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Breogan vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-87 (OT)
14-21 29-22 15-14 14-15 11-15
Position#6
Record4-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game70.3
vs
Position#10
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game82.1
SpainPrimera FEBRound 8
Other2015-16
Meetings · Breogan v Castello
17 Apr 2021
BRE77
CAST75
18 Jan 2020
BRE87
CAST69
05 Nov 2017
BRE97
CAST69
12 Nov 2016
BRE82
CAST65
15 Nov 2015
BRE83
CAST87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Castello winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ourense
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H29/05
Primera FEB
Ourense
#2
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H31/05
Primera FEB
Ourense
#2
L
65-91
65
91
-26
A02/06
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
76-74 OT
76
74
+2
H02/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#1
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A09/10
Primera FEB
Melilla
#2
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H17/10
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A25/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#8
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A31/10
Primera FEB
Iberojet Palma
#9
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H07/11
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A11/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
14-12
18-19
23-19
18-16
20-21
18-17
13-19
23-15
5-28
24-26
13-22
14-13
20-17
18-13
9-18
27-18
22-21
19-20
17-15
20-9
12-20
16-13
21-26
14-29
12-12
21-15
15-15
20-17
18-11
16-14
17-11
12-20
20-14
13-23
20-17
17-22
13-20
24-16
19-20
144.5Avg total
71.6Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.670.3141.9+1.357%
Season at home (3)70.072.0142.0-2.067%
Season away (4)72.869.0141.8+3.850%
Last 10 (10)71.672.9144.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)68.068.8136.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.675.4147.0-3.862%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.273.8149.9+2.453%
vs Weaker (5)75.070.0145.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ceba Guadalajara
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A29/05
Segunda FEB
Ceba Guadalajara
#3
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A31/05
Segunda FEB
Ceba Guadalajara
#3
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H02/06
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#12
L
85-87
85
87
-2
H02/10
Primera FEB
Barcelona B
#11
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A11/10
Primera FEB
Navarra
#14
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H16/10
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
97-86
97
86
+11
A23/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
H30/10
Primera FEB
Melilla
#2
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A06/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
H11/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
17-11
14-22
22-17
18-22
19-16
13-19
20-14
28-28
21-26
26-18
23-20
15-23
23-19
19-25
18-10
22-23
24-25
19-19
26-19
18-13
30-18
22-26
22-15
23-27
18-22
21-30
17-18
39-31
25-17
11-15
20-13
20-25
14-23
23-28
20-8
22-19
164.0Avg total
83.0Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.982.1168.0+3.771%
Season at home (4)86.585.5172.0+1.050%
Season away (3)85.077.7162.7+7.3100%
Last 10 (10)83.081.0164.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)86.882.2169.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.585.5171.0+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.978.6161.5+4.364%
vs Weaker (17)79.266.7145.9+12.576%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
BreoganCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ourense
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H29/05
Primera FEB
Ourense
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H31/05
Primera FEB
Ourense
#2
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A02/06
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H02/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#1
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A09/10
Primera FEB
Melilla
#2
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H17/10
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A25/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#8
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A31/10
Primera FEB
Iberojet Palma
#9
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H07/11
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A11/11
Primera FEB
70.5Avg total
34.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.436.071.4-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.533.870.3+2.773%-
Last 30 away (15)34.338.172.5-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)34.735.870.5-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)31.634.866.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.636.971.5-2.262%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)35.636.071.6-0.447%-
vs Weaker (5)36.034.470.4+1.660%-
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ceba Guadalajara
#3
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A31/05
Segunda FEB
Ceba Guadalajara
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H02/06
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H02/10
Primera FEB
Barcelona B
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A11/10
Primera FEB
Navarra
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H16/10
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A23/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H30/10
Primera FEB
Melilla
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A06/11
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H11/11
Primera FEB
82.0Avg total
39.9Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.236.976.1+2.355%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.438.378.7+2.159%-
Last 30 away (12)37.434.972.3+2.550%-
Last 10 (9)39.942.182.0-2.233%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.686.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.542.079.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.340.180.4+0.250%-
vs Weaker (17)38.734.473.1+4.359%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Breogan wins
0
Castello wins
No previous meetings.
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/15ASan Pablo Burgos73-78
07/11/15HIberojet Palma65-74
31/10/15AOurense71-53
25/10/15ALeyma Coruna62-71
17/10/15HMelilla69-68
09/10/15APalencia85-74
02/10/15HForca Lleida76-74 OT
02/06/15AOurense65-91
31/05/15HOurense69-73
29/05/15HOurense81-73
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/15HLeyma Coruna79-78
06/11/15AMelilla76-70
30/10/15HPalencia95-101
23/10/15AForca Lleida97-86
16/10/15HNavarra87-76
11/10/15ABarcelona B82-77
02/10/15HCaceres85-87
02/06/15HCeba Guadalajara80-77
31/05/15ACeba Guadalajara71-72
29/05/15ACeba Guadalajara78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
Primera FEB 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game71.670.072.8
Allowed / game70.372.069.0
Point differential+1.3-2.0+3.8
Avg total141.9142.0141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Castello
Primera FEB 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%50%100%
Points / game85.986.585.0
Allowed / game82.185.577.7
Point differential+3.7+1.0+7.3
Avg total168.0172.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Palencia76186%84.969.7+15.1
2 San Pablo Burgos75271%73.969.7+4.1
3 Castello75271%85.982.1+3.7
4 Oviedo75271%76.974.3+2.6
5 Barcelona B75271%79.076.6+2.4
6 Iberojet Palma75271%79.477.6+1.9
7 Melilla74357%77.971.0+6.9
8 Breogan74357%71.670.3+1.3
9 Clavijo73443%86.681.4+5.1
10 Caceres73443%75.979.3-3.4
11 Navarra73443%69.174.0-4.9
12 Ourense73443%68.174.6-6.4
13 Huesca83538%70.674.6-4.0
14 Forca Lleida71614%71.378.4-7.1
15 Prat Joventut71614%68.079.1-11.1
16 Leyma Coruna81712%72.577.4-4.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Breogan142915141183
Castello212214151587
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