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Napredak vs Naftagas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Dec 2011
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-69
25-10 11-26 22-19 23-14
Position#12
Record1-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#14
Record2-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game83.6
SerbiaFirst LeagueRound 13
Other2011-12
Meetings · Napredak v Naftagas
17 Dec 2011
NAPR81
NAFT69
15 Jan 2011
NAPR84
NAFT93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Napredak winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Naftagas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NapredakSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tamis Petrohemija
#6
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A05/11
First League
Feni Industries
#4
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A09/11
BIBL
Radnicki
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H12/11
First League
Zrinjski Mostar
#11
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H16/11
BIBL
Mega Bemax
#4
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A19/11
First League
Sloga
#8
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
H26/11
First League
Lukoil Levski
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A30/11
BIBL
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A03/12
First League
KK Metalac
#11
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H10/12
First League
Smederevo
#7
L
104-114
104
114
-10
A14/12
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
13-19
7-19
22-16
18-27
27-13
9-29
18-8
17-18
19-20
25-16
12-26
19-11
20-20
18-12
22-16
22-24
21-21
18-19
11-15
19-18
13-17
17-25
31-20
16-16
17-31
19-11
20-16
14-20
17-23
17-25
32-24
16-19
23-19
20-20
15-18
28-27
27-32
26-31
23-24
160.8Avg total
78.1Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.386.0162.3-9.78%
Season at home (5)75.879.2155.0-3.420%
Season away (7)76.790.9167.6-14.10%
Last 10 (10)78.182.7160.8-4.620%
Last 5 (5)85.089.8174.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.879.9151.8-8.18%
vs Similar (12)77.281.1158.3-3.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)79.875.4155.2+4.460%
This opponent (Naftagas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaftagasSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radnicki Basket
#3
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
H22/10
First League
Tamis Petrohemija
#6
L
48-71
48
71
-23
A29/10
First League
Radnicki
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H02/11
First League
Mega Bemax
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A07/11
First League
Sloga
#8
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H12/11
First League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A19/11
First League
KK Metalac
#11
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H25/11
First League
Smederevo
#7
L
79-97
79
97
-18
A02/12
First League
Sloboda
#10
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H10/12
First League
OKK Beograd
#5
L
65-88
65
88
-23
H14/12
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
22-19
17-18
19-18
15-16
4-17
14-25
15-13
20-21
13-23
20-28
34-21
30-21
13-22
18-23
23-23
27-27
18-11
19-19
22-31
16-13
15-24
18-23
15-21
26-17
22-15
21-22
13-12
24-17
11-16
18-32
26-32
21-22
12-17
22-24
21-22
21-23
13-20
18-25
13-20
159.5Avg total
75.2Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.183.6158.7-8.517%
Season at home (7)79.085.0164.0-6.014%
Season away (5)69.681.6151.2-12.020%
Last 10 (10)75.284.3159.5-9.110%
Last 5 (5)73.283.4156.6-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)77.785.8163.5-8.123%
vs Similar (7)77.478.4155.9-1.043%
vs Weaker (1)76.071.0147.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Napredak) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
NapredakNaftagas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NapredakLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tamis Petrohemija
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A05/11
First League
Feni Industries
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A09/11
BIBL
Radnicki
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H12/11
First League
Zrinjski Mostar
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H16/11
BIBL
Mega Bemax
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A19/11
First League
Sloga
#8
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H26/11
First League
Lukoil Levski
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A30/11
BIBL
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A03/12
First League
KK Metalac
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H10/12
First League
Smederevo
#7
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A14/12
First League
80.8Avg total
38.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)38.241.479.6-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (8)37.537.575.0+0.050%-
Last 30 away (11)38.744.282.9-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)38.442.480.8-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.044.482.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.142.977.0-8.80%-
vs Similar (7)41.041.682.6-0.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.036.380.3+7.7100%-
This opponent (Naftagas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaftagasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radnicki Basket
#3
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H22/10
First League
Tamis Petrohemija
#6
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A29/10
First League
Radnicki
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H02/11
First League
Mega Bemax
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A07/11
First League
Sloga
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H12/11
First League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A19/11
First League
KK Metalac
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H25/11
First League
Smederevo
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A02/12
First League
Sloboda
#10
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H10/12
First League
OKK Beograd
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H14/12
First League
74.3Avg total
36.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)37.538.876.3-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (8)37.837.675.4+0.150%-
Last 30 away (7)37.140.177.3-3.029%-
Last 10 (10)36.138.274.3-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.873.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.939.677.5-1.636%-
vs Similar (1)31.028.059.0+3.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Napredak) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Napredak wins
2
Naftagas wins
DateGameScore
15/01/11Napredak v Naftagas84-93
23/10/10Naftagas v Napredak87-81
Napredaklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/11ASmederevo104-114
10/12/11HKK Metalac74-76
03/12/11ABorac Mozzart80-92
30/11/11ALukoil Levski72-74
26/11/11HSloga95-93 OT
19/11/11AMega Bemax72-79
16/11/11HZrinjski Mostar79-59
12/11/11HRadnicki73-80
09/11/11AFeni Industries72-77
05/11/11ATamis Petrohemija60-83
Naftagaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/11HOKK Beograd65-88
10/12/11HSloboda76-85
02/12/11ASmederevo79-97
25/11/11HKK Metalac82-66
19/11/11ABorac Mozzart64-81
12/11/11HSloga86-88
07/11/11AMega Bemax84-89
02/11/11HRadnicki87-93
29/10/11ATamis Petrohemija48-71
22/10/11HRadnicki Basket81-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Napredak
First League 2011-12
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL8%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %8%20%0%
Points / game76.375.876.7
Allowed / game86.079.290.9
Point differential-9.7-3.4-14.1
Avg total162.3155.0167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %8%20%0%
Naftagas
First League 2011-12
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLLWLL14%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %17%14%20%
Points / game75.179.069.6
Allowed / game83.685.081.6
Point differential-8.5-6.0-12.0
Avg total158.7164.0151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vojvodina Novi Sad1210283%83.274.9+8.3
2 Mega Bemax129375%84.781.9+2.8
3 Sloga139469%88.184.1+4.0
4 Smederevo128467%86.583.5+3.0
5 Radnicki128467%83.781.5+2.2
6 Borac Mozzart138562%77.071.4+5.6
7 Tamis Petrohemija138562%74.271.2+3.0
8 OKK Beograd116555%79.575.1+4.4
9 Radnicki Basket126650%77.876.0+1.8
10 KK Metalac134931%74.279.2-5.0
11 Sloboda134931%73.881.1-7.2
12 Zeleznicar123925%80.785.0-4.3
13 Naftagas1221017%75.183.6-8.5
14 Napredak121118%76.386.0-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Napredak2511222381
Naftagas1026191469
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