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Smederevo vs Napredak Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Dec 2011
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 114-104
27-28 32-27 31-26 24-23
Position#7
Record7-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#12
Record1-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game83.5
SerbiaFirst LeagueRound 12
Other2011-12
Meetings · Smederevo v Napredak
29 Oct 2016
SMED88
NAPR98
18 Mar 2016
SMED82
NAPR86
12 Dec 2014
SMED64
NAPR68
01 Feb 2014
SMED80
NAPR75
14 Dec 2011
SMED114
NAPR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Smederevo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Napredak winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SmederevoSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radnicki Basket
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A14/10
First League
Tamis Petrohemija
#6
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H22/10
First League
Radnicki
#2
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A28/10
First League
Mega Bemax
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H02/11
First League
Sloga
#8
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A05/11
First League
Borac Mozzart
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H12/11
First League
KK Metalac
#11
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A19/11
First League
Sloboda
#10
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H25/11
First League
Naftagas
#14
W
97-79
97
79
+18
H02/12
First League
OKK Beograd
#5
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A10/12
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
14-20
19-16
22-26
20-16
16-19
19-15
21-22
22-16
28-29
18-34
18-23
19-20
22-25
17-23
30-13
15-25
19-21
10-18
28-20
14-18
23-18
22-23
26-19
24-17
10-26
17-18
23-20
30-21
29-21
8-19
24-24
17-24
16-11
32-18
32-26
21-24
18-18
20-21
24-10
165.1Avg total
83.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.081.6165.6+2.464%
Season at home (6)88.378.8167.2+9.5100%
Season away (5)78.885.0163.8-6.220%
Last 10 (10)83.182.0165.1+1.160%
Last 5 (5)86.079.2165.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.786.7169.3-4.033%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.079.2158.2-0.260%
vs Weaker (3)93.780.7174.3+13.0100%
This opponent (Napredak) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NapredakSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radnicki Basket
#3
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H01/11
First League
Tamis Petrohemija
#6
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A05/11
First League
Feni Industries
#4
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A09/11
BIBL
Radnicki
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H12/11
First League
Zrinjski Mostar
#11
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H16/11
BIBL
Mega Bemax
#4
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A19/11
First League
Sloga
#8
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
H26/11
First League
Lukoil Levski
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A30/11
BIBL
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A03/12
First League
KK Metalac
#11
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H10/12
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
13-30
21-17
14-12
18-29
13-19
7-19
22-16
18-27
27-13
9-29
18-8
17-18
19-20
25-16
12-26
19-11
20-20
18-12
22-16
22-24
21-21
18-19
11-15
19-18
13-17
17-25
31-20
16-16
17-31
19-11
20-16
14-20
17-23
17-25
32-24
16-19
23-19
20-20
15-18
152.7Avg total
74.1Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.883.5157.3-9.69%
Season at home (5)75.879.2155.0-3.420%
Season away (6)72.287.0159.2-14.80%
Last 10 (10)74.178.6152.7-4.520%
Last 5 (5)78.682.8161.4-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.879.9151.8-8.18%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.878.1152.9-3.327%
vs Weaker (6)79.374.8154.2+4.567%
This opponent (Smederevo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
SmederevoNapredak
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SmederevoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radnicki Basket
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A14/10
First League
Tamis Petrohemija
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H22/10
First League
Radnicki
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A28/10
First League
Mega Bemax
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H02/11
First League
Sloga
#8
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A05/11
First League
Borac Mozzart
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H12/11
First League
KK Metalac
#11
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A19/11
First League
Sloboda
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H25/11
First League
Naftagas
#14
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H02/12
First League
OKK Beograd
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/12
First League
81.3Avg total
40.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)40.141.281.3-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (5)41.238.679.8+2.660%-
Last 30 away (5)39.043.882.8-4.820%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.281.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.680.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.343.385.7-1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.441.077.4-4.640%-
vs Weaker (2)46.038.584.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Napredak) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NapredakLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radnicki Basket
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H01/11
First League
Tamis Petrohemija
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A05/11
First League
Feni Industries
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A09/11
BIBL
Radnicki
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H12/11
First League
Zrinjski Mostar
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H16/11
BIBL
Mega Bemax
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A19/11
First League
Sloga
#8
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H26/11
First League
Lukoil Levski
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A30/11
BIBL
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A03/12
First League
KK Metalac
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H10/12
First League
76.7Avg total
35.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)37.340.477.7-3.139%-
Last 30 at home (8)37.537.575.0+0.050%-
Last 30 away (10)37.142.779.8-5.630%-
Last 10 (10)35.840.976.7-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.677.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.142.977.0-8.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.738.777.3+0.067%-
vs Weaker (3)44.036.380.3+7.7100%-
This opponent (Smederevo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Smederevo wins
0
Napredak wins
No previous meetings.
Smederevolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/11AOKK Beograd83-73
02/12/11HNaftagas97-79
25/11/11HSloboda91-85
19/11/11AKK Metalac74-81
12/11/11HBorac Mozzart85-78
05/11/11ASloga72-84
02/11/11HMega Bemax88-81
28/10/11ARadnicki86-102
22/10/11HTamis Petrohemija76-72
14/10/11ARadnicki Basket79-85
Napredaklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/11HKK Metalac74-76
03/12/11ABorac Mozzart80-92
30/11/11ALukoil Levski72-74
26/11/11HSloga95-93 OT
19/11/11AMega Bemax72-79
16/11/11HZrinjski Mostar79-59
12/11/11HRadnicki73-80
09/11/11AFeni Industries72-77
05/11/11ATamis Petrohemija60-83
01/11/11HRadnicki Basket64-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Smederevo
First League 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%100%20%
Points / game84.088.378.8
Allowed / game81.678.885.0
Point differential+2.4+9.5-6.2
Avg total165.6167.2163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Napredak
First League 2011-12
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL9%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %9%20%0%
Points / game73.875.872.2
Allowed / game83.579.287.0
Point differential-9.6-3.4-14.8
Avg total157.3155.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vojvodina Novi Sad119282%84.376.0+8.3
2 Sloga129375%90.283.6+6.7
3 Mega Bemax129375%84.781.9+2.8
4 Radnicki118373%85.182.5+2.5
5 Borac Mozzart117464%77.370.9+6.4
6 Smederevo117464%84.081.6+2.4
7 Tamis Petrohemija127558%72.871.9+0.9
8 Radnicki Basket115645%77.376.5+0.8
9 OKK Beograd94544%77.876.8+1.0
10 KK Metalac114736%76.779.9-3.2
11 Sloboda113827%74.581.8-7.3
12 Zeleznicar102820%82.688.3-5.7
13 Naftagas112918%76.083.2-7.2
14 Napredak111109%73.883.5-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Smederevo27323124114
Napredak28272623104
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