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NC Wilmington vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 76-61
44-33 32-28
Position#27
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#157
Record5-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game65.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · NC Wilmington v Appalachian State
30 Nov 2024
NC W76
APPA61
21 Nov 2023
NC W56
APPA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC Wilmington winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC WilmingtonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campbell
#262
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
A27/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H01/03
NCAA
Towson
#135
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H10/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#552
W
143-91
143
91
+52
H05/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H09/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#357
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A16/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A20/11
NCAA
Colgate
#267
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H28/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-43
45-38
25-32
33-37
29-30
46-34
30-29
26-37
81-43
62-48
34-37
58-47
44-49
45-36
38-43
28-41
29-37
30-35
33-20
36-40
158.7Avg total
80.7Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.379.3165.7+7.067%
Season at home (4)90.876.8167.5+14.075%
Season away (2)77.584.5162.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)80.778.0158.7+2.750%
Last 5 (5)75.077.0152.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)71.471.9143.3-0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)82.672.5155.0+10.170%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#341
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
H09/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H10/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A21/03
NIT
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H04/11
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
108-54
108
54
+54
H07/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
56-87
56
87
-31
A10/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H19/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H24/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Colgate
#267
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H29/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-31
0-0
35-45
0-0
29-39
0-0
36-28
0-0
27-36
0-0
49-51
0-0
31-32
0-0
32-45
0-0
55-27
0-0
53-27
0-0
20-36
0-0
36-51
0-0
31-24
0-0
34-29
0-0
42-30
0-0
37-46
0-0
30-33
0-0
36-30
0-0
40-25
0-0
32-25
142.9Avg total
73.5Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.765.7138.4+7.071%
Season at home (6)75.562.2137.7+13.383%
Season away (1)56.087.0143.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)73.569.4142.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)67.665.8133.4+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)56.087.0143.0-31.00%
vs Similar (6)68.367.2135.5+1.267%
vs Weaker (22)79.167.0146.1+12.186%
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +0.3+0.3
NC WilmingtonAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC WilmingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campbell
#262
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A27/02
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H01/03
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H02/03
NCAA
Towson
#135
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H10/03
NCAA
Mount Olive Trojans
#552
W
81-43
81
43
+38
H05/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#201
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#357
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A16/11
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A20/11
NCAA
Colgate
#267
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H28/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H29/11
NCAA
74.2Avg total
37.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.533.872.3+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.932.570.4+5.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.135.174.3+4.053%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.374.2+1.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.272.8-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)33.335.468.7-2.114%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)40.133.373.4+6.770%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#341
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H10/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#10
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A21/03
NIT
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H04/11
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H07/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A10/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H19/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H24/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H27/11
NCAA
Colgate
#267
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H29/11
NCAA
65.9Avg total
34.6Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.431.867.2+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.532.571.1+6.068%-
Last 30 away (11)29.930.660.5-0.745%-
Last 10 (10)34.631.365.9+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.629.662.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)20.036.056.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (6)32.727.059.7+5.783%-
vs Weaker (22)37.232.870.0+4.459%-
This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC Wilmington wins
1
Appalachian State wins
DateGameScore
21/11/23NC Wilmington v Appalachian State56-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24HSam Houston St.69-60
28/11/24HColgate59-72
20/11/24AKansas66-84
16/11/24AUSC Upstate89-85
09/11/24HGeorgia Southern92-84
05/11/24HMount Olive Trojans143-91
10/03/24HTowson56-66
02/03/24HTowson75-64
01/03/24HHofstra58-69
27/02/24ACampbell100-105 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24HColgate72-50
27/11/24HSam Houston St.66-63
24/11/24HWilliam & Mary79-76
19/11/24HQueens Royals65-53
10/11/24AWisconsin56-87
07/11/24HSt. Andrews108-54
04/11/24HMiami (Ohio)63-77
21/03/24AWake Forest76-87
10/03/24HArkansas State65-67
09/03/24HGeorgia Southern85-80 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC Wilmington
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game86.390.877.5
Allowed / game79.376.884.5
Point differential+7.0+14.0-7.0
Avg total165.7167.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %71%83%0%
Points / game72.775.556.0
Allowed / game65.762.287.0
Point differential+7.0+13.3-31.0
Avg total138.4137.7143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston75271%78.678.7-0.1
2 Hofstra75271%68.068.4-0.4
3 NC Wilmington64267%86.379.3+7.0
4 Drexel85362%75.166.1+9.0
5 Northeastern85362%69.664.8+4.9
6 Elon74357%77.470.4+7.0
7 Campbell84450%71.265.1+6.1
8 Towson84450%66.263.6+2.6
9 N. Carolina A&T73443%81.378.7+2.6
10 William & Mary83538%80.276.1+4.1
11 Hampton83538%69.668.5+1.1
12 Stony Brook72529%66.479.7-13.3
13 Monmouth101910%64.377.0-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State65183%81.269.3+11.8
2 Appalachian State75271%72.765.7+7.0
3 Georgia Southern75271%80.477.7+2.7
4 Marshall64267%76.267.5+8.7
5 South Alabama85362%73.165.1+8.0
6 Texas State74357%74.668.7+5.9
7 Troy74357%72.970.1+2.7
8 James Madison84450%77.270.6+6.6
9 Georgia State84450%75.477.8-2.4
10 Coastal Carolina73443%65.165.3-0.1
11 Southern Miss73443%77.179.7-2.6
12 Louisiana Monroe93633%72.169.4+2.7
13 Old Dominion82625%64.877.5-12.8
14 Louisiana Lafayette71614%69.082.7-13.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC Wilmington443276
Appalachian State332861
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