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Nardo vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-77
16-23 27-19 12-21 27-14
Position#19
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game86.6
Nardo 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#7
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game76.0
ItalySerie A2Round 6· PalaPentassuglia
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nardo v Fortitudo Bologna
20 Oct 2024
NARD82
FBO77
15 Oct 2023
NARD79
FBO97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nardo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
A26/05
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
92-77
92
77
+15
no box
H29/05
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
A02/06
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
71-69
71
69
+2
no box
H05/06
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
74-88
74
88
-14
no box
A09/06
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
78-86
78
86
-8
62avg 61
H29/09
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
59avg 61
A02/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
72-97
72
97
-25
62avg 61
H06/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
82-71
82
71
+11
73avg 61
H13/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
68-84
68
84
-16
48avg 61
A16/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-25
10-26
25-18
25-12
28-20
22-15
19-22
23-20
20-21
24-21
14-18
18-16
21-11
20-28
25-13
5-17
16-31
16-17
23-17
19-23
16-12
11-33
28-30
23-11
17-30
16-21
20-23
14-21
15-14
15-26
27-26
15-31
20-14
21-17
22-25
19-15
15-30
15-14
19-28
19-12
158.4Avg total
75.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.486.6160.0-13.220%
Season at home (3)77.384.7162.0-7.333%
Season away (2)67.589.5157.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)75.782.7158.4-7.040%
Last 5 (5)73.486.6160.0-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)68.781.7150.3-13.011%
vs Similar (21)76.077.3153.4-1.348%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
60-58
60
58
+2
52avg 72
A24/05
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
69avg 72
A01/06
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 72
A03/06
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
64-59
64
59
+5
57avg 72
H07/06
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
58-64
58
64
-6
47avg 72
H09/06
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
78-94
78
94
-16
78avg 72
A29/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
66-74
66
74
-8
54avg 72
A06/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
80-75
80
75
+5
80avg 72
H09/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
79-70
79
70
+9
83avg 72
A12/10
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
87-67
87
67
+20
89avg 72
H16/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
14-9
15-19
12-10
12-18
19-24
23-20
19-23
28-18
13-20
11-14
18-20
25-11
9-15
14-17
16-16
16-13
12-17
12-14
18-20
17-23
18-33
21-21
22-17
17-16
20-12
12-22
17-24
25-23
19-22
20-23
16-7
24-14
20-23
15-22
20-11
15-10
25-16
28-19
19-22
143.3Avg total
71.5Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.076.0154.0+2.060%
Season at home (2)83.571.0154.5+12.5100%
Season away (3)74.379.3153.7-5.033%
Last 10 (10)71.571.8143.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)78.076.0154.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.872.2139.0-5.420%
vs Similar (11)71.968.2140.1+3.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)77.169.3146.4+7.871%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
NardoFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
L
18-51
18
51
-33
A26/05
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H29/05
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A02/06
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H05/06
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A09/06
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H29/09
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A02/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H06/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/10
Serie A2
77.2Avg total
34.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.440.176.5-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.038.976.9-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)34.841.376.1-6.533%-
Last 10 (10)34.642.677.2-8.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.242.274.4-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)31.841.473.2-9.711%-
vs Similar (21)38.439.577.9-1.148%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A24/05
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A01/06
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/06
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H07/06
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H09/06
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A29/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A06/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H09/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A12/10
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H16/10
Serie A2
72.4Avg total
36.7Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.733.472.1+5.373%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.132.273.3+8.980%-
Last 30 away (15)36.334.670.9+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.772.4+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.478.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.034.869.8+0.260%-
vs Similar (11)39.035.574.5+3.573%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.831.371.1+8.579%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.218.6
57.8%
50.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.08.0
38.1%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.011.8
69.4%
74.4%11.8
They take 53.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.5
55.4%
50.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.9
32.2%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws14.19.6
68.1%
74.4%9.6
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nardo
LWLLLLWWWL
Fortitudo Bologna
WWWLLLWLLW
#19
League position
#7
-19.4
Net rating
-1.3
110.6
Offensive rating
101.5
130.0
Defensive rating
102.8
57.5%
Effective FG%
52.4%
63.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
19.4%
Turnover %
17.8%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.1%
3-point %
32.2%
22.6%
Assist %
69.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 101.5Defence130.0 · 102.8Shooting57.5% · 52.4%3-point %38.1% · 32.2%Ball care19.4% · 17.8%Off. rebounds28.3% · 22.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Nardo   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nardo wins
2
Fortitudo Bologna wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23Fortitudo Bologna v Nardo71-69
15/10/23Nardo v Fortitudo Bologna79-97
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/24AVigevano68-84
13/10/24HLibertas Livorno82-71
06/10/24HJuVi Cremona72-97
02/10/24AUdine67-95
29/09/24HPesaro78-86
09/06/24ACento74-88
05/06/24HChiusi71-69
02/06/24ALatina85-79 OT
29/05/24HLuiss Roma92-77
26/05/24AAgrigento68-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/24HCento87-67
12/10/24AJuVi Cremona79-70
09/10/24HOrzinuovi80-75
06/10/24ARimini66-74
29/09/24AUrania Milano78-94
09/06/24HTrapani58-64
07/06/24HTrapani64-59
03/06/24ATrapani70-72
01/06/24ATrapani73-85
24/05/24ASebastiani Rieti60-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game73.477.367.5
Allowed / game86.684.789.5
Point differential-13.2-7.3-22.0
Avg total160.0162.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game78.083.574.3
Allowed / game76.071.079.3
Point differential+2.0+12.5-5.0
Avg total154.0154.5153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini550100%86.076.2+9.8
2 Cantu54180%75.469.4+6.0
3 Sebastiani Rieti54180%74.470.6+3.8
4 Udine53260%82.070.8+11.2
5 Urania Milano53260%79.875.4+4.4
6 Forli53260%74.070.8+3.2
7 JuVi Cremona53260%81.478.6+2.8
8 Fortitudo Bologna53260%78.076.0+2.0
9 Avellino Basket53260%78.476.8+1.6
10 Cividale53260%78.678.6+0.0
11 Orzinuovi53260%81.283.8-2.6
12 Vigevano52340%76.675.0+1.6
13 Basket Torino52340%74.873.8+1.0
14 Verona52340%82.481.8+0.6
15 Libertas Livorno52340%70.874.2-3.4
16 Pesaro52340%73.078.4-5.4
17 Brindisi51420%68.475.2-6.8
18 Cento51420%72.481.4-9.0
19 Nardo51420%73.486.6-13.2
20 Assigeco Piacenza5050%79.286.8-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nardo1627122782
Fortitudo Bologna2319211477
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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