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Liberty vs Jacksonville State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 79-67
37-33 42-34
Position#19
Record27-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game62.8
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#92
Record22-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game68.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Liberty v Jacksonville State
04 Jan 2026
LIBE78
JACK69
15 Mar 2025
LIBE79
JACK67
27 Feb 2025
LIBE59
JACK55
10 Jan 2024
LIBE51
JACK61
05 Jan 2023
LIBE75
JACK41
29 Jan 2022
LIBE67
JACK77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jacksonville State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H08/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A14/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A16/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H22/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H28/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H02/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
90-61
90
61
+29
A08/03
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-29
31-32
24-29
40-25
32-35
44-34
30-19
28-26
31-16
28-39
44-39
36-46
42-37
44-44
49-22
41-39
36-26
45-34
31-40
50-39
138.9Avg total
73.9Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.562.8139.2+13.782%
Season at home (21)78.061.1139.1+16.981%
Season away (12)73.865.6139.4+8.283%
Last 10 (10)73.965.0138.9+8.990%
Last 5 (5)83.673.2156.8+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)62.058.0120.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)77.063.5140.4+13.579%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#182
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A15/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H22/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
A01/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H08/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H13/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-44
47-39
29-29
32-37
33-36
37-32
23-35
29-26
39-29
34-36
16-31
39-28
37-28
27-36
41-29
29-45
28-24
37-32
35-35
35-33
136.4Avg total
68.5Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.168.3142.4+5.767%
Season at home (17)75.764.8140.5+10.982%
Season away (16)72.372.1144.4+0.250%
Last 10 (10)68.567.9136.4+0.660%
Last 5 (5)68.867.2136.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)66.367.7134.0-1.333%
vs Similar (16)70.970.0140.9+0.962%
vs Weaker (10)74.967.4142.3+7.580%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.0+6.01st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +0.2+0.2
LibertyJacksonville State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H08/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A14/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A16/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
30-19
30
19
+11
H22/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
31-16
31
16
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H02/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
49-22
49
22
+27
A08/03
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H14/03
NCAA
64.4Avg total
35.2Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.328.165.5+9.280%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.127.265.3+10.984%-
Last 30 away (11)36.029.865.8+6.273%-
Last 10 (10)35.229.264.4+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.432.873.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)29.029.058.0+0.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)37.628.165.7+9.583%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#182
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H08/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A15/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
23-35
23
35
-12
H21/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/02
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
16-31
16
31
-15
A28/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A01/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H08/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H14/03
NCAA
63.9Avg total
31.9Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.533.266.7+0.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.133.668.7+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)32.032.764.7-0.720%-
Last 10 (10)31.932.063.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)31.429.460.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)29.336.766.0-7.30%-
vs Similar (16)32.934.066.9-1.125%-
vs Weaker (10)33.330.163.4+3.260%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Liberty wins
4
Jacksonville State wins
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HKennesaw State81-79
12/03/25HUTEP81-60
08/03/25AWestern Kentucky90-61
07/03/25AMiddle Tenn. St.86-81
02/03/25HKennesaw State80-85
28/02/25HJacksonville State59-55
22/02/25HFlorida International58-45
16/02/25AUTEP76-69
14/02/25ANew Mexico State64-54
08/02/25HSam Houston St.64-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HMiddle Tenn. St.70-68
13/03/25HFlorida International65-56
08/03/25HKennesaw State70-74
01/03/25AFlorida International84-79 OT
28/02/25ALiberty55-59
22/02/25HUTEP73-65
21/02/25HNew Mexico State52-61
15/02/25ALouisiana Tech70-68
14/02/25ASam Houston St.61-66
08/02/25HWestern Kentucky85-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWLWW81%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332112
Win %82%81%83%
Points / game76.578.073.8
Allowed / game62.861.165.6
Point differential+13.7+16.9+8.2
Avg total139.2139.1139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%52%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)50% (8)75% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Jacksonville State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeLWLWW82%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game74.175.772.3
Allowed / game68.364.872.1
Point differential+5.7+10.9+0.2
Avg total142.4140.5144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)86% (7)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty3327682%76.562.8+13.7
2 Jacksonville State33221167%74.168.3+5.7
3 Middle Tenn. St.33221167%75.971.4+4.5
4 Louisiana Tech32201262%73.968.4+5.5
5 Kennesaw State33191458%76.573.2+3.3
6 UTEP33181555%72.570.8+1.7
7 New Mexico State32171553%69.765.9+3.7
8 Western Kentucky32171553%74.874.8+0.1
9 Delaware36162044%77.277.9-0.6
10 Sam Houston St.32131941%75.376.0-0.7
11 Florida International33102330%69.272.1-2.9
12 Missouri State3292328%68.070.9-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty374279
Jacksonville State333467
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