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North Carolina vs Navy Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 73-61
38-31 35-30
Position#45
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game63.8
vs
Position#24
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Navy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#7
L
69-82
69
82
-13
H08/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H12/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A13/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
95-68
95
68
+27
A19/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A21/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
94-54
94
54
+40
H04/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H12/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
97-53
97
53
+44
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-43
27-39
43-29
33-27
33-31
35-28
24-45
47-29
47-23
48-45
26-44
38-27
51-23
43-31
29-37
58-37
44-31
45-43
39-24
58-29
147.5Avg total
81.0Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.863.8155.5+28.0100%
Season at home (4)91.863.8155.5+28.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.066.5147.5+14.570%
Last 5 (5)86.265.2151.4+21.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.882.0150.8-13.20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.970.2148.1+7.764%
vs Weaker (12)86.369.2155.5+17.2100%
This opponent (Navy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NavyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holy Cross
#284
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
H23/02
NCAA
American University
#102
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#294
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H01/03
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A07/03
NCAA
Bucknell
#166
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A09/03
NCAA
American University
#102
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A12/03
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
76-55
76
55
+21
A04/11
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
68-97
68
97
-29
H08/11
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A11/11
NCAA
Washington Coll
#561
W
97-64
97
64
+33
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-37
35-34
30-27
38-33
35-39
46-29
32-26
54-52
36-33
47-44
28-37
24-37
37-17
39-38
31-46
37-51
32-38
39-42
48-30
49-34
149.5Avg total
76.5Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.074.0152.0+4.050%
Season at home (2)82.580.5163.0+2.050%
Season away (2)73.567.5141.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)76.573.0149.5+3.570%
Last 5 (5)72.874.0146.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.071.0137.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (23)70.270.1140.3+0.152%
vs Weaker (6)73.369.3142.7+4.033%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +9.7+9.72nd half: +1.4+1.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +9.7+9.72nd half: +1.4+1.4
North CarolinaNavy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H12/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A13/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A14/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
W
47-23
47
23
+24
A19/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/03
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
W
51-23
51
23
+28
H04/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H08/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H12/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H15/11
NCAA
70.8Avg total
37.8Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.633.972.5+4.773%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.931.573.4+10.587%-
Last 30 away (15)35.236.371.5-1.160%-
Last 10 (10)37.833.070.8+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.831.869.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.046.077.0-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.032.669.6+4.471%-
vs Weaker (12)42.931.374.2+11.6100%-
This opponent (Navy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NavyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holy Cross
#284
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H23/02
NCAA
American University
#102
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A27/02
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#294
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H01/03
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A07/03
NCAA
Bucknell
#166
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A09/03
NCAA
American University
#102
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A12/03
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
37-17
37
17
+20
A04/11
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H08/11
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Washington Coll
#561
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H14/11
NCAA
67.5Avg total
34.5Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.432.364.7+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.132.466.5+1.750%-
Last 30 away (18)31.332.263.5-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)34.533.067.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.668.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.028.061.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)31.632.664.1-1.048%-
vs Weaker (6)35.532.067.5+3.533%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
0
Navy wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HN. Carolina Central97-53
12/11/25HRadford89-74
08/11/25HKansas87-74
04/11/25HCentral Arkansas94-54
21/03/25AOle Miss64-71
19/03/25ASan Diego State95-68
14/03/25ADuke71-74
13/03/25AWake Forest68-59
12/03/25HNotre Dame76-56
08/03/25HDuke69-82
Navylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25HWashington Coll97-64
11/11/25APenn State71-80
08/11/25HYale68-97
04/11/25APresbyterian76-55
12/03/25AAmerican University52-74
09/03/25ABucknell83-77
07/03/25ABoston University86-78
01/03/25HLoyola Maryland81-68
27/02/25AAmerican University68-60
23/02/25HHoly Cross83-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game91.891.8-
Allowed / game63.863.8-
Point differential+28.0+28.0-
Avg total155.5155.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Navy
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.082.573.5
Allowed / game74.080.567.5
Point differential+4.0+2.0+6.0
Avg total152.0163.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke440100%96.058.8+37.2
2 Syracuse330100%82.746.7+36.0
3 Louisville440100%103.071.0+32.0
4 NC State440100%100.869.8+31.0
5 North Carolina440100%91.863.8+28.0
6 Virginia Tech440100%95.875.8+20.0
7 Stanford330100%85.771.7+14.0
8 SMU Mustangs440100%88.577.5+11.0
9 Clemson54180%84.658.6+26.0
10 Virginia54180%83.470.4+13.0
11 Pittsburgh54180%72.661.2+11.4
12 Miami (FL)43175%89.268.2+21.0
13 Notre Dame43175%83.064.8+18.2
14 Wake Forest43175%90.574.8+15.8
15 California43175%88.272.8+15.5
16 Georgia Tech43175%71.862.2+9.5
17 Florida State32167%95.072.7+22.3
18 Boston College42250%72.265.2+7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Navy42250%78.074.0+4.0
2 Boston University42250%74.279.8-5.5
3 American University52340%82.280.6+1.6
4 Colgate52340%72.276.8-4.6
5 Bucknell52340%68.274.4-6.2
6 Lehigh41325%66.870.0-3.2
7 Army41325%65.080.2-15.2
8 Holy Cross41325%67.083.8-16.8
9 Loyola Maryland51420%72.270.4+1.8
10 Lafayette51420%70.480.8-10.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina383573
Navy313061
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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