-1
no box
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
no box
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
no box
A26/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
25-7
16-18
17-22
23-20
29-27
18-16
20-17
29-25
20-24
19-31
26-22
29-29
14-23
29-23
19-16
21-15
14-25
18-21
20-27
23-28
28-14
18-30
26-24
25-24
19-34
19-20
15-18
19-24
24-20
31-17
22-17
21-22
25-25
20-21
20-9
14-28
17-27
22-27
34-17
176.5Avg total
88.6Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.489.2177.6-0.840%
Season at home (2)91.077.5168.5+13.5100%
Season away (3)86.797.0183.7-10.30%
Last 10 (10)88.687.9176.5+0.750%
Last 5 (5)88.489.2177.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.097.3179.3-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (13)91.792.2183.8-0.554%
vs Weaker (14)93.081.6174.6+11.457%
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jiangsu DragonsChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDragons
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
L
67-80
67
80
-13
55avg 75
A13/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
76-84
76
84
-8
70avg 75
H16/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
87-86
87
86
+1
84avg 75
H18/04
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
101-85
101
85
+16
98avg 75
H20/04
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
89-108
89
108
-19
86avg 75
H24/04
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H17/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
H19/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
A23/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
79-101
79
101
-22
no box
A25/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
H27/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
15-20
12-24
17-17
15-22
21-28
19-16
21-18
20-24
21-23
30-19
16-20
30-20
30-28
17-17
24-20
27-26
18-24
25-31
19-27
21-19
15-28
22-20
27-22
31-25
19-14
14-29
17-21
16-27
20-24
32-18
14-24
19-30
23-20
13-29
24-22
23-18
22-24
21-24
22-12
172.8Avg total
83.5Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.090.0173.0-7.020%
Season at home (3)84.785.3170.0-0.733%
Season away (2)80.597.0177.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)83.589.3172.8-5.830%
Last 5 (5)83.090.0173.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)81.891.0172.7-9.229%
vs Similar ◀ (3)86.088.0174.0-2.033%
vs Weaker (3)91.086.7177.7+4.367%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 169Actual: Under 169
Over 169
no forecast
@ 1.51
Under 169
no forecast
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.51
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174.25 · main lineActual: Under 174.25
Over 174.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under 174.25
no forecast
@ 1.81
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 179Actual: Under 179
Over 179
no forecast
@ 2.11
Under 179
no forecast
@ 1.59
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Under
1xBet
1.59
Marathon Be
1.49

📊 3. Team Totals

Guangdong total 87.5Actual: Guangdong under 87.5
Over 87.5
no forecast
@ 1.32
Under 87.5
no forecast
@ 2.68
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Under
1xBet
2.68
Guangdong total 91.5 · main lineActual: Guangdong under 91.5
Over 91.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under 91.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
Marathon Be
1.76
1xBet
1.58
Under
Marathon Be
1.93
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Guangdong total 95.5Actual: Guangdong under 95.5
Over 95.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
Under 95.5
no forecast
@ 1.49
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.07
Under
1xBet
1.49
Jiangsu Dragons total 76.5Actual: Jiangsu Dragons over 76.5
Over 76.5
no forecast
@ 1.36
Under 76.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.50
Jiangsu Dragons total 80.5 · main lineActual: Jiangsu Dragons under 80.5
Over 80.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under 80.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.85
Marathon Be
1.80
1xBet
1.66
Under
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.88
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Jiangsu Dragons total 84.5Actual: Jiangsu Dragons under 84.5
Over 84.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
Under 84.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.22
Marathon Be
1.90
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.86
Under
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Be
1.78
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.43

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Guangdong -10.5Actual: Jiangsu Dragons +10.5
GUAN -10.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
JIAN +10.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
Best 5 market prices
GUAN
Betfair
1.80
Betano
1.78
BetVictor
1.73
Marathon Be
1.69
Pinnacle
1.69
JIAN
BetVictor
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathon Be
1.98
1xBet
1.93
Betfair
1.91
Spread Guangdong -7.5 · main lineActual: Jiangsu Dragons +7.5
GUAN -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
JIAN +7.5
no forecast
@ 2.60
Best 5 market prices
GUAN
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.82
BetVictor
1.48
Marathon Be
1.44
JIAN
BetVictor
2.60
1xBet
2.48
Marathon Be
2.17
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Spread Guangdong -4.5Actual: Jiangsu Dragons +4.5
GUAN -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
JIAN +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.28
Best 5 market prices
GUAN
1xBet
1.50
Marathon Be
1.35
JIAN
1xBet
2.28
Marathon Be
2.19

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
GuangdongJiangsu Dragons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangdongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
W
52-24
52
24
+28
A01/05
CBA
Guangzhou
#13
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H03/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H09/05
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/05
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A18/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A20/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H24/10
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A26/10
CBA
90.4Avg total
44.6Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 91.5
Last 30 (30)47.245.292.4+2.050%67%
Last 30 at home (14)47.244.091.2+3.257%64%
Last 30 away (16)47.246.293.5+1.044%69%
Last 10 (10)44.645.890.4-1.230%60%
Last 5 (5)43.049.292.2-6.220%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.754.793.3-16.00%67%
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.548.193.6-2.531%62%
vs Weaker (14)50.640.591.1+10.179%71%
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jiangsu DragonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangzhou
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A13/04
CBA
Fujian
#14
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H16/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H18/04
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H20/04
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H24/04
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H17/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H19/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A23/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H27/10
CBA
89.2Avg total
42.9Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 91.5
Last 30 (30)42.347.189.4-4.830%30%
Last 30 at home (16)43.244.587.7-1.344%25%
Last 30 away (14)41.450.191.4-8.714%36%
Last 10 (10)42.946.389.2-3.430%30%
Last 5 (5)41.845.887.6-4.040%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)41.048.289.2-7.221%29%
vs Similar ◀ (3)43.345.088.3-1.733%33%
vs Weaker (3)52.040.392.3+11.7100%33%
This opponent (Guangdong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Jiangsu Dragons win
GUAN win
no forecast
@ 1.29
JIAN win
no forecast
@ 3.65
1st half Spread Guangdong -4.5 · main lineActual: Jiangsu Dragons +4.5
GUAN -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
JIAN +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.16
1st half Over/Under 91.5 · main lineActual: Under 91.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Guangdong 1st half total 46 · main lineActual: Guangdong under 46
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.99
Jiangsu Dragons 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Jiangsu Dragons over 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.13
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: GUAN + total 91.5
GUAN & over
no forecast
@ 2.60
GUAN & under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half: Draw + total 91.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: JIAN + total 91.5
JIAN & over
no forecast
@ 6.75
JIAN & under
no forecast
@ 6.50
1st half Over/Under 90Push
Over
no forecast
@ 1.94
Under
no forecast
@ 1.77
1st half Spread Guangdong -5.5Actual: Jiangsu Dragons +5.5
GUAN -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
JIAN +5.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half Spread Guangdong -3.5Actual: Jiangsu Dragons +3.5
GUAN -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
JIAN +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.36
1st half Over/Under 88.75Actual: Over 88.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Guangdong -6.5Actual: Jiangsu Dragons +6.5
GUAN -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
JIAN +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.94
1st half Spread Guangdong -2.5Actual: Jiangsu Dragons +2.5
GUAN -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.35
JIAN +2.5
no forecast
@ 2.58
1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Over 87.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Guangdong (regulation)
GUAN
no forecast
@ 1.32
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
JIAN
no forecast
@ 4.30

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
GUAN win + total 174.5
🔒 Pro
JIAN win + total 174.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: GUAN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: JIAN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (GUAN:JIAN): GUAN wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangdongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangdong: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.3
56.4%
53.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.5
35.5%
35.0%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
74.8%13.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jiangsu Dragonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jiangsu Dragons: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.824.2
56.5%
53.8%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.95.8
27.8%
35.0%17.4
🏀 Free throws23.617.7
75.0%
74.8%17.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangdong
LWWLLLWLWW
Jiangsu Dragons
WLLLLLWWLL
#12
League position
#17
+3.9
Net rating
-6.7
101.7
Offensive rating
96.4
97.8
Defensive rating
103.1
54.9%
Effective FG%
51.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
13.9%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.5%
3-point %
27.8%
63.6%
Assist %
59.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 96.4Defence97.8 · 103.1Shooting54.9% · 51.6%3-point %35.5% · 27.8%Ball care13.9% · 13.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Guangdong   ■ Jiangsu Dragons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Guangdong wins
3
Jiangsu Dragons wins
Guangdonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/26AShanghai87-99
24/10/26HNingbo Rockets86-77
22/10/26HZhejiang Guangsha96-78
20/10/26ABeijing78-96
18/10/26ANanjing Tongxi95-96
12/05/26ABeijing73-88
09/05/26HBeijing102-99 OT
06/05/26ABeijing94-102
03/05/26HGuangzhou90-80
01/05/26AGuangzhou85-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HFujian88-78
25/10/26AShanxi Zhongyu79-101
23/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters82-93
19/10/26HShenzhen81-89
17/10/26HFujian85-89
24/04/26HLiaoning89-108
20/04/26HSichuan101-85
18/04/26HShanxi Zhongyu87-86
16/04/26HFujian76-84
13/04/26AGuangzhou67-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangdong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game88.491.086.7
Allowed / game89.277.597.0
Point differential-0.8+13.5-10.3
Avg total177.6168.5183.7
Over 174.2540%0%67%
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jiangsu Dragons
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game83.084.780.5
Allowed / game90.085.397.0
Point differential-7.0-0.7-16.5
Avg total173.0170.0177.5
Over 174.2540%0%100%
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing550100%104.077.4+26.6
2 Zhejiang Chouzhou54180%85.673.8+11.8
3 Shanghai54180%98.487.8+10.6
4 Liaoning54180%95.689.4+6.2
5 Beijing Royal Fighters53260%94.683.8+10.8
6 Shanxi Zhongyu53260%99.890.8+9.0
7 Jilin53260%85.283.0+2.2
8 Zhejiang Guangsha53260%92.693.0-0.4
9 Guangzhou53260%90.893.8-3.0
10 Qingdao52340%89.687.4+2.2
11 Fujian52340%89.088.4+0.6
12 Guangdong52340%88.489.2-0.8
13 Xinjiang52340%86.888.0-1.2
14 Shandong52340%92.495.4-3.0
15 Sichuan52340%82.291.8-9.6
16 Nanjing Tongxi52340%89.099.4-10.4
17 Shenzhen52340%76.897.8-21.0
18 Tianjin51420%92.497.8-5.4
19 Jiangsu Dragons51420%83.090.0-7.0
20 Ningbo Rockets5050%74.692.8-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangdong2124181982
Jiangsu Dragons2025181780
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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