PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nara vs Kagoshima Rebnise Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 73-97
14-26 18-19 20-27 21-25
Position#9
Record2-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game79.7
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nara v Kagoshima Rebnise
17 Nov 2024
NARA66
KAGO75
16 Nov 2024
NARA56
KAGO78
23 Oct 2024
NARA73
KAGO97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kagoshima Rebnise winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
95-91
95
91
+4
92avg 69
A13/04
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
103-90
103
90
+13
106avg 69
A14/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
83avg 69
H20/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
62-77
62
77
-15
49avg 69
H21/04
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 69
H05/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
91-96
91
96
-5
87avg 69
H06/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
77-90
77
90
-13
43avg 69
A11/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
75avg 69
A12/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
90-59
90
59
+31
84avg 69
A18/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
79-66
79
66
+13
79avg 69
A19/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
22-21
26-24
25-23
27-28
29-22
22-15
25-25
28-19
14-16
22-22
22-14
18-21
13-20
14-17
17-19
28-19
19-26
20-24
17-22
25-29
25-27
24-20
17-20
14-25
19-16
19-28
25-21
18-20
20-18
24-20
19-30
28-18
25-19
22-9
15-13
20-7
21-16
11-23
27-20
166.7Avg total
84.8Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.781.7165.3+2.033%
Season at home (2)87.593.5181.0-6.00%
Season away (4)81.875.8157.5+6.050%
Last 10 (10)84.881.9166.7+2.950%
Last 5 (5)83.679.8163.4+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.470.6142.0+0.943%
vs Similar (17)77.580.0157.5-2.535%
vs Weaker (6)88.880.7169.5+8.250%
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kagoshima RebniseJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRebnise
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
62avg 73
H05/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
73avg 73
H06/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
85-79
85
79
+6
80avg 73
H12/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
100-92
100
92
+8
105avg 73
H13/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
62-81
62
81
-19
47avg 73
A19/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
81-79
81
79
+2
71avg 73
A20/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
29-12
17-26
15-14
23-13
19-26
19-14
18-19
19-22
18-21
25-16
23-20
20-32
23-19
22-17
35-24
17-24
18-21
11-20
16-16
16-16
22-22
19-18
24-23
160.2Avg total
80.5Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.579.7160.2+0.883%
Season at home (4)85.079.5164.5+5.5100%
Season away (2)71.580.0151.5-8.550%
Last 10 (6)80.579.7160.2+0.883%
Last 5 (5)81.480.6162.0+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.573.5151.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (4)82.082.8164.8-0.875%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
NaraKagoshima Rebnise
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A13/04
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A14/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/04
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H21/04
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H05/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H06/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A11/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A12/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A18/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A19/10
B2.League
84.5Avg total
43.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.978.9+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.442.484.7+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)37.935.973.8+2.144%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.084.5+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.082.0+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.133.970.0+2.357%-
vs Similar (17)38.939.778.6-0.835%-
vs Weaker (6)47.542.590.0+5.067%-
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kagoshima RebniseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H05/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H06/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H13/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A19/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A20/10
B2.League
81.7Avg total
39.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)39.841.881.7-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (4)41.542.083.5-0.550%-
Last 30 away (2)36.541.578.0-5.00%-
Last 10 (6)39.841.881.7-2.033%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.282.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.037.080.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (4)38.244.282.5-6.00%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.4
54.2%
51.0%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.9
37.3%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.115.5
73.5%
70.7%15.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kagoshima Rebnisetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kagoshima Rebnise: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.2
50.4%
51.0%40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.2
36.4%
32.9%27.5
🏀 Free throws17.012.0
70.6%
70.7%12.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
WWLLLLLWWW
Kagoshima Rebnise
WLWWWW
#9
League position
#4
+3.9
Net rating
+2.0
112.0
Offensive rating
107.6
108.2
Defensive rating
105.6
54.8%
Effective FG%
52.0%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.3%
3-point %
36.4%
60.7%
Assist %
61.9%
50%
Form (last 10/6)
83%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 107.6Defence108.2 · 105.6Shooting54.8% · 52.0%3-point %37.3% · 36.4%Ball care16.5% · 15.2%Off. rebounds27.2% · 28.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/6)50% · 83%
■ Nara   ■ Kagoshima Rebnise
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nara wins
0
Kagoshima Rebnise wins
No previous meetings.
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24AEhime Orange Vikings79-66
18/10/24AEhime Orange Vikings90-59
12/10/24AKobe81-88
11/10/24AKobe77-90
06/10/24HAomori91-96
05/10/24HAomori84-91
21/04/24HEhime Orange Vikings62-77
20/04/24HEhime Orange Vikings86-71
14/04/24AAomori103-90
13/04/24AAomori95-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24AShizuoka81-79
19/10/24AShizuoka62-81
13/10/24HFukui100-92
12/10/24HFukui85-79
06/10/24HFukuoka79-72
05/10/24HFukuoka76-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game83.787.581.8
Allowed / game81.793.575.8
Point differential+2.0-6.0+6.0
Avg total165.3181.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kagoshima Rebnise
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game80.585.071.5
Allowed / game79.779.580.0
Point differential+0.8+5.5-8.5
Avg total160.2164.5151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba770100%89.773.9+15.9
2 Kobe65183%88.078.3+9.7
3 Kagoshima Rebnise65183%80.579.7+0.8
4 Shinshu64267%84.777.7+7.0
5 Toyama64267%87.581.0+6.5
6 Fukui64267%81.578.0+3.5
7 Shizuoka63350%75.375.2+0.2
8 Fukuoka62433%79.376.2+3.2
9 Nara62433%83.781.7+2.0
10 Fukushima62433%75.580.2-4.7
11 Aomori62433%76.288.3-12.2
12 Yamagata Wyverns72529%80.181.4-1.3
13 Ehime Orange Vikings71614%75.188.9-13.7
14 Kumamoto71614%75.490.0-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara1418202173
Kagoshima Rebnise2619272597
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.