PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oregon vs Liberty Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 02:10
Final 81-52
44-20 37-32
Position#52
Record24-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game70.9
Oregon 🏆
USA
vs
Position#19
Record28-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game62.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oregon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OregonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#17
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A08/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H17/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A20/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
A22/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H01/03
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
80-73 OT
80
73
+7
A09/03
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H13/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
50-36
24-50
39-25
42-50
38-33
37-24
45-37
35-41
26-38
40-28
39-34
43-27
35-32
38-32
36-33
32-35
37-29
35-30
32-42
32-32
145.8Avg total
75.8Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.270.9147.2+5.373%
Season at home (17)77.967.9145.9+10.076%
Season away (16)74.474.1148.5+0.269%
Last 10 (10)75.870.0145.8+5.880%
Last 5 (5)74.266.2140.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)73.779.7153.3-6.033%
vs Similar (19)74.773.6148.4+1.168%
vs Weaker (8)78.063.6141.6+14.488%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#175
W
64-54
64
54
+10
A14/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A16/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H22/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H28/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H02/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
90-61
90
61
+29
A08/03
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H16/03
NCAA
1H
2H
24-29
40-25
32-35
44-34
30-19
28-26
31-16
28-39
44-39
36-46
42-37
44-44
49-22
41-39
36-26
45-34
31-40
50-39
37-33
42-34
141.0Avg total
75.4Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)76.662.9139.4+13.782%
Season at home (22)78.061.4139.5+16.682%
Season away (12)73.865.6139.4+8.283%
Last 10 (10)75.465.6141.0+9.890%
Last 5 (5)83.469.6153.0+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)62.058.0120.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)77.163.1140.3+14.083%
This opponent (Oregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +3.8+3.8
OregonLiberty
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
OregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#17
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A08/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H12/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/02
NCAA
Iowa
#192
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A20/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A22/02
NCAA
USC
#215
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H05/03
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A09/03
NCAA
Indiana
#132
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H13/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/03
NCAA
71.6Avg total
37.7Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.969.6+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.431.567.9+4.979%-
Last 30 away (16)35.135.971.1-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)37.733.971.6+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.069.8+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.341.082.3+0.333%-
vs Similar (19)34.933.768.6+1.253%-
vs Weaker (8)35.631.567.1+4.175%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#175
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A14/02
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A16/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
30-19
30
19
+11
H22/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
31-16
31
16
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H02/03
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
49-22
49
22
+27
A08/03
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H14/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H16/03
NCAA
65.2Avg total
35.6Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.227.965.1+9.280%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.826.864.7+11.084%-
Last 30 away (11)36.029.865.8+6.273%-
Last 10 (10)35.629.665.2+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.031.670.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)29.029.058.0+0.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)37.427.965.3+9.683%-
This opponent (Oregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Oregon wins
0
Liberty wins
No previous meetings.
Oregonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25AMichigan State64-74
13/03/25HIndiana72-59
09/03/25AWashington80-73 OT
05/03/25HIndiana73-64
01/03/25HUSC82-61
22/02/25AWisconsin77-73 OT
20/02/25AIowa80-78
17/02/25HRutgers75-57
12/02/25HNorthwestern81-75
08/02/25AMichigan State74-86
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HJacksonville State79-67
14/03/25HKennesaw State81-79
12/03/25HUTEP81-60
08/03/25AWestern Kentucky90-61
07/03/25AMiddle Tenn. St.86-81
02/03/25HKennesaw State80-85
28/02/25HJacksonville State59-55
22/02/25HFlorida International58-45
16/02/25AUTEP76-69
14/02/25ANew Mexico State64-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oregon
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayLWWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %73%76%69%
Points / game76.277.974.4
Allowed / game70.967.974.1
Point differential+5.3+10.0+0.2
Avg total147.2145.9148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%59%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)50% (2)86% (7)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Liberty
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games342212
Win %82%82%83%
Points / game76.678.073.8
Allowed / game62.961.465.6
Point differential+13.7+16.6+8.2
Avg total139.4139.5139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)50% (8)75% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State3428682%78.467.1+11.3
2 Maryland3426876%81.666.5+15.2
3 Wisconsin3627975%79.970.3+9.6
4 Michigan3526974%78.071.1+6.9
5 Oregon3324973%76.270.9+5.3
6 UCLA33231070%74.765.2+9.5
7 Purdue34231168%77.870.9+6.9
8 Illinois34221265%83.974.6+9.3
9 Indiana32191359%74.772.0+2.6
10 Nebraska31171455%75.472.9+2.5
11 Ohio State32171553%78.873.5+5.3
12 Penn State31161552%79.173.2+5.9
13 Northwestern33171652%72.469.2+3.3
14 Iowa33171652%82.579.7+2.8
15 USC33161748%76.975.5+1.4
16 Rutgers32151747%77.077.6-0.5
17 Minnesota32151747%68.169.7-1.7
18 Washington30121840%71.475.9-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty3428682%76.662.9+13.7
2 Middle Tenn. St.33221167%75.971.4+4.5
3 Jacksonville State34221265%73.968.6+5.2
4 Louisiana Tech32201262%73.968.4+5.5
5 Kennesaw State33191458%76.573.2+3.3
6 UTEP33181555%72.570.8+1.7
7 New Mexico State32171553%69.765.9+3.7
8 Western Kentucky32171553%74.874.8+0.1
9 Delaware36162044%77.277.9-0.6
10 Sam Houston St.32131941%75.376.0-0.7
11 Florida International33102330%69.272.1-2.9
12 Missouri State3292328%68.070.9-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Oregon443781
Liberty203252
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.