Napredak vs Vrsac Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 65-66

20-9 19-14 15-30 11-13

Position#7

Record12-11

FormWWLWW

Points / game72.6

Allowed / game73.0

Napredak

Vrsac 🏆

Position#10

Record9-14

FormLWLLW

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game78.0

First LeagueRound 24

Other2015-16

Meetings · Napredak v Vrsac

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Napredak winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vrsac winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Napredak

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tamis Petrohemija

69-88

-19

A24/12

First League

OKK Beograd

#12

65-62

H08/01

First League

Beovuk

71-76

-5

A16/01

First League

FMP Beograd

59-94

-35

A23/01

First League

Vojvodina Srbijagas

#13

66-74

-8

H30/01

First League

Sloga

71-66

A06/02

First League

Spartak Subotica

68-61

H13/02

First League

Borac Mozzart

75-85

-10

A27/02

First League

Konstantin

94-86

H05/03

First League

Jagodina

#14

95-75

+20

A09/03

First League

12-29

21-15

12-24

24-20

15-22

17-14

10-15

23-11

12-21

18-14

25-17

16-24

14-22

8-27

20-26

17-19

13-18

25-14

11-24

17-18

15-21

22-15

14-12

20-18

18-17

22-16

9-19

19-9

17-25

23-19

18-23

17-18

24-16

17-14

23-29

30-27

26-18

21-20

23-24

25-13

150.0Avg total

73.3Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	72.6	73.0	145.5	-0.4	52%
Season at home (11)	74.9	67.8	142.7	+7.1	82%
Season away (12)	70.4	77.7	148.1	-7.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	73.3	76.7	150.0	-3.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	74.6	155.2	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	67.7	76.1	143.8	-8.4	23%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	71.4	69.6	141.0	+1.7	64%
vs Weaker (6)	74.8	67.7	142.5	+7.2	67%

This opponent (Vrsac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vrsac

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sloga

94-75

+19

H24/12

First League

Spartak Subotica

77-84

-7

A09/01

First League

Borac Mozzart

77-79

-2

H15/01

First League

Konstantin

86-96

-10

A23/01

First League

Jagodina

#14

83-75

H30/01

First League

Beovuk

79-81

-2

H06/02

First League

Smederevo

#11

86-69

+17

A12/02

First League

Mladost Admiral

64-72

-8

H29/02

First League

Tamis Petrohemija

90-93 OT

-3

A05/03

First League

OKK Beograd

#12

81-73

H09/03

First League

17-21

28-12

19-17

30-25

25-22

13-14

21-25

18-23

17-16

20-25

18-20

22-18

17-24

26-23

20-27

23-22

16-18

21-25

26-22

20-10

21-26

20-22

15-20

23-13

21-13

26-22

21-10

18-24

10-29

17-21

19-9

18-13

26-19

14-26

23-21

19-16

11-25

18-21

26-14

26-13

161.4Avg total

81.7Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	78.9	78.0	156.9	+0.9	39%
Season at home (12)	79.0	73.8	152.8	+5.2	50%
Season away (11)	78.7	82.6	161.4	-3.9	27%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	79.7	161.4	+2.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	77.6	157.6	+2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	69.1	80.8	149.9	-11.6	12%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	79.0	78.3	157.3	+0.7	42%
vs Weaker (9)	87.2	69.4	156.7	+17.8	89%

This opponent (Napredak) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NapredakVrsac

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.1	18.8	35.0	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.8	17.7	34.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.5	20.0	35.5	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	20.9	37.5	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.3	20.3	36.6	-4.0	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	15.8	17.6	33.5	-1.8	27%	-
vs Weaker (6)	16.3	17.8	34.2	-1.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.3	37.8	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.4	40.2	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.6	20.9	38.5	-3.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.8	19.7	38.4	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.9	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	17.7	35.4	+0.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	17.3	35.7	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	18.0	35.1	-0.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	15.8	19.5	35.3	-3.6	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.7	15.8	34.5	+2.9	73%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	20.2	38.9	-1.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.1	38.2	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.9	21.6	37.5	-5.8	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.0	16.7	37.7	+4.3	67%	-

NapredakLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tamis Petrohemija

33-44

-11

A24/12

First League

OKK Beograd

#12

32-36

-4

H08/01

First League

Beovuk

30-35

-5

A16/01

First League

FMP Beograd

22-49

-27

A23/01

First League

Vojvodina Srbijagas

#13

38-32

H30/01

First League

Sloga

37-36

A06/02

First League

Spartak Subotica

40-33

H13/02

First League

Borac Mozzart

40-44

-4

A27/02

First League

Konstantin

41-30

+11

H05/03

First League

Jagodina

#14

47-38

A09/03

First League

73.7Avg total

36.0Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.9	36.5	70.4	-2.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.2	35.0	70.2	+0.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.5	38.0	70.5	-5.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	37.7	73.7	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	36.2	77.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	32.2	39.8	71.9	-7.6	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	34.5	33.5	68.0	+1.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.3	35.0	71.3	+1.3	67%	-

This opponent (Vrsac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VrsacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sloga

45-33

+12

H24/12

First League

Spartak Subotica

38-36

A09/01

First League

Borac Mozzart

37-41

-4

H15/01

First League

Konstantin

43-47

-4

A23/01

First League

Jagodina

#14

37-43

-6

H30/01

First League

Beovuk

41-48

-7

H06/02

First League

Smederevo

#11

47-35

+12

A12/02

First League

Mladost Admiral

27-50

-23

H29/02

First League

Tamis Petrohemija

40-45

-5

A05/03

First League

OKK Beograd

#12

29-46

-17

H09/03

First League

80.8Avg total

38.4Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	39.0	76.4	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.4	39.2	76.6	-1.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.5	38.7	76.2	-1.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	42.4	80.8	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	44.8	81.6	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	33.5	42.5	76.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	37.9	39.9	77.8	-2.0	42%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.8	34.6	75.3	+6.2	56%	-

This opponent (Napredak) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	16.1	34.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.5	37.5	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	21.3	37.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.6	17.5	35.2	+0.1	54%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.5	18.5	37.0	-0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.3	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	14.8	35.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.6	19.5	36.1	-2.9	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.2	18.5	38.8	+1.8	58%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.4	19.0	42.4	+4.4	89%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	17.3	35.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	16.7	35.1	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.7	38.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.0	39.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.9	18.8	36.7	-0.8	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.7	16.5	34.2	+1.3	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	15.8	35.2	+3.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.0	38.6	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	16.7	37.9	+4.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	17.7	39.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	15.8	36.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.0	17.4	35.4	+0.6	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.8	19.9	40.8	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.0	15.9	38.9	+7.1	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	35.1	71.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.9	32.7	69.6	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	37.5	73.3	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	39.0	76.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	38.4	78.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	35.5	36.3	71.8	-0.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	36.2	35.0	71.2	+1.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.5	32.7	71.2	+5.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	36.8	77.9	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	34.6	76.4	+7.3	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.2	39.3	79.5	+0.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	36.2	78.7	+6.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	30.6	72.2	+11.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	34.6	36.9	71.5	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	41.1	38.4	79.5	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	46.4	34.9	81.3	+11.6	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Napredak wins

Vrsac wins

Date	Game	Score
05/12/15	Vrsac v Napredak	69-71
28/02/15	Napredak v Vrsac	50-77
28/11/14	Vrsac v Napredak	82-51
21/12/13	Napredak v Vrsac	65-59
04/10/13	Vrsac v Napredak	70-67

Napredaklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/16	A	Jagodina	95-75
05/03/16	H	Konstantin	94-86
27/02/16	A	Borac Mozzart	75-85
13/02/16	H	Spartak Subotica	68-61
06/02/16	A	Sloga	71-66
30/01/16	H	Vojvodina Srbijagas	66-74
23/01/16	A	FMP Beograd	59-94
16/01/16	A	Beovuk	71-76
08/01/16	H	OKK Beograd	65-62
24/12/15	A	Tamis Petrohemija	69-88

Vrsaclast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/16	H	OKK Beograd	81-73
05/03/16	A	Tamis Petrohemija	90-93 OT
29/02/16	H	Mladost Admiral	64-72
12/02/16	A	Smederevo	86-69
06/02/16	H	Beovuk	79-81
30/01/16	H	Jagodina	83-75
23/01/16	A	Konstantin	86-96
15/01/16	H	Borac Mozzart	77-79
09/01/16	A	Spartak Subotica	77-84
24/12/15	H	Sloga	94-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Napredak

First League 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	52%
Home	WWLWW	82%
Away	LLWLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	52%	82%	25%
Points / game	72.6	74.9	70.4
Allowed / game	73.0	67.8	77.7
Point differential	-0.4	+7.1	-7.2
Avg total	145.5	142.7	148.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	45%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Vrsac

First League 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	39%
Home	LWLLW	50%
Away	LLLWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	39%	50%	27%
Points / game	78.9	79.0	78.7
Allowed / game	78.0	73.8	82.6
Point differential	+0.9	+5.2	-3.9
Avg total	156.9	152.8	161.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	25%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (6)	0% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FMP Beograd	23	21	2	91%	83.7	64.4	+19.3
2	Borac Mozzart	23	17	6	74%	82.7	75.3	+7.5
3	Konstantin	24	17	7	71%	81.1	78.9	+2.2
4	Mladost Admiral	23	13	10	57%	77.9	74.4	+3.5
5	Tamis Petrohemija	23	12	11	52%	75.0	71.7	+3.2
6	Napredak	23	12	11	52%	72.6	73.0	-0.4
7	Beovuk	24	12	12	50%	78.3	78.9	-0.6
8	Smederevo	24	11	13	46%	75.6	75.7	-0.1
9	Spartak Subotica	24	11	13	46%	75.2	75.3	-0.1
10	Vrsac	23	9	14	39%	78.9	78.0	+0.9
11	Sloga	23	9	14	39%	68.3	77.3	-9.0
12	OKK Beograd	24	9	15	38%	79.2	79.0	+0.1
13	Vojvodina Srbijagas	24	8	16	33%	73.6	82.4	-8.8
14	Jagodina	23	3	20	13%	72.9	90.4	-17.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Napredak	20	19	15	11	65
Vrsac	9	14	30	13	66

← all games of the day

Napredak vs Vrsac Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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