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Nara vs Kagoshima Rebnise Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 56-78
19-17 14-20 10-23 13-18
Position#9
Record6-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#4
Record8-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game81.5
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nara v Kagoshima Rebnise
17 Nov 2024
NARA66
KAGO75
16 Nov 2024
NARA56
KAGO78
23 Oct 2024
NARA73
KAGO97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kagoshima Rebnise winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
75avg 70
A12/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
90-59
90
59
+31
84avg 70
A18/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
79-66
79
66
+13
79avg 70
A19/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
73-97
73
97
-24
69avg 70
H23/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
81-62
81
62
+19
77avg 70
H26/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
56avg 70
H27/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
91avg 70
A02/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
82avg 70
A03/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
49avg 70
H09/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 70
H10/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
20-18
24-20
19-30
28-18
25-19
22-9
15-13
20-7
21-16
11-23
27-20
14-26
18-19
20-27
21-25
20-16
21-22
15-15
25-9
22-17
15-21
9-27
17-18
30-23
30-20
14-25
20-18
22-25
19-12
16-15
28-19
15-18
16-15
16-27
18-16
21-19
15-16
15-17
27-17
154.6Avg total
78.9Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.179.5159.6+0.546%
Season at home (7)76.482.0158.4-5.629%
Season away (6)84.376.7161.0+7.767%
Last 10 (10)78.975.7154.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)77.077.0154.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.476.1148.5-3.838%
vs Similar (16)80.680.6161.1+0.050%
vs Weaker (6)81.276.2157.3+5.050%
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kagoshima RebniseJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRebnise
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
W
100-92
100
92
+8
105avg 72
H13/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
62-81
62
81
-19
47avg 72
A19/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
81-79
81
79
+2
71avg 72
A20/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
97-73
97
73
+24
96avg 72
A23/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
103-97
103
97
+6
96avg 72
A26/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
75-63
75
63
+12
70avg 72
A27/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
70avg 72
H02/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
64-90
64
90
-26
50avg 72
H03/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
65-87
65
87
-22
49avg 72
A09/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 72
A10/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
23-19
22-17
35-24
17-24
18-21
11-20
16-16
16-16
22-22
19-18
24-23
26-14
19-18
27-20
25-21
20-19
28-25
23-34
32-19
19-20
21-14
20-20
15-9
24-26
14-30
24-20
20-9
9-32
28-22
14-17
13-19
11-26
24-18
18-24
12-19
21-27
24-17
18-24
15-18
164.0Avg total
80.7Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.581.5162.0-0.962%
Season at home (6)81.082.2163.2-1.267%
Season away (7)80.180.9161.0-0.757%
Last 10 (10)80.783.3164.0-2.650%
Last 5 (5)72.882.2155.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.580.0154.5-5.550%
vs Similar (6)79.084.3163.3-5.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)91.777.7169.3+14.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
NaraKagoshima Rebnise
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A12/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A18/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A19/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H23/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H26/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H27/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A02/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H09/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H10/11
B2.League
77.7Avg total
41.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.279.8+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.840.580.2-0.747%-
Last 30 away (13)41.537.679.2+3.954%-
Last 10 (10)41.036.777.7+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.278.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.538.074.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (16)41.640.281.9+1.444%-
vs Weaker (6)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kagoshima RebniseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H13/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A19/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A20/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A23/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A26/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A27/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H02/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H03/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A09/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A10/11
B2.League
84.6Avg total
40.4Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)40.543.083.5-2.546%-
Last 30 at home (6)40.246.386.5-6.233%-
Last 30 away (7)40.940.181.0+0.757%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.284.6-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.046.485.4-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.540.582.0+1.075%-
vs Similar (6)38.047.885.8-9.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.336.781.0+7.7100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.0
53.4%
51.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
32.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.915.7
75.1%
70.7%15.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kagoshima Rebnisetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kagoshima Rebnise: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.8
51.4%
51.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.3
33.3%
32.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.614.9
72.3%
70.7%14.9
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
WLWWLWLWWL
Kagoshima Rebnise
LLLLWWWWLW
#9
League position
#4
+4.6
Net rating
-4.9
106.1
Offensive rating
106.0
101.5
Defensive rating
110.9
50.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
15.8%
Turnover %
17.2%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.4%
3-point %
33.3%
69.1%
Assist %
59.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 106.0Defence101.5 · 110.9Shooting50.6% · 50.9%3-point %30.4% · 33.3%Ball care15.8% · 17.2%Off. rebounds25.5% · 29.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Nara   ■ Kagoshima Rebnise
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nara wins
1
Kagoshima Rebnise wins
DateGameScore
23/10/24Nara v Kagoshima Rebnise73-97
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HFukushima78-69
09/11/24HFukushima65-76
03/11/24AKumamoto85-71
02/11/24AKumamoto94-86
27/10/24HFukuoka63-83
26/10/24HFukuoka81-62
23/10/24HKagoshima Rebnise73-97
19/10/24AEhime Orange Vikings79-66
18/10/24AEhime Orange Vikings90-59
12/10/24AKobe81-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24AAltiri Chiba78-86
09/11/24AAltiri Chiba65-87
03/11/24HToyama64-90
02/11/24HToyama82-85
27/10/24AKobe75-63
26/10/24AKobe103-97
23/10/24ANara97-73
20/10/24AShizuoka81-79
19/10/24AShizuoka62-81
13/10/24HFukui100-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW46%
HomeLWLLW29%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%29%67%
Points / game80.176.484.3
Allowed / game79.582.076.7
Point differential+0.5-5.6+7.7
Avg total159.6158.4161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%14%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kagoshima Rebnise
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL62%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game80.581.080.1
Allowed / game81.582.280.9
Point differential-0.9-1.2-0.7
Avg total162.0163.2161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba13130100%90.475.9+14.5
2 Shinshu139469%85.576.4+9.2
3 Fukui139469%81.076.5+4.5
4 Toyama138562%85.780.4+5.3
5 Shizuoka138562%77.575.8+1.7
6 Kagoshima Rebnise138562%80.581.5-0.9
7 Fukuoka137654%82.675.8+6.8
8 Kobe137654%84.281.6+2.5
9 Nara136746%80.179.5+0.5
10 Aomori136746%79.484.2-4.8
11 Yamagata Wyverns134931%79.383.1-3.8
12 Fukushima134931%76.983.2-6.3
13 Kumamoto131128%75.889.7-13.8
14 Ehime Orange Vikings131128%73.989.3-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara1914101356
Kagoshima Rebnise1720231878
← all games of the day
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