NC Wilmington vs Navy Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2025

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 87-57

45-19 42-38

Position#17

Record5-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game68.8

NC Wilmington 🏆

Navy

Position#24

Record4-3

FormLWLWW

Points / game77.6

Allowed / game70.0

NCAA

Other2025-26

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC Wilmington winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Navy winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC Wilmington USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hampton

#193

79-65

+14

H09/03

NCAA

Charleston

#47

68-67

H11/03

NCAA

Delaware

#246

76-72

H11/03

NCAA

Texas Tech

#33

72-82

-10

A21/03

NCAA

Mount Olive Trojans

#463

106-77

106

+29

H04/11

NCAA

Kent State

#52

77-86

-9

A11/11

NCAA

USC Upstate

#274

73-60

+13

H16/11

NCAA

East Carolina

#310

85-60

+25

H19/11

NCAA

Radford

#176

81-73

A22/11

NCAA

SE Louisiana

#343

70-57

+13

H27/11

NCAA

45-28

34-37

40-30

28-37

36-28

40-44

34-38

38-44

62-33

44-44

34-43

43-43

39-26

34-34

42-30

43-30

31-27

50-46

27-33

43-24

148.6Avg total

78.7Scored

69.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	82.0	68.8	150.8	+13.2	83%
Season at home (4)	83.5	63.5	147.0	+20.0	100%
Season away (2)	79.0	79.5	158.5	-0.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	69.9	148.6	+8.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	67.2	144.4	+10.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	78.5	78.0	156.5	+0.5	50%
vs Weaker (26)	76.9	68.4	145.3	+8.5	81%

This opponent (Navy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Navy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boston University

#211

86-78

A07/03

NCAA

Bucknell

#166

83-77

A09/03

NCAA

American University

#102

52-74

-22

A12/03

NCAA

Presbyterian

#263

76-55

+21

A04/11

NCAA

Yale

#22

68-97

-29

H08/11

NCAA

Penn State

#298

71-80

-9

A11/11

NCAA

Washington Coll

#561

97-64

+33

H14/11

NCAA

North Carolina

#45

61-73

-12

A19/11

NCAA

NJIT

#220

86-70

+16

H22/11

NCAA

Gardner Webb

#370

84-51

+33

A26/11

NCAA

32-26

54-52

36-33

47-44

28-37

24-37

37-17

39-38

31-46

37-51

32-38

39-42

48-30

49-34

31-38

30-35

51-36

35-34

41-29

43-22

148.3Avg total

76.4Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	77.6	70.0	147.6	+7.6	57%
Season at home (3)	83.7	77.0	160.7	+6.7	67%
Season away (4)	73.0	64.8	137.8	+8.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	71.9	148.3	+4.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.8	67.6	147.4	+12.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (24)	69.8	70.2	140.0	-0.4	50%
vs Weaker (6)	79.0	64.7	143.7	+14.3	67%

This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

NC WilmingtonNavy

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

NC WilmingtonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hampton

#193

45-28

+17

H09/03

NCAA

Charleston

#47

40-30

+10

H11/03

NCAA

Delaware

#246

36-28

H11/03

NCAA

Texas Tech

#33

34-38

-4

A21/03

NCAA

Mount Olive Trojans

#463

62-33

+29

H04/11

NCAA

Kent State

#52

34-43

-9

A11/11

NCAA

USC Upstate

#274

39-26

+13

H16/11

NCAA

East Carolina

#310

42-30

+12

H19/11

NCAA

Radford

#176

31-27

A22/11

NCAA

SE Louisiana

#343

27-33

-6

H27/11

NCAA

70.6Avg total

39.0Scored

31.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	32.0	70.8	+6.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.2	30.9	72.1	+10.3	83%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.3	33.6	68.9	+1.8	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	31.6	70.6	+7.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	31.8	66.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	39.0	34.0	73.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (26)	37.7	32.3	70.0	+5.3	73%	-

This opponent (Navy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NavyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boston University

#211

32-26

A07/03

NCAA

Bucknell

#166

36-33

A09/03

NCAA

American University

#102

28-37

-9

A12/03

NCAA

Presbyterian

#263

37-17

+20

A04/11

NCAA

Yale

#22

31-46

-15

H08/11

NCAA

Penn State

#298

32-38

-6

A11/11

NCAA

Washington Coll

#561

48-30

+18

H14/11

NCAA

North Carolina

#45

31-38

-7

A19/11

NCAA

NJIT

#220

51-36

+15

H22/11

NCAA

Gardner Webb

#370

41-29

+12

A26/11

NCAA

69.7Avg total

36.7Scored

33.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	32.9	32.2	65.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	35.6	33.1	68.7	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	31.2	31.6	62.7	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	33.0	69.7	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	34.2	74.8	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (24)	31.5	32.8	64.3	-1.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.5	29.7	68.2	+8.8	67%	-

This opponent (NC Wilmington) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	35.8	74.9	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	39.2	35.1	74.3	+4.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.9	36.8	75.8	+2.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	38.3	78.0	+1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	35.4	78.0	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (2)	39.5	44.0	83.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (26)	38.3	35.1	73.4	+3.3	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	36.7	75.0	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	37.9	35.0	72.9	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	38.6	37.9	76.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	38.9	78.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	33.4	72.6	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (24)	37.8	37.2	74.9	+0.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.5	35.0	75.5	+5.5	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

NC Wilmington wins

Navy wins

No previous meetings.

NC Wilmingtonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/11/25	H	SE Louisiana	70-57
22/11/25	A	Radford	81-73
19/11/25	H	East Carolina	85-60
16/11/25	H	USC Upstate	73-60
11/11/25	A	Kent State	77-86
04/11/25	H	Mount Olive Trojans	106-77
21/03/25	A	Texas Tech	72-82
11/03/25	H	Delaware	76-72
11/03/25	H	Charleston	68-67
09/03/25	H	Hampton	79-65

Navylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/25	A	Gardner Webb	84-51
22/11/25	H	NJIT	86-70
19/11/25	A	North Carolina	61-73
14/11/25	H	Washington Coll	97-64
11/11/25	A	Penn State	71-80
08/11/25	H	Yale	68-97
04/11/25	A	Presbyterian	76-55
12/03/25	A	American University	52-74
09/03/25	A	Bucknell	83-77
07/03/25	A	Boston University	86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC Wilmington

NCAA 2025-26

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	83%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	4	2
Win %	83%	100%	50%
Points / game	82.0	83.5	79.0
Allowed / game	68.8	63.5	79.5
Point differential	+13.2	+20.0	-0.5
Avg total	150.8	147.0	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Navy

NCAA 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	57%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	WLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	57%	67%	50%
Points / game	77.6	83.7	73.0
Allowed / game	70.0	77.0	64.8
Point differential	+7.6	+6.7	+8.2
Avg total	147.6	160.7	137.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	NC Wilmington	6	5	1	83%	82.0	68.8	+13.2
2	William & Mary	8	6	2	75%	86.1	72.0	+14.1
3	N. Carolina A&T	4	3	1	75%	81.2	77.2	+4.0
4	Stony Brook	7	5	2	71%	74.6	65.4	+9.1
5	Elon	6	4	2	67%	89.2	78.8	+10.3
6	Towson	8	5	3	62%	68.6	64.5	+4.1
7	Hofstra	6	3	3	50%	78.0	73.3	+4.7
8	Charleston	8	4	4	50%	73.9	71.5	+2.4
9	Drexel	8	4	4	50%	72.5	71.1	+1.4
10	Monmouth	6	3	3	50%	73.0	72.0	+1.0
11	Northeastern	7	3	4	43%	73.9	75.4	-1.6
12	Campbell	7	3	4	43%	76.4	80.4	-4.0
13	Hampton	8	3	5	38%	70.1	68.4	+1.8

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Patriot League conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Navy	7	4	3	57%	77.6	70.0	+7.6
2	American University	6	3	3	50%	87.3	76.0	+11.3
3	Boston University	7	3	4	43%	72.6	77.6	-5.0
4	Colgate	6	2	4	33%	75.8	79.8	-4.0
5	Lehigh	7	2	5	29%	66.9	71.7	-4.9
6	Loyola Maryland	8	2	6	25%	73.2	72.9	+0.4
7	Bucknell	8	2	6	25%	65.9	76.6	-10.8
8	Army	8	2	6	25%	68.2	80.0	-11.8
9	Holy Cross	9	2	7	22%	65.3	77.8	-12.4
10	Lafayette	6	1	5	17%	70.3	79.7	-9.3