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Nanterre vs Le Mans Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 17 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game87.9
FranceLNBRound 13· Palais des Sports Maurice Thorez
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Nanterre v Le Mans
17 Dec 2026
NAN v LMA
upcoming
25 May 2026
NAN90
LMA74
12 Dec 2025
NAN98
LMA88
18 Jan 2025
NAN67
LMA85
04 Oct 2023
NAN93
LMA81
23 Dec 2022
NAN74
LMA85
16 Apr 2022
NAN88
LMA98
29 May 2021
NAN97
LMA93
12 Oct 2019
NAN98
LMA79
27 Oct 2018
NAN98
LMA77
28 Jan 2018
NAN77
LMA80
15 Oct 2016
NAN90
LMA70
22 Dec 2015
NAN71
LMA82
20 Feb 2015
NAN96
LMA98
29 Nov 2014
NAN73
LMA61
11 Nov 2013
NAN67
LMA69
01 Dec 2012
NAN74
LMA80
16 May 2012
NAN72
LMA79
13 Mar 2012
NAN77
LMA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nanterre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Le Mans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NanterreFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNanterre
Date
Competition
Roanne
#7
L
83-93
83
93
-10
75avg 82
A02/10
LNB
Trabzonspor
#26
L
83-93 OT
83
93
-10
74avg 82
A07/10
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
101-73
101
73
+28
99avg 82
H10/10
LNB
Rytas
#8
W
93-65
93
65
+28
87avg 82
H13/10
Champions League
Nancy
#11
L
65-80
65
80
-15
51avg 82
A17/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
W
86-69
86
69
+17
90avg 82
H24/10
LNB
Sabah Baku
#24
L
80-87
80
87
-7
74avg 82
A27/10
Champions League
JL Bourg
#13
W
101-98
101
98
+3
97avg 82
A31/10
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
93-81
93
81
+12
no box
H07/11
LNB
Rytas
#8
L
82-102
82
102
-20
no box
A11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
24-23
17-19
19-27
19-18
22-27
13-19
22-12
21-19
22-20
28-17
30-17
21-17
14-13
31-15
27-20
20-19
18-27
16-19
11-15
23-17
21-17
22-17
20-18
21-23
19-26
22-20
18-18
13-31
34-25
24-18
30-24
22-16
32-19
20-23
19-23
16-32
20-20
25-22
21-28
170.8Avg total
86.7Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.779.7166.4+7.071%
Season at home (4)89.571.8161.2+17.8100%
Season away (3)83.090.3173.3-7.333%
Last 10 (10)86.784.1170.8+2.650%
Last 5 (5)88.487.4175.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.087.7176.7+1.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.082.8161.8-3.833%
vs Weaker (15)87.779.0166.7+8.773%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
W
98-87
98
87
+11
90avg 83
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
82-70
82
70
+12
73avg 83
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#13
W
91-90
91
90
+1
91avg 83
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 83
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#10
W
97-72
97
72
+25
94avg 83
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
70avg 83
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
106-97 OT
106
97
+9
103avg 83
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
71-65
71
65
+6
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
25-18
25-16
24-20
19-18
32-16
20-18
11-18
26-28
22-24
26-20
17-18
22-16
21-22
28-14
13-14
16-19
27-28
27-10
27-15
19-21
21-27
27-17
16-25
16-15
24-29
27-20
20-23
18-27
10-13
19-9
24-16
20-19
32-17
18-22
24-11
18-25
27-20
24-16
19-19
168.0Avg total
89.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.687.9186.4+10.786%
Season at home (3)99.396.7196.0+2.767%
Season away (4)98.081.2179.2+16.8100%
Last 10 (10)89.478.6168.0+10.890%
Last 5 (5)88.480.2168.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.588.5167.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.588.0169.5-6.520%
vs Weaker (18)93.881.4175.2+12.394%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +7.9+7.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +7.9+7.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
NanterreLe Mans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roanne
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A02/10
LNB
Trabzonspor
#26
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/10
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/10
LNB
Rytas
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H13/10
Champions League
Nancy
#11
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H24/10
LNB
Sabah Baku
#24
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A27/10
Champions League
JL Bourg
#13
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A31/10
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H07/11
LNB
Rytas
#8
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A11/11
Champions League
85.8Avg total
42.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.684.0+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.837.979.7+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)43.045.288.2-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.385.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.245.289.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.742.786.3+1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.242.582.7-2.342%-
vs Weaker (15)43.940.684.5+3.367%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#13
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#20
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H11/11
Eurocup
87.4Avg total
43.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.386.7+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.043.287.2+0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.586.2-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.943.587.4+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.683.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.043.583.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.145.383.4-7.220%-
vs Weaker (18)46.742.288.9+4.450%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.5
54.0%
55.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.5
31.5%
34.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.215.6
70.3%
74.2%15.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.5
55.1%
55.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.2
36.4%
34.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
74.2%15.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nanterre
LWWLWLWWLL
Le Mans
WWWWLWWWWW
#5
League position
#3
+3.4
Net rating
+5.8
96.2
Offensive rating
98.7
92.8
Defensive rating
92.9
51.3%
Effective FG%
54.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.5%
3-point %
36.4%
67.7%
Assist %
57.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 98.7Defence92.8 · 92.9Shooting51.3% · 54.9%3-point %31.5% · 36.4%Ball care14.9% · 14.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Nanterre   ■ Le Mans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nanterre wins
5
Le Mans wins
DateGameScore
27/05/26Le Mans v Nanterre55-64
25/05/26Nanterre v Le Mans90-74
07/03/26Le Mans v Nanterre79-71
12/12/25Nanterre v Le Mans98-88
18/01/25Nanterre v Le Mans67-85
12/10/24Le Mans v Nanterre94-87
09/03/24Le Mans v Nanterre76-89
04/10/23Nanterre v Le Mans93-81
16/05/23Le Mans v Nanterre88-74
23/12/22Nanterre v Le Mans74-85
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ARytas82-102
07/11/26HChalon/Saone93-81
31/10/26AJL Bourg101-98
27/10/26ASabah Baku80-87
24/10/26HCholet86-69
17/10/26ANancy65-80
13/10/26HRytas93-65
10/10/26HGravelines-Dunkerque101-73
07/10/26ATrabzonspor83-93 OT
02/10/26ARoanne83-93
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos88-80
08/11/26AStrasbourg94-69
04/11/26ARigas Zelli71-65
31/10/26HPau-Orthez106-97 OT
28/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem83-90
24/10/26ABoulazac97-72
21/10/26ACedevita Olimpija84-66
18/10/26HJL Bourg91-90
14/10/26HRostock82-70
11/10/26ASaint Quentin98-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nanterre
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game86.789.583.0
Allowed / game79.771.890.3
Point differential+7.0+17.8-7.3
Avg total166.4161.2173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Le Mans
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game98.699.398.0
Allowed / game87.996.781.2
Point differential+10.7+2.7+16.8
Avg total186.4196.0179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %29%33%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
12 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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