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Nara vs Kagoshima Rebnise Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 66-75
19-18 15-24 10-16 22-17
Position#9
Record6-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#4
Record9-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game79.6
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nara v Kagoshima Rebnise
17 Nov 2024
NARA66
KAGO75
16 Nov 2024
NARA56
KAGO78
23 Oct 2024
NARA73
KAGO97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kagoshima Rebnise winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
90-59
90
59
+31
84avg 70
A18/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
79-66
79
66
+13
79avg 70
A19/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
73-97
73
97
-24
69avg 70
H23/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
81-62
81
62
+19
77avg 70
H26/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
56avg 70
H27/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
91avg 70
A02/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
82avg 70
A03/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
49avg 70
H09/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 70
H10/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
56-78
56
78
-22
48avg 70
H16/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
25-19
22-9
15-13
20-7
21-16
11-23
27-20
14-26
18-19
20-27
21-25
20-16
21-22
15-15
25-9
22-17
15-21
9-27
17-18
30-23
30-20
14-25
20-18
22-25
19-12
16-15
28-19
15-18
16-15
16-27
18-16
21-19
15-16
15-17
27-17
19-17
14-20
10-23
13-18
151.1Avg total
76.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.479.4157.8-1.143%
Season at home (8)73.981.5155.4-7.625%
Season away (6)84.376.7161.0+7.767%
Last 10 (10)76.474.7151.1+1.760%
Last 5 (5)75.676.0151.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.676.3146.9-5.833%
vs Similar (15)79.980.9160.8-1.147%
vs Weaker (6)81.276.2157.3+5.050%
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kagoshima RebniseJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRebnise
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
62-81
62
81
-19
47avg 72
A19/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
81-79
81
79
+2
71avg 72
A20/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
97-73
97
73
+24
96avg 72
A23/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
103-97
103
97
+6
96avg 72
A26/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
75-63
75
63
+12
70avg 72
A27/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
70avg 72
H02/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
64-90
64
90
-26
50avg 72
H03/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
65-87
65
87
-22
49avg 72
A09/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 72
A10/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
78-56
78
56
+22
69avg 72
A16/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
18-21
11-20
16-16
16-16
22-22
19-18
24-23
26-14
19-18
27-20
25-21
20-19
28-25
23-34
32-19
19-20
21-14
20-20
15-9
24-26
14-30
24-20
20-9
9-32
28-22
14-17
13-19
11-26
24-18
18-24
12-19
21-27
24-17
18-24
15-18
17-19
20-14
23-10
18-13
158.2Avg total
78.5Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.479.6160.0+0.764%
Season at home (6)81.082.2163.2-1.267%
Season away (8)79.977.8157.6+2.162%
Last 10 (10)78.579.7158.2-1.250%
Last 5 (5)73.480.8154.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.580.0154.5-5.550%
vs Similar (6)79.084.3163.3-5.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)88.272.2160.5+16.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
NaraKagoshima Rebnise
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A18/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A19/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H23/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H26/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H27/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A02/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H09/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H10/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H16/11
B2.League
77.1Avg total
40.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.279.3+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.940.579.4-1.641%-
Last 30 away (13)41.537.679.2+3.954%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.677.1+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.077.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.137.974.0-1.844%-
vs Similar (15)41.240.581.7+0.740%-
vs Weaker (6)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Kagoshima Rebnise) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kagoshima RebniseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A19/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A20/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A23/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A26/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A27/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H02/11
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H03/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A09/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A10/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A16/11
B2.League
82.2Avg total
39.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)40.342.382.6-2.050%-
Last 30 at home (6)40.246.386.5-6.233%-
Last 30 away (8)40.439.279.6+1.162%-
Last 10 (10)39.842.482.2-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.446.284.6-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.540.582.0+1.075%-
vs Similar (6)38.047.885.8-9.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.535.878.2+6.8100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.6
53.0%
51.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.5
29.4%
32.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.815.1
72.6%
70.7%15.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kagoshima Rebnisetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kagoshima Rebnise: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.8
48.0%
51.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.4
33.9%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.014.2
71.0%
70.7%14.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LWLWWLWLWW
Kagoshima Rebnise
WLLLLWWWWL
#9
League position
#4
+3.1
Net rating
-3.6
103.1
Offensive rating
103.3
99.9
Defensive rating
106.9
49.8%
Effective FG%
49.1%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
16.0%
Turnover %
17.2%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.4%
3-point %
33.9%
70.1%
Assist %
59.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 103.3Defence99.9 · 106.9Shooting49.8% · 49.1%3-point %29.4% · 33.9%Ball care16.0% · 17.2%Off. rebounds23.8% · 29.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Nara   ■ Kagoshima Rebnise
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nara wins
2
Kagoshima Rebnise wins
DateGameScore
16/11/24Nara v Kagoshima Rebnise56-78
23/10/24Nara v Kagoshima Rebnise73-97
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HKagoshima Rebnise56-78
10/11/24HFukushima78-69
09/11/24HFukushima65-76
03/11/24AKumamoto85-71
02/11/24AKumamoto94-86
27/10/24HFukuoka63-83
26/10/24HFukuoka81-62
23/10/24HKagoshima Rebnise73-97
19/10/24AEhime Orange Vikings79-66
18/10/24AEhime Orange Vikings90-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24ANara78-56
10/11/24AAltiri Chiba78-86
09/11/24AAltiri Chiba65-87
03/11/24HToyama64-90
02/11/24HToyama82-85
27/10/24AKobe75-63
26/10/24AKobe103-97
23/10/24ANara97-73
20/10/24AShizuoka81-79
19/10/24AShizuoka62-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeWLLWL25%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game78.473.984.3
Allowed / game79.481.576.7
Point differential-1.1-7.6+7.7
Avg total157.8155.4161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%12%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kagoshima Rebnise
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW64%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game80.481.079.9
Allowed / game79.682.277.8
Point differential+0.7-1.2+2.1
Avg total160.0163.2157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1514193%90.876.7+14.1
2 Shinshu1510567%86.676.9+9.7
3 Fukui1510567%81.178.7+2.3
4 Kagoshima Rebnise149564%80.479.6+0.7
5 Toyama138562%85.780.4+5.3
6 Fukuoka159660%83.776.1+7.5
7 Kobe159660%85.881.3+4.5
8 Shizuoka158753%77.577.7-0.2
9 Aomori157847%79.585.4-5.9
10 Nara146843%78.479.4-1.1
11 Yamagata Wyverns156940%81.182.9-1.9
12 Fukushima134931%76.983.2-6.3
13 Kumamoto151147%76.790.1-13.4
14 Ehime Orange Vikings151147%74.690.3-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara1915102266
Kagoshima Rebnise1824161775
← all games of the day
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