Napredak vs Crnokosa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 65-57

19-12 16-18 16-11 14-16

Position#12

Record4-8

FormLWLLL

Points / game67.4

Allowed / game71.2

Napredak 🏆

Crnokosa

Position#2

Record10-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game82.2

Allowed / game73.8

First LeagueRound 13

Other2013-14

Meetings · Napredak v Crnokosa

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Napredak winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crnokosa winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Napredak

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Meridiana

#13

52-70

-18

A19/10

First League

Sloboda

#14

68-71

-3

A25/10

First League

Smederevo

#10

67-51

+16

H02/11

First League

OKK Beograd

62-75

-13

A09/11

First League

FMP Beograd

62-56

H13/11

First League

Sloga

#11

74-77

-3

A16/11

First League

Vojvodina Srbijagas

78-73

H23/11

First League

Borac Mozzart

71-76

-5

A30/11

First League

Konstantin

82-87 OT

-5

H07/12

First League

KK Metalac

60-84

-24

A11/12

First League

17-13

9-23

16-20

10-14

14-17

20-24

17-16

17-14

17-17

19-15

16-10

15-9

23-16

13-23

18-18

8-18

11-18

12-14

20-14

19-10

20-19

17-23

18-18

19-17

22-16

13-23

16-19

27-15

15-22

14-24

21-19

21-11

20-24

18-21

22-18

13-10

13-22

19-18

6-28

22-16

139.6Avg total

67.6Scored

72.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	67.4	71.2	138.6	-3.8	33%
Season at home (5)	71.0	66.2	137.2	+4.8	80%
Season away (7)	64.9	74.7	139.6	-9.9	0%
Last 10 (10)	67.6	72.0	139.6	-4.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	79.4	152.4	-6.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	72.4	77.4	149.8	-5.0	27%
vs Similar (10)	74.4	72.0	146.4	+2.4	60%
vs Weaker (5)	56.0	54.6	110.6	+1.4	60%

This opponent (Crnokosa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crnokosa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FMP Beograd

82-81

H19/10

First League

Sloga

#11

69-68

A26/10

First League

Vojvodina Srbijagas

94-99

-5

H02/11

First League

Borac Mozzart

73-76

-3

A09/11

First League

Konstantin

81-67

+14

H13/11

First League

KK Metalac

78-74

A16/11

First League

Sloboda

#14

96-62

+34

H23/11

First League

Vrsac

88-85

H30/11

First League

Tamis Petrohemija

76-59

+17

A07/12

First League

Meridiana

#13

90-74

+16

H11/12

First League

26-21

20-22

19-16

17-22

11-20

20-19

26-15

12-14

20-20

27-21

15-30

32-28

7-16

13-22

27-19

26-19

15-22

26-12

24-9

16-24

16-19

22-19

21-13

19-23

26-16

17-7

24-21

29-18

26-19

20-18

23-20

19-28

27-17

10-12

24-9

15-21

22-14

20-15

29-19

19-26

157.2Avg total

82.7Scored

74.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	82.2	73.8	156.0	+8.3	83%
Season at home (7)	87.3	76.6	163.9	+10.7	86%
Season away (5)	75.0	70.0	145.0	+5.0	80%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	74.5	157.2	+8.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	70.8	156.4	+14.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	76.6	87.3	163.9	-10.8	22%
vs Similar (12)	80.4	80.1	160.5	+0.3	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	82.2	72.8	155.0	+9.4	78%

This opponent (Napredak) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NapredakCrnokosa

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	17.8	35.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	16.5	33.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.9	18.9	35.8	-1.9	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	14.0	11.0	25.0	+3.0	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	19.8	19.7	39.4	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	21.9	20.2	42.1	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (7)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.0	40.4	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.5	22.8	44.2	-1.2	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	21.2	42.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.1	17.4	35.5	+0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	18.7	36.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	17.8	36.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	19.5	36.1	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	20.8	36.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.8	38.0	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.9	19.2	37.1	-1.3	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	12.8	17.6	30.4	-4.8	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	19.2	17.2	36.4	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.3	15.2	35.6	+5.1	89%	-
Last 30 away (7)	17.9	19.7	37.6	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	16.7	36.2	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	14.2	32.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.2	16.2	37.5	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	17.5	16.2	33.8	+1.2	62%	-

NapredakLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Meridiana

#13

26-36

-10

A19/10

First League

Sloboda

#14

34-41

-7

A25/10

First League

Smederevo

#10

36-32

H02/11

First League

OKK Beograd

36-39

-3

A09/11

First League

FMP Beograd

23-32

-9

H13/11

First League

Sloga

#11

37-42

-5

A16/11

First League

Vojvodina Srbijagas

35-39

-4

H23/11

First League

Borac Mozzart

29-46

-17

A30/11

First League

Konstantin

38-45

-7

H07/12

First League

KK Metalac

32-40

-8

A11/12

First League

71.8Avg total

32.6Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	36.5	71.2	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.7	37.0	72.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.7	36.0	69.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.6	39.2	71.8	-6.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	42.4	76.6	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	34.9	38.1	72.9	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.4	38.1	76.5	+0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (5)	26.8	28.6	55.4	-1.8	40%	-

This opponent (Crnokosa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CrnokosaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FMP Beograd

46-43

H19/10

First League

Sloga

#11

31-39

-8

A26/10

First League

Vojvodina Srbijagas

47-41

H02/11

First League

Borac Mozzart

20-38

-18

A09/11

First League

Konstantin

41-34

H13/11

First League

KK Metalac

38-38

A16/11

First League

Sloboda

#14

43-23

+20

H23/11

First League

Vrsac

46-37

H30/11

First League

Tamis Petrohemija

37-29

A07/12

First League

Meridiana

#13

42-29

+13

H11/12

First League

74.2Avg total

39.1Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	39.0	36.9	75.9	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	42.2	35.4	77.7	+6.8	89%	-
Last 30 away (7)	34.9	38.7	73.6	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	35.1	74.2	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	31.2	72.4	+10.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	42.2	42.8	85.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.5	37.5	80.0	+5.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	35.6	33.6	69.2	+2.0	62%	-

This opponent (Napredak) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	17.9	34.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	16.8	34.6	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.6	18.9	34.5	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.4	37.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.8	15.2	33.0	+2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	11.2	15.6	26.8	-4.4	20%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	75%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	78%	-
Last 30 away (7)	21.9	18.1	40.0	+3.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	17.1	40.3	+6.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	16.4	40.6	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	26.0	44.2	-7.8	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.0	14.8	37.8	+8.2	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	23.4	18.0	41.4	+5.4	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	16.6	35.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	17.9	36.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	15.4	33.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	13.4	30.5	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	13.8	34.2	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.9	17.3	36.2	+1.5	53%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.0	10.4	28.4	+7.6	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.6	31%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	21.8	22.7	44.4	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (7)	19.3	19.4	38.7	-0.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.3	42.7	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.2	43.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.5	18.2	35.8	-0.8	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	25.2	44.2	-6.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	23.1	20.8	43.9	+2.4	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	34.5	69.7	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.8	34.7	71.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.6	34.3	67.9	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	31.4	65.5	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	34.2	71.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.7	37.7	74.4	-1.1	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.0	33.9	69.9	+2.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (5)	29.2	26.0	55.2	+3.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (16)	42.7	40.4	83.1	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	43.9	42.7	86.6	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (7)	41.1	37.6	78.7	+3.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	39.4	83.0	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	39.6	84.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.8	44.2	80.0	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.0	40.0	82.0	+2.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	46.5	38.8	85.2	+7.8	88%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Napredak wins

Crnokosa wins

Date	Game	Score
12/02/11	Crnokosa v Napredak	89-75
20/11/10	Napredak v Crnokosa	88-76

Napredaklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/12/13	A	KK Metalac	60-84
07/12/13	H	Konstantin	82-87 OT
30/11/13	A	Borac Mozzart	71-76
23/11/13	H	Vojvodina Srbijagas	78-73
16/11/13	A	Sloga	74-77
13/11/13	H	FMP Beograd	62-56
09/11/13	A	OKK Beograd	62-75
02/11/13	H	Smederevo	67-51
25/10/13	A	Sloboda	68-71
19/10/13	A	Meridiana	52-70

Crnokosalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/12/13	H	Meridiana	90-74
07/12/13	A	Tamis Petrohemija	76-59
30/11/13	H	Vrsac	88-85
23/11/13	H	Sloboda	96-62
16/11/13	A	KK Metalac	78-74
13/11/13	H	Konstantin	81-67
09/11/13	A	Borac Mozzart	73-76
02/11/13	H	Vojvodina Srbijagas	94-99
26/10/13	A	Sloga	69-68
19/10/13	H	FMP Beograd	82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Napredak

First League 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	33%
Home	WWWWL	80%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	33%	80%	0%
Points / game	67.4	71.0	64.9
Allowed / game	71.2	66.2	74.7
Point differential	-3.8	+4.8	-9.9
Avg total	138.6	137.2	139.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	67% (3)	0% (4)
Overtime %	8%	20%	0%

Crnokosa

First League 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	83%
Home	LWWWW	86%
Away	WWLWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	83%	86%	80%
Points / game	82.2	87.3	75.0
Allowed / game	73.8	76.6	70.0
Point differential	+8.3	+10.7	+5.0
Avg total	156.0	163.9	145.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	57%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	67% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Crnokosa	12	10	2	83%	82.2	73.8	+8.3
2	FMP Beograd	13	9	4	69%	82.3	73.8	+8.5
3	Borac Mozzart	13	9	4	69%	71.0	69.9	+1.1
4	OKK Beograd	13	8	5	62%	80.5	77.6	+2.9
5	Konstantin	13	8	5	62%	73.2	71.2	+2.0
6	KK Metalac	13	7	6	54%	76.2	73.8	+2.3
7	Smederevo	13	7	6	54%	76.8	76.5	+0.3
8	Vrsac	12	6	6	50%	84.8	81.1	+3.8
9	Sloga	13	5	8	38%	74.7	78.7	-4.0
10	Tamis Petrohemija	13	5	8	38%	68.9	74.2	-5.3
11	Meridiana	12	4	8	33%	78.8	81.0	-2.2
12	Napredak	12	4	8	33%	67.4	71.2	-3.8
13	Vojvodina Srbijagas	13	4	9	31%	74.3	77.0	-2.7
14	Sloboda	13	3	10	23%	73.6	84.4	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Napredak	19	16	16	14	65
Crnokosa	12	18	11	16	57

← all games of the day

Napredak vs Crnokosa Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature