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Navarra vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-81
21-18 23-28 14-13 27-22
Position#14
Record6-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#10
Record9-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game82.6
SpainPrimera FEBRound 18
Other2015-16
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Navarra winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Castello winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NavarraSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caceres
#12
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H15/11
Primera FEB
Barcelona B
#11
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A22/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#8
W
89-79 OT
89
79
+10
H27/11
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H04/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#1
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A11/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H16/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A20/12
Primera FEB
Breogan
#6
W
79-70 OT
79
70
+9
H30/12
Primera FEB
Iberojet Palma
#9
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H03/01
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A08/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
18-17
18-13
19-20
18-12
11-14
16-28
19-17
18-26
23-14
19-16
11-15
17-23
19-14
13-20
17-19
17-17
14-16
17-15
23-28
17-18
22-21
20-27
16-17
21-21
18-16
13-19
18-18
16-18
22-18
13-18
14-11
16-16
28-20
20-15
15-33
14-17
7-24
19-14
21-21
148.0Avg total
72.6Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)71.274.8146.0-3.635%
Season at home (9)74.374.8149.1-0.456%
Season away (8)67.674.9142.5-7.212%
Last 10 (10)72.675.4148.0-2.830%
Last 5 (5)72.877.4150.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.177.1149.2-5.136%
vs Similar ◀ (14)67.368.9136.1-1.636%
vs Weaker (2)70.567.0137.5+3.550%
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#6
W
87-83 OT
87
83
+4
A15/11
Primera FEB
Iberojet Palma
#9
L
71-94
71
94
-23
H21/11
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A27/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#8
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A04/12
Primera FEB
Huesca
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H11/12
Primera FEB
Prat Joventut
#15
L
88-101
88
101
-13
A16/12
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#13
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H20/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#4
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A30/12
Primera FEB
Caceres
#12
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A03/01
Primera FEB
Barcelona B
#11
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H08/01
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
22-29
14-15
15-14
5-24
20-24
28-21
18-25
21-18
19-19
28-17
15-20
21-19
17-20
20-18
17-29
14-23
22-29
30-17
15-16
27-23
25-25
13-30
23-23
23-19
14-16
23-18
17-23
16-20
15-15
17-25
23-15
14-25
21-17
21-12
17-26
17-14
20-26
26-13
29-23
162.8Avg total
79.8Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.382.6164.9-0.453%
Season at home (8)83.484.1167.5-0.850%
Season away (9)81.381.3162.7+0.056%
Last 10 (10)79.883.0162.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)80.281.6161.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.085.3169.3-1.333%
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.979.0159.9+1.961%
vs Weaker (9)76.269.0145.2+7.267%
This opponent (Navarra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -2.5-2.5
NavarraCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NavarraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caceres
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H15/11
Primera FEB
Barcelona B
#11
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A22/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H27/11
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H04/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#1
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A11/12
Primera FEB
Melilla
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H16/12
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A20/12
Primera FEB
Breogan
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H30/12
Primera FEB
Iberojet Palma
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H03/01
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A08/01
Primera FEB
71.0Avg total
35.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.937.472.3-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.537.173.6-0.533%-
Last 30 away (15)33.237.871.0-4.640%-
Last 10 (10)35.335.771.0-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.237.874.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.639.374.9-3.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.436.370.6-1.936%-
vs Weaker (2)33.032.565.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A15/11
Primera FEB
Iberojet Palma
#9
L
25-48
25
48
-23
H21/11
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A04/12
Primera FEB
Huesca
#7
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H11/12
Primera FEB
Prat Joventut
#15
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A16/12
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/12
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#4
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A30/12
Primera FEB
Caceres
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A03/01
Primera FEB
Barcelona B
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H08/01
Primera FEB
79.3Avg total
37.4Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.039.277.2-1.345%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.940.177.0-3.244%-
Last 30 away (13)39.338.277.5+1.246%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.979.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.078.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.045.382.3-8.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.140.278.4-2.135%-
vs Weaker (9)38.035.373.3+2.767%-
This opponent (Navarra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Navarra wins
1
Castello wins
DateGameScore
16/10/15Castello v Navarra87-76
Navarralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/16ASan Pablo Burgos61-76
03/01/16HIberojet Palma79-84
30/12/15HBreogan79-70 OT
20/12/15ALeyma Coruna70-74
16/12/15HMelilla75-83
11/12/15APalencia71-76
04/12/15HForca Lleida66-76
27/11/15HOurense89-79 OT
22/11/15ABarcelona B64-71
15/11/15HCaceres72-65
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/16HBarcelona B92-76
03/01/16ACaceres73-80
30/12/15AOviedo71-75
20/12/15HClavijo77-76
16/12/15APrat Joventut88-101
11/12/15HHuesca81-85
04/12/15AOurense75-86
27/11/15ASan Pablo Burgos83-74
21/11/15HIberojet Palma71-94
15/11/15ABreogan87-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Navarra
Primera FEB 2015-16
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%56%12%
Points / game71.274.367.6
Allowed / game74.874.874.9
Point differential-3.6-0.4-7.2
Avg total146.0149.1142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%22%0%
Castello
Primera FEB 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWLLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game82.383.481.3
Allowed / game82.684.181.3
Point differential-0.4-0.8+0.0
Avg total164.9167.5162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Palencia1715288%80.069.8+10.2
2 Melilla1712571%82.572.0+10.5
3 San Pablo Burgos1711665%75.971.6+4.3
4 Iberojet Palma1711665%78.875.1+3.6
5 Huesca1710759%74.273.2+1.0
6 Oviedo1710759%75.177.4-2.4
7 Castello179853%82.382.6-0.4
8 Leyma Coruna178947%79.178.0+1.1
9 Breogan178947%75.174.6+0.5
10 Barcelona B178947%75.476.5-1.1
11 Caceres178947%72.775.3-2.6
12 Ourense1771041%71.276.5-5.2
13 Navarra1761135%71.274.8-3.6
14 Forca Lleida1751229%72.577.0-4.5
15 Clavijo1741324%79.981.7-1.8
16 Prat Joventut1741324%69.278.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Navarra2123142785
Castello1828132281
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